97% — Who will Trump meet with in April
Leader: Keir Starmer at 97% · Polymarket 97% · 16 contracts · $429 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-08 03:16:39 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 16 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Who will Trump meet with in 2026?: Keir Starmer — 97¢ Polymarket $141 (weight 33%)
- Who will Trump meet with in 2026?: Giorgia Meloni — 97¢ Polymarket $74 (weight 17%)
- Who will Trump meet with in 2026?: Ahmed al-Sharaa — 80¢ Polymarket $19 (weight 5%)
- Who will Trump meet with in 2026?: Mohammed bin Salman — 76¢ Polymarket $3 (weight 1%)
- Who will Trump meet with in 2026?: Vladimir Putin — 44¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will Trump meet with in 2026?: Aleksandr Lukashenko — 37¢ Polymarket $78 (weight 18%)
- Who will Trump meet with in 2026?: Changpeng Zhao — 22¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 0%)
- Who will Trump meet with in 2026?: Pope Leo XIV — 19¢ Polymarket $13 (weight 3%)
- ... and 8 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-08T02:20:11.055Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "97% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/who-trump-meet-with-april
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20Trump%20meet%20with%20in%20April
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev