{"ticker":"0x1a45316dbed369343a66a803aa5b8b324a59ba190c56602346e2f33b9a467b14","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Billie Eilish be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart.\n\nIf Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.","price":26,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":51,"spread":51,"volume":1499.5008619999994,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":107.26601,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":236,"iyYes":464.4652287332188,"iyNo":51.607247637024315,"cri":3,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":2.56,"cvr":null,"overround":3.5,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":51,"bidDepthUsd":18436,"askDepthUsd":116,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:58:08.952Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xbc27f4df47babdd7d6a51b696d14564aaa5870b6a49607976da21f36d36c7470","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Drake","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd9d8a2cb1ce46bfabf87a87e79adca354b1fbe643d6f77e6869cb2203a32c7de","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Olivia Rodrigo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x924e5c02d1d8cc3322f15745fadbf14c745f8e28138762abe758638b16cd93d2","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Kendrick Lamar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7a71a12647464db8f153c79de8a7bb392af01c1e83b20697a154c47311bebdfb","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: SZA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3f043edeb702bbabdd11a3e72d85d5845251996cfb4d02fed702a9608ecb305a","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Tyler, The Creator","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc2c2e59a10f3a5c437c27a4aefd938cc474b24336539fbb16c925b52e9f315fd","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Luke Combs","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x306ace7b3332c32f3accfa72932e10f1b3b4bfc05cbd269910bc7a8f9ff1b699","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Doja Cat","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x45645b3996c6170c477de5f81a04da30d0df6ebf01acb155733aed37458497c2","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Morgan Wallen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7e92a918da062830c6e36b3413a338ef9347c79a8609cf397dad14699819d40f","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Taylor Swift","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb03c796aa51f9123a654408a0af736ad53b103f7233b7c1f8b3261bb671205c4","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Sabrina Carpenter","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd43c17fd270d5ee49c4cb7a1e970b6cbb0034fd9f011498f82e54c23d9081971","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Bad Bunny","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbfe96d50581032d229cd39c8d61317fc05cb3314bbdd568e856a89d79ee03a9b","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: The Weeknd","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x830653b1f6f992126fa957ed09200605e11969ca4988a47b9389317a7cec4ecd","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Post Malone","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0x550ab3b4b686259c5d36304a4a3f98995998ade2d699a3cb1de0ef2f261e34f7","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Zach Bryan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbf971358cd32c1b5b487cc301e23120ba7820deeaac81e125b7091de877bd85b","connectedTitle":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Ed Sheeran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:149720","groupLabel":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":-1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:30:28.989Z","priceCents":35,"iy":287.2020467912359,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:50:33.683Z","priceCents":34,"iy":300.21542232421314,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:05:38.296Z","priceCents":33,"iy":314.01405365370846,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:25:37.690Z","priceCents":30,"iy":360.9032327324401,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:40:31.886Z","priceCents":29,"iy":378.6977648429358,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:46:11.357Z","priceCents":30,"iy":360.92464514962484,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:50:31.464Z","priceCents":29,"iy":378.7089990698504,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:55:35.188Z","priceCents":28,"iy":397.7654903019687,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:05:49.205Z","priceCents":38,"iy":252.39085406031415,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:15:58.624Z","priceCents":37,"iy":263.40088515068487,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:20:27.502Z","priceCents":35,"iy":287.29577478433146,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:25:18.154Z","priceCents":34,"iy":300.2994018694105,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:30:18.597Z","priceCents":33,"iy":314.0925781291641,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:35:58.365Z","priceCents":34,"iy":300.30958440095526,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:41:12.215Z","priceCents":33,"iy":314.10189719857834,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:50:54.205Z","priceCents":32,"iy":328.76192656078456,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:55:43.243Z","priceCents":33,"iy":314.11521111419376,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:05:44.896Z","priceCents":31,"iy":344.37244019562706,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:15:41.486Z","priceCents":39,"iy":242.00208383739113,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:20:43.567Z","priceCents":38,"iy":252.44648870695192,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:25:41.871Z","priceCents":36,"iy":275.0706399301773,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:30:48.823Z","priceCents":39,"iy":242.01336861630637,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:35:44.216Z","priceCents":38,"iy":252.45719048949252,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:40:41.362Z","priceCents":37,"iy":263.46676663776304,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:45:43.356Z","priceCents":35,"iy":287.36763374404603,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:00:39.868Z","priceCents":41,"iy":222.67891995295156,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:10:51.452Z","priceCents":40,"iy":232.1223401323627,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:15:44.482Z","priceCents":39,"iy":242.04517683810835,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:20:42.095Z","priceCents":38,"iy":252.4903717823098,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:25:43.112Z","priceCents":37,"iy":263.5013955432684,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:35:55.303Z","priceCents":36,"iy":275.1277883777354,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:45:43.158Z","priceCents":34,"iy":300.4241854813184,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:50:48.962Z","priceCents":35,"iy":287.42246559410745,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:55:59.811Z","priceCents":36,"iy":275.14412086742016,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:05:47.396Z","priceCents":34,"iy":300.44202017763115,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:25:44.803Z","priceCents":33,"iy":314.255075402585,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:30:42.964Z","priceCents":32,"iy":328.91667938866544,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:35:52.196Z","priceCents":33,"iy":314.2644041171656,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:40:49.692Z","priceCents":32,"iy":328.92644345963816,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:45:42.001Z","priceCents":30,"iy":361.1787290466861,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:50:44.125Z","priceCents":31,"iy":344.54039255579335,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:55:57.478Z","priceCents":30,"iy":361.19098308975913,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:00:43.270Z","priceCents":29,"iy":378.98846421414413,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:10:53.976Z","priceCents":27,"iy":418.5406354340633,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:15:52.014Z","priceCents":26,"iy":440.5979081631487,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:30:41.350Z","priceCents":25,"iy":464.435678839547,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:40:55.124Z","priceCents":26,"iy":440.6315468695909,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:45:44.781Z","priceCents":24,"iy":490.25845492591344,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:50:44.810Z","priceCents":25,"iy":464.4632586233224,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:55:55.568Z","priceCents":24,"iy":490.273011725549,"cri":3.167}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 464%","15 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 2.56)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xbc27f4df47babdd7d6a51b696d14564aaa5870b6a49607976da21f36d36c7470","reason":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Drake"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xd9d8a2cb1ce46bfabf87a87e79adca354b1fbe643d6f77e6869cb2203a32c7de","reason":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Olivia Rodrigo"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x924e5c02d1d8cc3322f15745fadbf14c745f8e28138762abe758638b16cd93d2","reason":"Billboard #1 Artist 2026: Kendrick Lamar"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Billie%20Eilish%20be%20the%20Billboard%20%231%20top%20artist%20in%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":115}