31% — Will Awa Fam be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season Kalshi 31% · 11 contracts · $11 volume · medium confidence Updated 2026-07-14 07:10:53 UTC Why this matters: This probability reflects the market's assessment that Awa Fam has a 40% chance of being selected to the WNBA All-Rookie team for the 2026 season. The current level suggests moderate confidence, positioning her behind consensus frontrunners like Azzi Fudd (83%) and Jovana Nogic (63%), but ahead of some peers. Her selection likelihood depends on her actual playing time, statistics, and performance consistency throughout the 2026 WNBA season, compared directly against other first-year players. The All-Rookie team is typically selected at season's end based on voting that weighs rookie performance across the league. Key variables include whether Fam's team provides sufficient opportunity to accumulate stat-relevant minutes, how her individual production metrics compare to other qualifying rookies, and whether voters weight per-minute efficiency versus total impact. Key factors: - Awa Fam's actual minutes played and statistical output during the 2026 WNBA regular season compared to other first-year players - Roster depth and playing time availability on her assigned WNBA team, which determines opportunity for stat accumulation - Voting patterns from the media and coaches who select All-Rookie honors, which may favor higher-volume scorers or players on visible teams - Comparison of her per-game and per-minute performance metrics against other rookies already trading at higher probabilities - Whether injuries to competing rookies or unexpected breakout performances materially shift the competitive landscape for All-Rookie selection Contracts: - Will Pauline Astier be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season?: Pauline Astier — 35¢ Kalshi $11 (weight 100%) - Will Gabriela Jaquez be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season?: Gabriela Jaquez — 24¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Kiki Rice be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season?: Kiki Rice — 12¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Angela Dugalic be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season?: Angela Dugalic — 7¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Awa Fam be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season?: Awa Fam — 63¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Azzi Fudd be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season?: Azzi Fudd — 90¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Flau'jae Johnson be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season?: Flau'jae Johnson — 72¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - Will Jovana Nogic be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season?: Jovana Nogic — 4¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%) - ... and 3 more --- ## Methodology SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours. ## SF Signal - SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration. - No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only. --- *Last verified: 2026-07-14T06:20:51.063Z* By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/ Cite as: "31% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, July 2026)" Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/wnbaallrookie Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Awa%20Fam%20be%20selected%20to%20the%20Women's%20Pro%20Basketball%20All-Rookie%20team%20in%20the%202026%20season Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev