14% — Will Lynne Roberts win Coach of the Year
Kalshi 14% · 9 contracts · $557 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-09-22 15:18:53 UTC

Why this matters:
This probability represents the estimated likelihood that Lynne Roberts will be named Coach of the Year in the 2025-26 season. The market currently prices her chances at 16%, placing her fourth among tracked candidates. Roberts' probability is shaped by her team's regular season performance, win-total trajectory, and any playoff success, alongside how other coaches' achievements stack against hers. The Coach of the Year award typically reflects a combination of win-improvement, playoff performance, and coaching narrative. The award will be determined in late spring 2027 after the regular season concludes and playoff results are finalized, when voters evaluate the full year of coaching performance across all candidates.

Key factors:
- Lynne Roberts' team's regular season win total and conference standing compared to preseason expectations and prior season
- Head-to-head comparison of team improvement and performance against competing coaches, particularly frontrunner Cheryl Reeve's candidacy
- Playoff seeding and postseason performance by Roberts' team relative to other finalist coaches
- Media narrative and voter perception regarding coaching impact on team trajectory during the season
- Any significant mid-season coaching changes or notable coaching achievements (player development, injury management, team turnaround)

Contracts:
- Will Natalie Nakase win Coach of the Year?: Natalie Nakase — 14¢ Kalshi $549 (weight 99%)
- Will Cheryl Reeve win Coach of the Year?: Cheryl Reeve — 74¢ Kalshi $8 (weight 1%)
- Will Stephanie White win Coach of the Year?: Stephanie White — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Lynne Roberts win Coach of the Year?: Lynne Roberts — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Sandy Brondello win Coach of the Year?: Sandy Brondello — 6¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Becky Hammon win Coach of the Year?: Becky Hammon — 5¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Nate Tibbets win Coach of the Year?: Nate Tibbets — 7¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will Sonia Raman win Coach of the Year?: Sonia Raman — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- ... and 1 more

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-09-22T14:20:50.907Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "14% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, September 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/wnbacoy
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Lynne%20Roberts%20win%20Coach%20of%20the%20Year
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev