{"ticker":"0x1aefad90587d76710cdc5ce7e21b9282821afb9fa8a4e428a0b1c8b73e25d009","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?","description":"The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve \"Yes\" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":18,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":25,"spread":14,"volume":1175.4335779999997,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2087.1817,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-02","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":3,"iyYes":54768.70150783195,"iyNo":2639.0629518943406,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":1.27,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":14},"computedAt":"2026-05-29T23:38:14.928Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x2b339c01becc3f9851d4b24203f0606bb602373dbdaa8800d1d7e551f97f22c7","connectedTitle":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Chris Richardson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:403646","groupLabel":"CA-03 Primary Winners"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6b9a06bb8ffe4c0111add3f353efcd429241a695d4140e811f7d4e06ce3ba98a","connectedTitle":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Chris Bennett","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:403646","groupLabel":"CA-03 Primary Winners"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6bf1d90310b4f7a967a6448086b48e85390d04e981887cc96736dae28876fed9","connectedTitle":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Laura Koscki","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:403646","groupLabel":"CA-03 Primary Winners"},{"connectedTicker":"0x92a88eeaf3ac02b38a824b466179c688f737dcfa8da80e3809d8b7749f1028fb","connectedTitle":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Lyndon Cervantes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:403646","groupLabel":"CA-03 Primary Winners"},{"connectedTicker":"0x952691f60725bfb003b1f1354b14b73db7103a7e20a918387eff8ae158695080","connectedTitle":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Heidi Hall","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:403646","groupLabel":"CA-03 Primary Winners"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9818528d28c6d0df2c340bb7dcd3e5ca3a78588dda0b65fb4b4a643e1c218603","connectedTitle":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Robb Tucker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:403646","groupLabel":"CA-03 Primary Winners"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf52b770a05bee6bf830e30d547da04c900917d21c3cb8f087e6bf030e416470a","connectedTitle":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Ami Bera","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:403646","groupLabel":"CA-03 Primary Winners"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:00:48.767Z","priceCents":25,"iy":24113.631358731556,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:15:29.910Z","priceCents":24,"iy":25509.453395129847,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:45:25.602Z","priceCents":27,"iy":22087.105010113064,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:01:00.839Z","priceCents":24,"iy":25927.172125018693,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:26.666Z","priceCents":25,"iy":24971.4937286203,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:00:46.347Z","priceCents":28,"iy":21457.965902410346,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:15:28.843Z","priceCents":25,"iy":25091.659028414302,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:30:51.149Z","priceCents":30,"iy":19560.557341907825,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:26.097Z","priceCents":20,"iy":33617.31521989408,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:45.972Z","priceCents":25,"iy":25271.174705746595,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:27.811Z","priceCents":20,"iy":33772.84293314828,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:30:55.177Z","priceCents":21,"iy":31843.58158847955,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:30:44.942Z","priceCents":19,"iy":36441.51362011587,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:45:40.856Z","priceCents":20,"iy":34272.30046948357,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:15:47.447Z","priceCents":18,"iy":39225.70836937433,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:30:28.156Z","priceCents":19,"iy":36794.812759019806,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:31.363Z","priceCents":26,"iy":24628.879892037785,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:15:51.618Z","priceCents":19,"iy":37075.35457657726,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:30:27.007Z","priceCents":32,"iy":18524.599952233097,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:00:56.016Z","priceCents":24,"iy":27744.439110257637,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:15:28.261Z","priceCents":22,"iy":31137.894828943918,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:30:45.844Z","priceCents":28,"iy":22643.46027916595,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:45:28.657Z","priceCents":26,"iy":25123.244349362845,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T21:00:47.847Z","priceCents":20,"iy":35402.52182347236,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T01:15:45.940Z","priceCents":30,"iy":21577.569462038682,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T01:30:26.788Z","priceCents":19,"iy":39523.81588973705,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T04:31:26.744Z","priceCents":18,"iy":43619.56395009911,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T04:45:28.688Z","priceCents":31,"iy":21368.21027981877,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T05:00:31.535Z","priceCents":24,"iy":30488.877165215865,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T05:15:28.847Z","priceCents":22,"iy":34226.15469692962,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T05:30:33.608Z","priceCents":18,"iy":44105.511346890664,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T06:30:38.945Z","priceCents":19,"iy":41728.415971545925,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T06:45:42.199Z","priceCents":18,"iy":44722.37164544857,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T07:15:51.428Z","priceCents":19,"iy":42089.603234486,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T07:30:29.984Z","priceCents":17,"iy":48333.572647936315,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T07:45:41.488Z","priceCents":29,"iy":24302.98312905011,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T08:15:38.773Z","priceCents":31,"iy":22221.53596385967,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T08:30:35.327Z","priceCents":25,"iy":30041.152263374483,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T08:45:29.033Z","priceCents":21,"iy":37774.28440427066,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T09:00:55.869Z","priceCents":22,"iy":35708.910295003014,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T09:15:30.188Z","priceCents":21,"iy":37993.7807995362,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T09:30:58.595Z","priceCents":25,"iy":30382.90788013319,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T09:45:24.576Z","priceCents":19,"iy":43307.89400442381,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:15:29.479Z","priceCents":32,"iy":23946.434084594006,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:31:12.597Z","priceCents":28,"iy":29075.942644715877,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:45:26.416Z","priceCents":26,"iy":32282.354066070657,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:00:58.085Z","priceCents":25,"iy":34133.416458852866,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:30:48.446Z","priceCents":21,"iy":43084.25598039656,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:45:26.983Z","priceCents":19,"iy":48978.67899209781,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T20:01:16.567Z","priceCents":18,"iy":52519.82873587423,"cri":4.556}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 54769%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 16c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x1aefad90587d76710cdc5ce7e21b9282821afb9fa8a4e428a0b1c8b73e25d009","marketTitle":"Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":16},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x2b339c01becc3f9851d4b24203f0606bb602373dbdaa8800d1d7e551f97f22c7","reason":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Chris Richardson"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6b9a06bb8ffe4c0111add3f353efcd429241a695d4140e811f7d4e06ce3ba98a","reason":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Chris Bennett"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6bf1d90310b4f7a967a6448086b48e85390d04e981887cc96736dae28876fed9","reason":"CA-03 Primary Winners: Laura Koscki"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Christine%20Bish%20advance%20from%20the%20CA-03%20primary%20election%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":215}