{"ticker":"0x184e4a8f7cae608a3a54505dd2c075a9f59c1fdb8150c87195a6f586185efd7c","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?","description":"This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.","price":1,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":1,"spread":0,"volume":140024.32507799988,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5528.8964,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":2100320,"askDepthUsd":1111,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T10:41:11.467Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xe9eb11a4b76b9374c6d35a4613e95ba24869901d5311c62013a8b54d460c98db","connectedTitle":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Larry Ellison","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79090","groupLabel":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4610581e0083b8d64854b8572232d65f69f11cbd64bee2dbe91929eab73c3e37","connectedTitle":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Bernard Arnault","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79090","groupLabel":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xeba7140189c1f7e35e9bfee1ee15eea57edfe73161942b973e72221d2faa479b","connectedTitle":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Jensen Huang","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79090","groupLabel":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x440978f224fb7ce671b4b28ee6e88da9dfde1c551f8453d0985eea4762920791","connectedTitle":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Steve Ballmer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79090","groupLabel":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb6a7fc8b3a3c7428a29976ef7e30748cbdc4776ad76c7098cadfaceb681441ef","connectedTitle":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Sergey Brin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79090","groupLabel":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x01529e40f3b4cdf5eafe074adfe1bb9c152d57747ad93b7a87d3823d5d4d608f","connectedTitle":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Elon Musk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79090","groupLabel":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x83f44cfb8c848cfb995d2f37e25baaffdfd502ffaa35c74cbe277c82a6ae7b99","connectedTitle":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Mark Zuckerberg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79090","groupLabel":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x350f0bbfb5900db865c92d0d171ad9e511624134669adbe8540f74248f9012df","connectedTitle":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Jeff Bezos","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79090","groupLabel":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xca5e7321fd8fabb9c70edd53674120064f687a4790de8a2c46fca144f9c8caae","connectedTitle":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Warren Buffett","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79090","groupLabel":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:30:24.818Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4632.264530369103,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:00:16.675Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7020.608439646713,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:55:13.501Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14193.576262731403,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:00:32.791Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7044.8055145248645,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:15:26.180Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14257.362456993149,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:55:28.463Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7060.936852286861,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:10:21.540Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14301.885149549393,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:25:18.986Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7078.99101124485,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:30:20.437Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14302.621058714567,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T09:15:21.462Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7079.971814705439,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T09:40:19.807Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14305.395551016045,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T10:20:22.155Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7081.233247152264,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T11:00:21.284Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14308.567717717122,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T11:40:24.351Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7082.775608481113,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T12:50:23.738Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14312.875051987405,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T12:56:15.363Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7084.262519755526,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:25:22.772Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14314.235801632856,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:30:21.976Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7084.936043448463,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T14:40:23.928Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14317.184980327986,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:10:21.590Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7086.873137640272,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:15:22.120Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14318.603287315147,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:26:24.700Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7087.182047654712,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T20:40:22.545Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14331.380706673699,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T07:36:01.387Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7191.886859978366,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T07:41:07.927Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14530.722213286148,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T08:25:17.192Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7192.870270944182,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T08:30:16.688Z","priceCents":1,"iy":14532.709152771411,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T13:25:27.384Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7198.892292335002,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T11:55:47.225Z","priceCents":50,"iy":148.07122022855705,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:50:56.940Z","priceCents":27,"iy":400.40243111673124,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:56:04.511Z","priceCents":16,"iy":777.5063803198071,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:01:03.895Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1332.8843048308433,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:11:00.459Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7257.020665365529,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:16:04.885Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1967.6789387924027,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:21:00.265Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3554.5600623265327,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:26:00.370Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4788.860033544339,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:45:58.260Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7257.75689253569,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T16:15:21.850Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4791.134675473532,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T16:20:23.100Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7260.909633442813,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T17:05:33.904Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4791.815543861929,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T17:15:18.312Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7262.029957650002,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T17:20:18.303Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4792.010113232472,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T17:55:18.789Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7262.85568094602,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:10:33.489Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4792.6912304782945,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:15:19.266Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7263.268613014185,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:00:23.852Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4793.372541374231,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:10:34.314Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7264.389665354732,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T11:50:43.379Z","priceCents":1,"iy":15150.56225000629,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T12:20:43.101Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7499.391997853124,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-06T12:25:42.966Z","priceCents":1,"iy":15152.086949958488,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe9eb11a4b76b9374c6d35a4613e95ba24869901d5311c62013a8b54d460c98db","reason":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Larry Ellison"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x4610581e0083b8d64854b8572232d65f69f11cbd64bee2dbe91929eab73c3e37","reason":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Bernard Arnault"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xeba7140189c1f7e35e9bfee1ee15eea57edfe73161942b973e72221d2faa479b","reason":"Richest person on December 31, 2026?: Jensen Huang"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Larry%20Page%20be%20richest%20person%20on%20December%2031%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":95}