{"ticker":"0x1e9479840bbaa72dfe39e821468f36725d89375af49f3642b8fa819a043980f2","venue":"polymarket","title":"Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":4,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":7,"spread":4,"volume":7775.9000049999995,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":4116.23767,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":609,"iyYes":1137.9467076666592,"iyNo":3.15220694644504,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.2,"cvr":null,"overround":1.08,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":28125,"askDepthUsd":249010,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-01T13:50:54.943Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xc40b9080a94f13f2013636d9d04b845d2ffcf1b0349876f1c3abf19efc4867da","connectedTitle":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $200M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192000","groupLabel":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x62794e40497cd6e62d03b96a93dcc1ce4dd64ddb920bc08a64ff96a811a7b124","connectedTitle":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $600M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192000","groupLabel":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x961d39ebff480c75486e57e8fd8bc5f7321e1b19b0f7095138be0efd7cf2ead1","connectedTitle":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192000","groupLabel":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8be578e4537f478c2e5945355b774e3aeef1340d9b3fca2ebffefca071bc2020","connectedTitle":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192000","groupLabel":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb75fbc93387a18087b23b82da30754a75b9e90dfdb2f897ef0c55479c7688193","connectedTitle":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $3B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192000","groupLabel":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb3aa9da576d62423159f8259d785080ac25e65471586308660ce15671758eefb","connectedTitle":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $400M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192000","groupLabel":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x67bed99b736912cb33934759c15ca932db7c8f57ec79c2dfb3c048934c54c92f","connectedTitle":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $800M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192000","groupLabel":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x59df60a70e4f0ba74790484cbab8be810f176d5bc0b2b07bef63cd13d6a1e1b5","connectedTitle":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1.5B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:192000","groupLabel":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:10:14.166Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1136.4325358914396,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:20:21.607Z","priceCents":6,"iy":937.0691557583186,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:50:13.151Z","priceCents":8,"iy":687.8723073015248,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:55:15.461Z","priceCents":7,"iy":794.6886843073739,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:30:15.301Z","priceCents":6,"iy":937.1444054582174,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:35:11.769Z","priceCents":7,"iy":794.7251508210169,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:45:12.441Z","priceCents":6,"iy":937.1597640247555,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:50:11.830Z","priceCents":7,"iy":794.7394778670498,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:00:36.509Z","priceCents":6,"iy":937.1766590294006,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:15:22.178Z","priceCents":7,"iy":794.9792068849952,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:20:12.303Z","priceCents":6,"iy":937.453209308629,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:50:12.074Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1136.9504807652897,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:55:21.180Z","priceCents":6,"iy":937.4900950113831,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:00:30.694Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1136.9635286363978,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:05:12.500Z","priceCents":6,"iy":937.5008538881284,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:15:23.684Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1136.982168971781,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:20:12.148Z","priceCents":6,"iy":937.5177611933774,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:25:16.394Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1136.9952175702235,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:20:13.482Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.3928829684141,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:35:11.413Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.16301194882,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:40:10.125Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.425857633144,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:45:20.954Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.1760646985126,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:55:10.558Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.4494118920302,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:05:16.049Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.202171096863,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:20:11.439Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.4918115047253,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:25:10.106Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.2282786939008,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:20:11.623Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.5883977447527,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:30:25.275Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.312204089732,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:40:10.796Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.6213813868974,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:45:12.209Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.332721070585,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:05:12.591Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.6637911523815,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:10:54.463Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.3662959087612,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:35:41.363Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.7132723768912,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:40:41.348Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.4036036095135,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T07:30:50.218Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.8028184953919,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T07:35:41.072Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.4744949842868,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:40:41.156Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1436.9183023367964,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:45:42.250Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.5659205918294,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T09:45:41.753Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1437.0243752799,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T09:55:48.993Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.6573608973958,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:15:41.176Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1437.073881346256,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:20:44.964Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.6890885199214,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:40:52.511Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1437.113960184069,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:45:50.583Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.7208179121712,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:45:24.850Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1437.22006201703,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:50:11.196Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.8048160234418,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:20:11.382Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1437.2766560675718,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:25:26.697Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.8514870004362,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:55:38.324Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1437.3356129432402,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:15:29.387Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1137.9149656738557,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1138%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 1.20)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xc40b9080a94f13f2013636d9d04b845d2ffcf1b0349876f1c3abf19efc4867da","reason":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $200M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x62794e40497cd6e62d03b96a93dcc1ce4dd64ddb920bc08a64ff96a811a7b124","reason":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $600M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x961d39ebff480c75486e57e8fd8bc5f7321e1b19b0f7095138be0efd7cf2ead1","reason":"Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Abstract%20FDV%20above%20%242.5B%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1575}