{"ticker":"0x21ce0ae1b82299b300f53d22a9971dfef63346a0b8962232a7248eadb48bd39c","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.\n\nAn announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\" Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":11,"bestBid":8,"bestAsk":14,"spread":6,"volume":171784.29421499994,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7537.6465,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":245,"iyYes":1204.6919385583008,"iyNo":18.40269215573215,"cri":8.091,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4545,"cvr":null,"overround":0.67,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-29T20:49:20.546Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will recognize Palestine?: Austria","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x0acc45f7c62722af4ad639a0e1b08dd324d83a1d728d20f3cdeefd39375aa7f3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: United States","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd904f952c9b101184dda166e40c76268e5bbb68286d6514999f661eb5dd6e2f5","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Italy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: The Netherlands","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x528fbd8194e1aa1f094589a02f18477b0edd7c4fb413140774a781d847972869","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc29194f3f96257d0e230310dc9ecd4258da318223174499451f8f3c29cecf9b3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd95a7d857f0c05108465c639a2e0643f94b52ed81c9bd08f1b6d20816a91d850","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Belgium","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xec00994dcf039406b7a19e344a47ccadfe523d92feb1ac1661b71c065e87866b","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Finland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xecf32b871ad1ab9ca961ce1a12d5758c59b07bdcb99f649a1dbe3f07e7cb4bde","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Greece","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x632131499208f242ade89e799edcf76965fea513e3c26c6f36e1b575f9007d68","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T02:30:36.788Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1196.1286450441762,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T09:25:45.124Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1085.3976840343814,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T11:11:00.982Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1332.4734113753075,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T11:45:49.442Z","priceCents":50,"iy":148.06701553689504,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:45:57.982Z","priceCents":40,"iy":222.13837090413358,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:50:56.940Z","priceCents":14,"iy":909.7205920284248,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T17:30:52.823Z","priceCents":15,"iy":839.8641057917463,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T17:35:23.142Z","priceCents":14,"iy":910.4520123048793,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:30:24.782Z","priceCents":13,"iy":992.0408675226342,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:35:21.680Z","priceCents":14,"iy":910.6073132877885,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:45:19.235Z","priceCents":13,"iy":992.2504164452031,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:50:26.331Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1087.311226928488,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:55:21.786Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1499.189810113156,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:00:20.933Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1199.6708798866694,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:20:33.032Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1334.9914048498592,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:25:36.186Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1200.1584201725627,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:20:48.908Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1337.2575838991745,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:26:00.478Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1202.195741965902,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:20:52.747Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1337.7095643179719,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:46:10.520Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1202.6755412039938,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:51:04.357Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1337.8239692443026,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:10:58.666Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1202.7588106664732,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:15:51.053Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1337.9165970895733,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:20:52.663Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1202.793101443759,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:26:43.372Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1337.9601911022594,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T12:06:04.573Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1202.9449841063881,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T12:20:49.962Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.161850370286,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T12:55:51.798Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.1165106399055,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:01:04.749Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.314497795957,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:50:49.858Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.3027948406705,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:56:40.277Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.5271718978563,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:00:53.215Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.3371166435027,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:05:51.706Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.559896989972,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:15:59.767Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.3861511869386,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:20:52.377Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.6198971483527,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:41:10.179Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.4744234362797,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:45:50.537Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.7126352466532,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:05:50.759Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.5578035635092,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:10:52.445Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.810842533837,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:50:59.455Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.7098794252133,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:56:11.708Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.9800110868362,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T16:00:57.286Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.7442244548504,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T16:06:03.001Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1339.018216354365,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T16:36:41.160Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.8669012758733,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T16:41:00.908Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1339.1492223966084,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:01:15.207Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.9503357978151,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:06:02.766Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1339.2474937522168,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:16:55.097Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1204.004329004329,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T18:06:27.936Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1339.471387912545,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:01:07.711Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1204.3578587084512,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1205%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 8.1","illiquid (LAS 0.45)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-AUS","reason":"Same market on kalshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0acc45f7c62722af4ad639a0e1b08dd324d83a1d728d20f3cdeefd39375aa7f3","reason":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Unite"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xd904f952c9b101184dda166e40c76268e5bbb68286d6514999f661eb5dd6e2f5","reason":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Italy"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df","reason":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: The N"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Austria%20recognize%20Palestine%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1903}