{"ticker":"0x1522a8bc6e0edaec715b93b1bb35558ff56906ede6bcbe55282267a8a167fa64","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":6,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":6,"spread":0,"volume":2871.5701880000006,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7250.98967,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-23","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":45,"iyYes":12768.12694443204,"iyNo":52.02043571746871,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.432,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":2059,"askDepthUsd":1819,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"unknown","asPrior":0.35},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:12:11.529Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xe8ddce0b363dec3cd83336187125c4b23ba35ddd9ab082356b38f1cb122f3ae9","connectedTitle":"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner: Ritchie Torres","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90313","groupLabel":"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe34353946e1b980f8ff778a5deab963630446b5286b870e230ec59b017dfdf12","connectedTitle":"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner: Amanda Septimo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90313","groupLabel":"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe03ff7a92557db1422537bd232deff224eb7349e0d9978957e4d471fee5ec7e0","connectedTitle":"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner: Dalourny Nemorin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90313","groupLabel":"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:40:33.242Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4689.674487362349,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:40:47.413Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5237.396766684737,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:15:47.092Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4710.2442193116385,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:20:47.119Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5239.735859890899,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:30:48.195Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4710.995610225116,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:10:26.280Z","priceCents":10,"iy":5260.123937166739,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:30:27.937Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4729.8586065663285,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:35:26.955Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4295.794615010138,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:50:29.770Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4746.736025366581,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:25:29.310Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4303.945372588745,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:35:22.318Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4816.881401069694,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:45:22.015Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4369.354663184242,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:55:23.853Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4841.043585039783,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:05:23.464Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4394.245344453018,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T19:20:38.090Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4906.106618901915,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T19:30:35.543Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4447.2505136768195,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T22:05:32.138Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4915.497625096654,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T22:55:31.614Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4457.767785272157,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T23:20:33.352Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4919.755806856611,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T01:50:32.814Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4466.84356034689,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T05:40:57.538Z","priceCents":11,"iy":5112.5838654187255,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T06:50:23.609Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4637.731381212278,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T20:05:32.943Z","priceCents":11,"iy":5166.24707972258,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T21:20:24.237Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4686.779546263709,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T19:35:35.713Z","priceCents":11,"iy":5256.26836498259,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T20:05:35.984Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4765.889761349406,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T07:20:44.275Z","priceCents":13,"iy":4385.916450052622,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T11:11:00.982Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4819.870109602526,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T11:45:50.626Z","priceCents":50,"iy":657.539182129346,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:45:58.980Z","priceCents":49,"iy":684.8957221887817,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:50:56.940Z","priceCents":48,"iy":712.9120466360167,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:56:05.423Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4042.737882733555,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:01:03.895Z","priceCents":11,"iy":5325.078109888238,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:11:00.459Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4827.0845731667005,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:26:01.139Z","priceCents":13,"iy":4406.010656010656,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:41:04.823Z","priceCents":12,"iy":4828.913344157798,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:50:59.396Z","priceCents":13,"iy":4407.362119864149,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T14:45:38.996Z","priceCents":12,"iy":5209.0428464856805,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-03T04:25:59.190Z","priceCents":11,"iy":5811.634002128935,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T18:16:12.931Z","priceCents":9,"iy":7495.187870500124,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T18:45:49.005Z","priceCents":4,"iy":17798.366451298305,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T19:15:50.037Z","priceCents":5,"iy":14096.387991137666,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T19:55:51.506Z","priceCents":3,"iy":24001.76259236662,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T20:02:15.746Z","priceCents":5,"iy":14105.5629004373,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T20:30:50.428Z","priceCents":3,"iy":24013.972258961578,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T20:35:49.955Z","priceCents":5,"iy":14112.164747059538,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T20:40:52.102Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9868.707953693096,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T23:41:03.952Z","priceCents":8,"iy":8564.054434537777,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T23:55:47.627Z","priceCents":7,"iy":9895.895586567585,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T01:16:25.096Z","priceCents":6,"iy":11682.704421789553,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 12768%","tight LAS 0.000","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x1522a8bc6e0edaec715b93b1bb35558ff56906ede6bcbe55282267a8a167fa64","marketTitle":"Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe8ddce0b363dec3cd83336187125c4b23ba35ddd9ab082356b38f1cb122f3ae9","reason":"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner: Ritchie Torres"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe34353946e1b980f8ff778a5deab963630446b5286b870e230ec59b017dfdf12","reason":"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner: Amanda Septimo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe03ff7a92557db1422537bd232deff224eb7349e0d9978957e4d471fee5ec7e0","reason":"NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner: Dalourny Nemorin"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Michael%20Blake%20be%20the%20Democratic%20nominee%20for%20NY-15%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":93}