26% — Will Matt Walsh attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room Kalshi 26% · 9 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-06-28 03:15:01 UTC Why this matters: This contract resolves positively if Matt Walsh, a political commentator and media personality, attends at least one official White House press briefing held in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room by a specified deadline. At 38%, the market reflects meaningful uncertainty about whether Walsh will gain credentialed access to cover such an event. The probability hinges on two dynamics: Walsh's media accreditation status and White House press office decisions regarding his credential applications. The current level suggests markets see moderate but not overwhelming likelihood of attendance. The main resolution catalyst is whether Walsh obtains or maintains White House press credentials, which typically depends on his employer status and credential vetting processes. Changes would likely follow shifts in Walsh's media role, high-profile credential disputes, or policy changes affecting press access. Key factors: - Matt Walsh's current media employment status and whether his organization maintains White House press credentials - Historical approval or denial patterns for Walsh's credential applications to the White House press office - Whether Walsh actively seeks to cover White House briefings as part of his professional duties - Any credentialing policy changes or disputes affecting access to the Brady Briefing Room during the contract period - The specific deadline for contract resolution and timeframe during which at least one briefing must occur Contracts: - Will Ben Shapiro attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?: Ben Shapiro — 13¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%) - Will Benny Johnson attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?: Benny Johnson — 49¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%) - Will Tim Pool attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?: Tim Pool — 37¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%) - Will Matt Walsh attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?: Matt Walsh — 28¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%) - Will Dan Bongino attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?: Dan Bongino — 26¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%) - Will Tucker Carlson attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?: Tucker Carlson — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%) - Will Candace Owens attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?: Candace Owens — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%) - Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room?: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — 52¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 11%) - ... and 1 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-06-28T02:20:49.791Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "26% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/whpressbriefing Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Matt%20Walsh%20attend%20any%20White%20House%20press%20briefing%20which%20takes%20place%20in%20the%20James%20S.%20Brady%20Press%20Briefing%20Room Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev