{"ticker":"0x02c86bce323184bc35820f0de7f5c4ec4002243d4d753b5ebe8469fdd690d3a0","venue":"polymarket","title":"Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":52,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":93,"spread":83,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":10.1107,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-30","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":67,"iyYes":500.80723723627585,"iyNo":587.7529381453517,"cri":1.083,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.5962,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":83,"bidDepthUsd":87,"askDepthUsd":89,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-23T17:25:54.710Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x635d4fdd418b1d335b74dbfee01b7e8a9e8003ca60ad4501a0d231b2e87584bd","connectedTitle":"Greta Thunberg arrested by...?: June 30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:206371","groupLabel":"Greta Thunberg arrested by...?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:25:31.045Z","priceCents":49,"iy":561.2237360707826,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:35:30.900Z","priceCents":50,"iy":539.270728680338,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:50:52.435Z","priceCents":49,"iy":561.3730131421298,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:55:31.581Z","priceCents":50,"iy":539.382296438599,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T08:10:33.528Z","priceCents":49,"iy":561.4891724436859,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T08:15:47.548Z","priceCents":50,"iy":539.4939103701075,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T08:20:29.489Z","priceCents":49,"iy":561.5472701230909,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T08:25:30.335Z","priceCents":50,"iy":539.549734659788,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T08:30:32.847Z","priceCents":49,"iy":561.6053798265556,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T08:40:30.365Z","priceCents":50,"iy":539.6295036887003,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T08:45:29.891Z","priceCents":49,"iy":561.6884145541117,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T08:55:37.497Z","priceCents":50,"iy":539.7172768675697,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:10:34.884Z","priceCents":49,"iy":561.8296299560376,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:35:33.627Z","priceCents":50,"iy":539.9408284023668,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:40:31.110Z","priceCents":48,"iy":584.9618572816348,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:45:30.788Z","priceCents":50,"iy":539.9967452250972,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:25:32.368Z","priceCents":52,"iy":585.958724795748,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:30:33.542Z","priceCents":50,"iy":540.9090235480668,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:36:01.627Z","priceCents":54,"iy":635.0178004736055,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:40:35.742Z","priceCents":51,"iy":563.045350936201,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:50:33.782Z","priceCents":52,"iy":586.1063761456559,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:55:45.542Z","priceCents":51,"iy":563.1371595198315,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:10:32.465Z","priceCents":50,"iy":541.133563623964,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:30:54.813Z","priceCents":51,"iy":563.3375731181303,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:40:30.777Z","priceCents":53,"iy":610.4044856604643,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:45:33.238Z","priceCents":50,"iy":541.3261749744167,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:51:01.628Z","priceCents":51,"iy":563.4545469404705,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:10:32.735Z","priceCents":52,"iy":586.5932837850535,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:26:02.404Z","priceCents":50,"iy":541.5510615884509,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:35:33.742Z","priceCents":52,"iy":586.7412551440331,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:40:30.902Z","priceCents":50,"iy":541.6314235260949,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:45:32.715Z","priceCents":51,"iy":563.7722923257007,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:51:10.147Z","priceCents":50,"iy":541.6957302503673,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:55:33.534Z","priceCents":52,"iy":586.8631699763523,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:05:31.616Z","priceCents":53,"iy":610.9390460002837,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:11:16.715Z","priceCents":50,"iy":541.8083037689076,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:15:32.539Z","priceCents":52,"iy":586.9851354828494,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:25:32.575Z","priceCents":51,"iy":564.0066499156338,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:30:51.599Z","priceCents":53,"iy":611.0932456585372,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:35:34.818Z","priceCents":50,"iy":541.9450631031923,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:40:29.949Z","priceCents":52,"iy":587.1333046262888,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:50:48.264Z","priceCents":51,"iy":564.1490335367887,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:55:30.068Z","priceCents":52,"iy":587.2292186448062,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:20:31.818Z","priceCents":53,"iy":611.410960770141,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:25:32.814Z","priceCents":51,"iy":564.3501681378476,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:30:59.266Z","priceCents":52,"iy":587.4385944061486,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:45:30.466Z","priceCents":51,"iy":564.467562901063,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:55:33.695Z","priceCents":53,"iy":611.6290135683945,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:01:24.524Z","priceCents":51,"iy":564.5598359121925,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:10:34.669Z","priceCents":52,"iy":587.6830549115193,"cri":1.083}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 501%","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 1.60)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x635d4fdd418b1d335b74dbfee01b7e8a9e8003ca60ad4501a0d231b2e87584bd","reason":"Greta Thunberg arrested by...?: June 30"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Greta%20Thunberg%20arrested%20by%20December%2031%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2315}