6% — Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $230.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Apr 30, 2026
Leader: Below $350.00 at 6% · Kalshi 6% · 6 contracts · $20 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-06-24 03:04:29 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 6 outcomes.

Contracts:
- Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $350.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $350.00 — 6¢ Kalshi $20 (weight 100%)
- Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $300.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $300.00 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $310.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $310.00 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $320.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $320.00 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $330.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $330.00 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)
- Will ZEC trimmed mean be below $340.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?: Below $340.00 — 3¢ Kalshi $0 (weight 0%)

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## Methodology

SimpleFunctions aggregates live YES-side prices from Kalshi and Polymarket contracts bound to this question. For binary topics the headline is the liquidity-weighted mid-price (weight = log(1 + 24h volume) × freshness, where freshness is 1.0 if updated <24h, 0.7 if <7d, 0.4 otherwise). For multi-outcome (winner-take-all) topics the headline is the current leader's price — disjoint outcomes are never arithmetically averaged. Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours.

## SF Signal

- SF Index, regime, and 30d Brier calibration are computed separately and surfaced at https://simplefunctions.dev/admin/calibration.
- No SimpleFunctions index / regime / calibration signal is bound to this topic yet — the headline above is market-derived only.

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*Last verified: 2026-06-01T13:20:12.686Z*

By SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev/

Cite as: "6% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, June 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/zecminmon-zec
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20ZEC%20trimmed%20mean%20be%20below%20%24230.00%20by%2011%3A59%20PM%20ET%20on%20Apr%2030%2C%202026
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev