{"ticker":"0x1faa20762d1c728eabfa1fa67a527424993cb4d26e824e1bf05154ffa1dee1b1","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":95,"bestBid":94,"bestAsk":96,"spread":2,"volume":5158.366355999998,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":18176.34362,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-02","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":41,"iyYes":46.92131873330441,"iyNo":16938.59606272286,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0211,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":68857,"askDepthUsd":247,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T01:24:24.500Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:40:47.712Z","priceCents":94,"iy":12416.313827669803,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:05:11.679Z","priceCents":95,"iy":15063.64307745774,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:25:11.063Z","priceCents":94,"iy":12424.676980126298,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:55:25.729Z","priceCents":95,"iy":15075.103797578404,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T00:16:01.919Z","priceCents":94,"iy":12434.132799872423,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T00:55:26.960Z","priceCents":95,"iy":15088.551412036015,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T01:40:28.706Z","priceCents":94,"iy":12450.105232600323,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T01:45:19.390Z","priceCents":95,"iy":15100.050079473935,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T01:50:19.921Z","priceCents":94,"iy":12452.002990513094,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:30:31.793Z","priceCents":94,"iy":13541.247326087117,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:55:37.408Z","priceCents":95,"iy":16429.36675274216,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.021"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 86c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x1faa20762d1c728eabfa1fa67a527424993cb4d26e824e1bf05154ffa1dee1b1","marketTitle":"Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":86},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Joe%20Mitchell%20be%20the%20Republican%20Nominee%20for%20IA-02%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2411}