{"ticker":"0x22781a6f2893cd8544f16ced1e0309ebdc4a910ada6b085fd8566482acb0ef81","venue":"polymarket","title":"Ethereal FDV above $600M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":10,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":17,"spread":15,"volume":9.658716,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":74.8129,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":609,"iyYes":484.58812843368014,"iyNo":7.402495081489118,"cri":8.091,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.2727,"cvr":null,"overround":1.46,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":15,"bidDepthUsd":322,"askDepthUsd":1136,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-01T14:00:10.421Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x8b58c608388dc95bd30e98f1883bcb48ea682979a42a1cf59be770e6a4badf98","connectedTitle":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $100M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:256933","groupLabel":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6b9fee4f3c516fb87aea6fccac7f44f2cc7015635d62caf38d9972d2a8427224","connectedTitle":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:256933","groupLabel":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcfc588c0a301b9763e9b952bf42446ce23281b15cd40c90bdb9d8abe30b57853","connectedTitle":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $400M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:256933","groupLabel":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa164172b7cee74420cfce554c3a265b2553cb80e48b36e286e67f302b6574712","connectedTitle":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:256933","groupLabel":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb83b39ae2c55de30b3a3304341aaae989a5ee19d361c9e3c611e28a632cd4d1c","connectedTitle":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $800M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:256933","groupLabel":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xdb949c29645f4964b6ff22c0f37a6e3c400bb7ec1124bb44b3be8f28d25608d8","connectedTitle":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:256933","groupLabel":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb6e8fbeb2891516113c9761de03ee067c65efa61846ab517016800894b33c717","connectedTitle":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $50M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:256933","groupLabel":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8aa2e5fb26f19dde8e9911d9ec29b539775e6a71300a02c787915fc74b3ffdba","connectedTitle":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $200M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:256933","groupLabel":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x72863a4738cca108fcc921776061aaa3ef2eebe39eb71b3693d5816aecb03e0f","connectedTitle":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:256933","groupLabel":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:15:20.971Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.4757860893421,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:20:43.659Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.1328999875501,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:25:20.392Z","priceCents":11,"iy":483.778418910561,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:15:13.520Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.50595614503584,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T14:20:11.965Z","priceCents":11,"iy":483.8085360297735,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:25:14.592Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.2457612122244,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T16:40:16.583Z","priceCents":11,"iy":483.8862238031507,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:40:36.157Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.6087091412501,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T17:55:12.892Z","priceCents":11,"iy":483.9274560193589,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:00:25.680Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.61805271063776,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:35:11.769Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.3621989432695,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T19:40:15.876Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.6683710817574,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T20:55:11.916Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.4116119896153,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:10:13.833Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.13372254793387,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:15:22.178Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.8057270978111,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:20:12.303Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.5369500283614,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:25:11.279Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.14165938752694,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:35:18.158Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.81579846168563,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T00:40:11.581Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.15039021165205,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:00:30.694Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.82802859650445,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:05:13.563Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.1638839228826,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T02:10:14.248Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.8625644220732,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T02:15:09.984Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.20278176994793,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T02:35:12.074Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.8755167581583,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:00:15.563Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.2273938400194,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:30:18.341Z","priceCents":12,"iy":438.9330919474636,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:35:41.363Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.3465198543307,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:40:41.348Z","priceCents":13,"iy":400.62394135233876,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:45:45.030Z","priceCents":12,"iy":439.0007621009495,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T07:00:40.965Z","priceCents":13,"iy":400.63314040365344,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T07:05:41.642Z","priceCents":12,"iy":439.0108424197098,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T07:55:41.891Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.39021408004635,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:05:49.397Z","priceCents":12,"iy":439.0403660164168,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:40:41.156Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.4156398029352,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:45:42.250Z","priceCents":12,"iy":439.06053075474125,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:50:41.188Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.8505505789568,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:55:44.719Z","priceCents":12,"iy":439.06557222874716,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:20:44.964Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.4704731017848,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T10:25:42.162Z","priceCents":12,"iy":439.11095070528444,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:20:43.216Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.9424914728961,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:30:41.300Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.50942022933106,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:45:24.850Z","priceCents":12,"iy":439.1505745052036,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T11:55:12.042Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.52293396124685,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:00:15.718Z","priceCents":12,"iy":439.1577796007657,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:10:14.100Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.9725558784104,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:25:26.697Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.53962843559265,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:30:12.684Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.9849363144588,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:45:39.811Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.5507587243003,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T12:50:33.757Z","priceCents":10,"iy":538.9973173192883,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T13:20:24.821Z","priceCents":11,"iy":484.5698404089332,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 485%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 8.1","illiquid (LAS 1.27)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x8b58c608388dc95bd30e98f1883bcb48ea682979a42a1cf59be770e6a4badf98","reason":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $100M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6b9fee4f3c516fb87aea6fccac7f44f2cc7015635d62caf38d9972d2a8427224","reason":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xcfc588c0a301b9763e9b952bf42446ce23281b15cd40c90bdb9d8abe30b57853","reason":"Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $400M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Ethereal%20FDV%20above%20%24600M%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2348}