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This may be established through credible reporting, prior attribution (such as a known exchange or historical address), or broad consensus among experts. \n\nThe derivation must rely on a quantum computing method that provides a computational advantage for solving the elliptic curve discrete logarithm problem underlying Bitcoin’s ECDSA (e.g., Shor’s algorithm or a comparable quantum algorithm). Purely classical methods, side-channel attacks, or approaches where quantum computation does not play a material role in deriving the key do not qualify.\n\nThe derived private key must be shown to be valid by either signing and broadcasting a valid transaction from the target address on the Bitcoin mainnet, or by independent reproduction and confirmation by multiple credible third parties. The result must be widely accepted by the cryptographic research community as valid.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","price":23,"bestBid":17,"bestAsk":28,"spread":11,"volume":313.389889,"volume24h":7.141427,"openInterest":797.6963,"status":"open","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":null,"iyYes":null,"iyNo":null,"cri":3.545,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":11,"bidDepthUsd":11153,"askDepthUsd":262,"volume24h":7.141427},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:11:07.980Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x11921d4ea572e1f804a719ced0d5700676461f75d4394205ad6620f408138d0f","connectedTitle":"Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?: December 31, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:355171","groupLabel":"Quantum breaks Bitcoin by 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