34% — ZED FC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC
Leader: ZED FC at 34% · Polymarket 34% · 3 contracts · $0 volume · medium confidence
Updated 2026-05-09 04:22:00 UTC

Tracks the leading outcome in a winner-take-all prediction market set with 3 outcomes.

Why this matters:
This probability reflects market expectations that Ghazl El Mahalla SC will win an upcoming match against ZED FC, with roughly a 31% chance assigned to Ghazl El Mahalla SC victory and 28% to a draw. The low trading volume ($0 over 24 hours) suggests limited market participation and potentially wide bid-ask spreads, making these prices less reliable than heavily-traded contracts. Resolution depends on the match outcome, which will occur on a scheduled date. Key drivers of the current pricing likely include recent form, head-to-head history, team injury status, and home-field advantage. The primary catalyst resolving all uncertainty is the completion of the match itself, after which one outcome will determine the winner-take-all payout structure across both contracts.

Key factors:
- Both contracts show minimal 24-hour volume ($0 reported), indicating thin liquidity and potentially unreliable price discovery
- Ghazl El Mahalla SC is priced at 30¢ while draws are at 28¢, leaving approximately 42% implied probability for ZED FC to win (100% minus both shown prices)
- No recent trades recorded on either contract, suggesting the market may be stale or participants are inactive
- The match outcome is binary and objectively verifiable once played, leaving no interpretation risk for contract settlement
- Current probability represents fewer than 10 basis points of market conviction, typical for low-volume emerging-market football betting

Contracts:
- ZED FC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: ZED FC — 34¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 33%)
- ZED FC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Draw (ZED FC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC) — 28¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 33%)
- ZED FC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: Ghazl El Mahalla SC — 26¢ Polymarket $0 (weight 33%)

Cite as: "34% per prediction markets (SimpleFunctions, May 2026)"
Canonical: https://simplefunctions.dev/answer/zed-fc-vs-ghazl-el-mahalla-sc
Full data: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=ZED%20FC%20vs.%20Ghazl%20El%20Mahalla%20SC
Provider: SimpleFunctions — https://simplefunctions.dev