78% — Will ZEC trimmed mean be above $400.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026
Kalshi 78% · 1 contracts · $9 volume · low confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:21:49 UTC

Why this matters:
This contract estimates an 84% probability that ZEC (Zcash) will trade above $400 by month-end, reflecting trader expectations for modest upside over the next four weeks. The current price level and historical volatility are the primary anchors: if ZEC appreciates steadily, the contract likely settles high; if it declines or consolidates below $400, it settles low. The main driver of directional movement will be broader cryptocurrency market sentiment and Bitcoin's performance, since altcoins typically move in correlation with BTC. The contract resolves on May 31, 2026, and market prices between now and then will reveal whether the 84% probability accurately captured the probability of ZEC remaining above this threshold.

Key factors:
- ZEC's current price relative to the $400 target and distance to that level
- Correlation patterns between ZEC and Bitcoin price movements during the resolution period
- Aggregate trading volume and liquidity for ZEC across major exchanges used in the trimmed mean calculation
- Historical volatility of ZEC over similar 4-week windows and whether May typically exhibits higher or lower price swings
- Regulatory or exchange-listing announcements affecting ZEC's trading conditions before May 31

Contracts:
- Will ZEC trimmed mean be above $430.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Above $430.00 — 78¢ Kalshi $9 (weight 100%)

Cite as: "78% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/zecmaxmon-zec
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20ZEC%20trimmed%20mean%20be%20above%20%24400.00%20by%2011%3A59%20PM%20ET%20on%20May%2031%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev