{"ticker":"0x07fa4131c9062da54b4ab80cbeeedc504ac0ab9173d442e70c58ecda831c66f6","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":55,"bestBid":38,"bestAsk":70,"spread":32,"volume":3743.686497000001,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":364.2854,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":132.6609824363522,"iyNo":155.692402998219,"cri":1.083,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6346,"cvr":null,"overround":0.24,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":32,"bidDepthUsd":14667,"askDepthUsd":2371,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:48:54.758Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x84cb5dcd5ec50412a9b9c102633371e19fac46ee7fc341b2588560dca694f496","connectedTitle":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?: June 30, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:127102","groupLabel":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb8332bd4e639714343acc69c069a779fd99a21599e51a6b2ee2eb1e40971adbb","connectedTitle":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?: December 31, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:127102","groupLabel":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":-1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:00:33.825Z","priceCents":51,"iy":149.46844156325923,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:05:30.064Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.58404286602112,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:10:38.056Z","priceCents":52,"iy":155.57846335036993,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:15:32.391Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.5264920407589,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:20:31.754Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.5913393833475,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:25:30.587Z","priceCents":53,"iy":161.95056627444967,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:30:47.689Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.78756400694667,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:35:29.786Z","priceCents":49,"iy":149.48255667448652,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:40:30.224Z","priceCents":52,"iy":155.59070692285195,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:45:29.780Z","priceCents":49,"iy":149.48667408411808,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:50:37.741Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.54306860651602,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:55:28.707Z","priceCents":51,"iy":149.4907917205792,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:00:30.039Z","priceCents":50,"iy":143.63010329562223,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:05:29.753Z","priceCents":52,"iy":155.60172778584482,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:10:35.672Z","priceCents":51,"iy":149.49667445189775,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:15:28.125Z","priceCents":50,"iy":143.63632070645457,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:20:27.522Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.61854105865754,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:25:28.529Z","priceCents":53,"iy":161.97733422568095,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:30:44.750Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.81705701030074,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:35:27.917Z","priceCents":49,"iy":149.50726453509387,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:40:30.559Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.5672483780254,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:45:38.477Z","priceCents":49,"iy":149.51138330598383,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:50:34.014Z","priceCents":53,"iy":161.9881713884258,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:55:28.973Z","priceCents":52,"iy":155.62316171165145,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:00:34.861Z","priceCents":57,"iy":190.4248648285503,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:10:31.281Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.6417689469156,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:20:30.614Z","priceCents":53,"iy":162.00156047406458,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:25:32.402Z","priceCents":52,"iy":155.6354123206831,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:45:37.268Z","priceCents":56,"iy":182.85447646365887,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:50:30.409Z","priceCents":58,"iy":198.40645037458236,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:00:34.368Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.66500323552705,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:06:04.011Z","priceCents":53,"iy":162.0219671468531,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:10:31.048Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.66965086152456,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:15:31.551Z","priceCents":53,"iy":162.02579397036232,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:25:36.270Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.61770191442983,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:35:29.254Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.68093901965824,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:40:31.299Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.6246156161122,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:45:32.794Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.6855875239421,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:50:29.683Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.6294555311906,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:55:29.599Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.69023628443966,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:00:55.179Z","priceCents":53,"iy":162.04620674918058,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:05:29.351Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.69488530117215,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:10:31.474Z","priceCents":53,"iy":162.05003471782732,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:15:32.193Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.6995345741608,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:22:01.254Z","priceCents":53,"iy":162.05513895736013,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:25:34.483Z","priceCents":55,"iy":175.64674312002865,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:30:31.111Z","priceCents":53,"iy":162.0589673480292,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:35:29.861Z","priceCents":52,"iy":155.6911769531122,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:41:44.159Z","priceCents":54,"iy":168.71149102439463,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:45:48.842Z","priceCents":53,"iy":162.06598653407167,"cri":1.128}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 133%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x84cb5dcd5ec50412a9b9c102633371e19fac46ee7fc341b2588560dca694f496","reason":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?: June 30, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xb8332bd4e639714343acc69c069a779fd99a21599e51a6b2ee2eb1e40971adbb","reason":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?: December 31, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Oro%20launch%20a%20token%20by%20September%2030%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2805}