{"ticker":"0x182390641d3b1b47cc64274b9da290efd04221c586651ba190880713da6347d9","venue":"polymarket","title":"US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.\n\nAgreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.","price":69,"bestBid":68,"bestAsk":69,"spread":1,"volume":1787034.1142160133,"volume24h":26585.825407999975,"openInterest":142412.8634,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US military assets pinned in Middle East — largest deployment since 2003. Pacifi","thesisSlug":"china-taiwan-window","thesisPrice":65,"edge":-3,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-15T06:04:07.149Z","firstDetectedPrice":55}],"indicators":{"tauDays":206,"iyYes":79.68739722156845,"iyNo":394.78844762943515,"cri":2.226,"ee":-10,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.029,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.392,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"sfEdgeCents":-3,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T05:25:21.206Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":-8.729999999999563,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:31:26.623Z","priceCents":70,"iy":401.2979751336612,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:45:28.435Z","priceCents":69,"iy":382.8230191777839,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T19:45:28.243Z","priceCents":68,"iy":365.55564457976135,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T22:00:44.625Z","priceCents":67,"iy":349.42008839020866,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T22:31:06.509Z","priceCents":66,"iy":334.1142740164225,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T23:31:02.303Z","priceCents":67,"iy":349.5239156969183,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T06:15:27.459Z","priceCents":68,"iy":366.3118272968136,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T10:01:20.443Z","priceCents":67,"iy":350.247471930791,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T12:00:26.859Z","priceCents":65,"iy":320.4998311381291,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T12:15:57.046Z","priceCents":64,"iy":306.81921465839304,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T12:30:56.679Z","priceCents":65,"iy":320.5316569764104,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T13:15:30.371Z","priceCents":64,"iy":306.8787072419171,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:31:06.577Z","priceCents":65,"iy":320.91254135680066,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T19:00:57.122Z","priceCents":64,"iy":307.2274198367907,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T23:01:03.188Z","priceCents":65,"iy":321.1968967438284,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T23:15:29.693Z","priceCents":64,"iy":307.4851035577185,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T05:45:43.176Z","priceCents":65,"iy":321.62513895290516,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T06:45:38.010Z","priceCents":64,"iy":307.94184117583166,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T09:00:28.889Z","priceCents":65,"iy":321.83128444256045,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T09:15:34.821Z","priceCents":64,"iy":308.0939011124089,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T10:45:38.727Z","priceCents":66,"iy":336.5104163174446,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:45:42.795Z","priceCents":68,"iy":369.10795441026016,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T22:30:26.603Z","priceCents":67,"iy":352.7818482450925,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T11:30:25.486Z","priceCents":66,"iy":338.1662992085309,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T12:30:27.644Z","priceCents":68,"iy":370.26384506322836,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T12:45:35.443Z","priceCents":67,"iy":353.7822512558511,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T15:00:25.035Z","priceCents":68,"iy":370.4477611940299,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T15:15:44.736Z","priceCents":67,"iy":353.95798994125363,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T04:15:24.746Z","priceCents":66,"iy":339.296634836539,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T19:00:22.053Z","priceCents":67,"iy":355.92321431482276,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T20:00:42.608Z","priceCents":66,"iy":340.3675008237205,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T00:30:40.669Z","priceCents":67,"iy":356.315111650987,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T01:45:51.585Z","priceCents":66,"iy":340.75873348083985,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T02:45:29.311Z","priceCents":67,"iy":356.47622775121164,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T03:01:33.914Z","priceCents":66,"iy":340.8456140569316,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T04:31:29.597Z","priceCents":67,"iy":358.32746133455487,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T05:45:24.711Z","priceCents":66,"iy":342.68205250759627,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T11:45:38.454Z","priceCents":67,"iy":358.8497438674187,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T12:45:25.188Z","priceCents":66,"iy":343.1666949671164,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T13:15:26.481Z","priceCents":67,"iy":358.95751281708044,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T13:30:28.196Z","priceCents":66,"iy":343.21822723867615,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T20:15:24.705Z","priceCents":67,"iy":359.46594135538436,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T20:45:25.534Z","priceCents":66,"iy":343.7210622964106,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T21:00:32.843Z","priceCents":67,"iy":359.5200029402577,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T22:00:45.434Z","priceCents":66,"iy":343.807791891959,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T22:15:42.183Z","priceCents":67,"iy":359.61246848703667,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T23:30:33.216Z","priceCents":68,"iy":376.4804387923503,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T02:15:36.302Z","priceCents":69,"iy":394.55836878901505,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T04:15:30.442Z","priceCents":68,"iy":376.8407806707706,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T05:00:47.225Z","priceCents":69,"iy":394.7788556538962,"cri":2.226}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.029"],"warnings":["price shifted 25% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 62c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x182390641d3b1b47cc64274b9da290efd04221c586651ba190880713da6347d9","marketTitle":"US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":62},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=US-Iran%20nuclear%20deal%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":72}