{"ticker":"0x035a884ce6f5336373bf691a94a8bf26ce9cb7442b944f611596f1f979dc80b5","venue":"polymarket","title":"Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":35,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":65,"spread":61,"volume":4871.330037999998,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1137.26158,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":274.184968748078,"iyNo":86.75383776794656,"cri":1.778,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.7222,"cvr":null,"overround":0.31,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":61,"bidDepthUsd":22703,"askDepthUsd":333,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:17:43.798Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x0042924c2b33e9e7a2ac2969ad7e1be3c790ef80be526350d7fe2b936e18d1de","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2774a88561f965120ffcb9e4027503e9a7aeca484be187f409fef00ce3033194","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x86575cc9ae593201e788fbcd30a07be98c8d922a63994a0424ea0d620ae97e03","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4f5fd359d70d8694ac8d366117d91023d0504e5f402b11c16bc6fea497fe2646","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $800M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9f792d81fcffb9ee4b2ae766ac286512712327cd93925eed60d512f2c0805c6a","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2232353eadccd26a40d742e78710cbbe11b4a4edea3de0f1ec0ffaea09ded474","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $100M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":-1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:10:30.785Z","priceCents":36,"iy":273.5607728841316,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:35:34.041Z","priceCents":35,"iy":285.7937899930615,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:15:31.871Z","priceCents":34,"iy":298.7609049590589,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:30:33.828Z","priceCents":33,"iy":312.4926125621902,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:35:34.463Z","priceCents":34,"iy":298.7785427147893,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:50:40.123Z","priceCents":33,"iy":312.5110618437091,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:10:48.711Z","priceCents":37,"iy":262.10008792520455,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:20:31.378Z","priceCents":36,"iy":273.6646080902569,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:05:33.477Z","priceCents":35,"iy":285.92036530318705,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:50:41.956Z","priceCents":34,"iy":298.8970216009862,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:15:30.206Z","priceCents":33,"iy":312.64290580582536,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:30:28.133Z","priceCents":32,"iy":327.2389366343066,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:45:33.004Z","priceCents":31,"iy":342.7785134967763,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:00:28.234Z","priceCents":30,"iy":359.353023909986,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:10:32.153Z","priceCents":29,"iy":377.0662802931616,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:30:29.356Z","priceCents":28,"iy":396.0567934590949,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:46:10.478Z","priceCents":27,"iy":416.44941589237857,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:55:34.498Z","priceCents":26,"iy":438.40385288978086,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:05:48.570Z","priceCents":28,"iy":396.0985797122769,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:10:44.091Z","priceCents":36,"iy":273.8493987739613,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:30:17.749Z","priceCents":35,"iy":286.0917217898188,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:45:53.193Z","priceCents":34,"iy":299.05093225931546,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:50:53.347Z","priceCents":33,"iy":312.78542229357464,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:55:43.243Z","priceCents":34,"iy":299.05850572543716,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:00:38.487Z","priceCents":33,"iy":312.79466395710125,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:10:56.245Z","priceCents":32,"iy":327.3936405961782,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:25:41.052Z","priceCents":31,"iy":342.9391237779432,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:40:40.692Z","priceCents":30,"iy":359.5229250391184,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:20:41.140Z","priceCents":29,"iy":377.2764151359542,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:35:54.640Z","priceCents":28,"iy":396.2725052022075,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:20:45.934Z","priceCents":27,"iy":416.71143440849414,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:25:44.001Z","priceCents":37,"iy":262.4354396835025,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:30:42.964Z","priceCents":36,"iy":274.0101383751199,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:15:52.014Z","priceCents":35,"iy":286.28020950040036,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:30:41.350Z","priceCents":34,"iy":299.2479671262009,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:35:56.643Z","priceCents":37,"iy":262.48864347079046,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:40:54.085Z","priceCents":36,"iy":274.06684696886293,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:50:43.652Z","priceCents":35,"iy":286.3104389570457,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:55:54.274Z","priceCents":37,"iy":262.50416530581936,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:00:52.526Z","priceCents":36,"iy":274.08305373576616,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:15:18.047Z","priceCents":35,"iy":286.33099863442146,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:45:17.468Z","priceCents":34,"iy":299.3124386993464,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:50:23.465Z","priceCents":37,"iy":262.5463052558927,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:55:19.023Z","priceCents":36,"iy":274.12589513370216,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:10:22.656Z","priceCents":35,"iy":286.37696623890184,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:20:18.191Z","priceCents":34,"iy":299.34405255929846,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:40:19.899Z","priceCents":33,"iy":313.1065599377243,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:50:30.270Z","priceCents":37,"iy":262.59289673367323,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:55:18.623Z","priceCents":36,"iy":274.17454214259897,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:15:21.932Z","priceCents":35,"iy":286.43142065155456,"cri":1.857}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 274%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","illiquid (LAS 1.72)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0042924c2b33e9e7a2ac2969ad7e1be3c790ef80be526350d7fe2b936e18d1de","reason":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x2774a88561f965120ffcb9e4027503e9a7aeca484be187f409fef00ce3033194","reason":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x86575cc9ae593201e788fbcd30a07be98c8d922a63994a0424ea0d620ae97e03","reason":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Ventuals%20FDV%20above%20%241.5B%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":254}