{"ticker":"0x01c46a3d84ce0c38bd3b8d06504f175a05b30903fa776b42b157093a9ffd85cb","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Austin Sidwell be the Republican nominee for AL-01?","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":3,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":5,"spread":3,"volume":13445.65,"volume24h":25.56,"openInterest":14589.44302,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-19","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":27,"iyYes":43753.630173383266,"iyNo":41.851702790992604,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":0.02,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:42:08.066Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x9e43dcfb24c8c0f5f0914c45791dcfef6a9a5b2cdeae1be33205f596c5c29562","connectedTitle":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner: Jerry Carl","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:310691","groupLabel":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x574d3ae874d148044967eea6a8e38592723ecbd00bf0e0a1f61f5481738ce8e3","connectedTitle":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner: James Dees","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:310691","groupLabel":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe362c2c6604f2c23b9a3512ea42e4459d72dd4350a602482f044114bb92bca81","connectedTitle":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner: Rhett Marques","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:310691","groupLabel":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc62c3a8ca2bfd125ab130806c797e19cb34fc7f17ff12275d2a73aaddaa3fa4c","connectedTitle":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner: Joshua McKee","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:310691","groupLabel":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x69e616c779b14bccde49d08911f11303709bc9cf348e68ed2e9980af0d312e53","connectedTitle":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner: John Mills","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:310691","groupLabel":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcb3dbaa2ef8ff72791999ff353c9195064c6050d2e38a06228c92d3ce0e25c3c","connectedTitle":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner: James Richardson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:310691","groupLabel":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:00:28.794Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32146.78899082569,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:05:30.174Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43315.22669994373,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:10:31.517Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32155.049003413722,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:25:30.350Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43337.495103799454,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:30:30.424Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32171.581769437,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:40:48.094Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25475.718169127904,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:50:29.770Z","priceCents":7,"iy":17818.429962468173,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:55:29.583Z","priceCents":6,"iy":21014.78568716083,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:00:41.953Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25488.826815642456,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:05:30.149Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32199.963242051097,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:28.891Z","priceCents":7,"iy":17829.5673001166,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:21:04.340Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32212.98815915276,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:25:30.165Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43402.84162651859,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:30.220Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25508.515099128253,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:35:34.680Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32224.838140082396,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:30.747Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25517.90116642749,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:50:51.019Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32237.883192875284,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:55:32.759Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43436.388173230276,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:00:34.929Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32246.19009055437,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:15:32.391Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43458.781362007176,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:20:31.754Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32262.816735415436,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:25:30.587Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25544.218939924114,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:30:48.486Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32271.136489224533,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:00:30.817Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43508.4485407066,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:10:36.452Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32303.267202596067,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:15:28.762Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43526.09967790318,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:20:28.217Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25580.02286894618,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:25:29.418Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43537.339678557815,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:35:28.608Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25590.405904059036,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:40:31.724Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32328.30202605454,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:50:34.014Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25599.852344038387,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:55:28.973Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32341.430997563322,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:00:34.861Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25606.469002695416,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:05:49.287Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32349.79135123158,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:10:31.281Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25613.089082582355,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:15:29.872Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32356.960809662763,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:25:33.089Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43603.29072144635,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:30:29.789Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25626.339516665426,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:40:30.518Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32378.48826464609,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:45:37.268Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25635.81250924146,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:50:30.409Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32386.8677905945,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:55:30.831Z","priceCents":5,"iy":25642.44777223146,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:06:04.916Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32400.044383622448,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:15:31.551Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43659.74868361018,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:25:37.337Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32415.63055062167,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:31.265Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43677.52282260055,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:35:29.254Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32424.02931487582,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:40:32.280Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43687.223908590604,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:45:33.083Z","priceCents":4,"iy":32432.432432432426,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:50:29.683Z","priceCents":3,"iy":43698.54729020871,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 43754%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 1.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x9e43dcfb24c8c0f5f0914c45791dcfef6a9a5b2cdeae1be33205f596c5c29562","reason":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner: Jerry Carl"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x574d3ae874d148044967eea6a8e38592723ecbd00bf0e0a1f61f5481738ce8e3","reason":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner: James Dees"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe362c2c6604f2c23b9a3512ea42e4459d72dd4350a602482f044114bb92bca81","reason":"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner: Rhett Marques"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Austin%20Sidwell%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20AL-01%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4034}