{"ticker":"0x23ad896f6bc3f17aebe9bc04f7febbc0d5a2d6af4e33caf6af265f6369cf1ade","venue":"polymarket","title":"Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":32,"bestBid":30,"bestAsk":33,"spread":3,"volume":542452.7265930022,"volume24h":216.291817,"openInterest":50797.1498,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":619,"iyYes":125.40318994995997,"iyNo":27.77094863943751,"cri":2.125,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0938,"cvr":null,"overround":3.6,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":80283,"askDepthUsd":73710,"volume24h":216.291817,"observability":"medium","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T11:57:50.277Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xe4565b7036d214d87f03d82ed44b6e0db1b05c972d358b22e78aa9b68da1850a","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $50M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9bdb3d58c76c0f3c1ef757407fac0ee75110d08958cce0c2c73e3d657e5b1ee4","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $100M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9c50945d1c32e7e8db53675b9703a5d7759e37708a21af39a1deff1a1df73d5e","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $200M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5f8e3b1182b374df1bf77b13af59e9e25182b3a1b936994a1f0176d9db6663f3","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x44af70916025f6ee9183cbdb77bcea14ee54e5534b0820d2df7934d1cadeb167","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $400M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa94cb7859bc740f711ff5770705b60db07c606d785eda205c7623b854ad943bd","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $600M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4a5969c9ea3edaca58bce54c2d2bda9208802ce4672dd71bdab22a46b66753c3","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $800M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x22f1b2d9494340727bd949b2be955d42c643442eb581edbc3b6085315cea227a","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x82b303898d959f2d87fa73af6a66625ecfb36e4b2c240a9d30b2e71e9987adb5","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1.5B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6b86d82a259b13e797ab4add905ae8af945c1711f20dc06ecd9cdc8b8007eb98","connectedTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:214405","groupLabel":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T10:06:08.895Z","priceCents":28,"iy":148.84279821742058,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T02:30:12.495Z","priceCents":27,"iy":156.9181314322005,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T05:25:46.046Z","priceCents":28,"iy":149.27007614364277,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T14:05:33.917Z","priceCents":27,"iy":157.28903479077604,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T16:00:35.771Z","priceCents":28,"iy":149.61295333920395,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T16:05:55.926Z","priceCents":27,"iy":157.31009595473057,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T17:25:34.498Z","priceCents":28,"iy":149.62702560148014,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:25:35.875Z","priceCents":31,"iy":129.52453874144013,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:31:18.074Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.78262875169264,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T20:00:43.987Z","priceCents":31,"iy":129.53816929468584,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T20:35:36.332Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.49096530852222,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:50:34.324Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.81250963444907,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T22:25:35.241Z","priceCents":31,"iy":129.55882711528125,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T22:40:51.733Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.820090210056,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T23:50:37.762Z","priceCents":31,"iy":129.57101832016383,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T03:10:35.072Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.8606064860013,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T03:30:35.150Z","priceCents":31,"iy":129.60264349253725,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T05:35:47.143Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.88249966361766,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T10:30:10.670Z","priceCents":28,"iy":149.79705576964906,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T10:55:10.840Z","priceCents":30,"iy":135.93064610948403,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T13:11:20.228Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.64836613539347,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T13:31:37.161Z","priceCents":28,"iy":149.82718562972568,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:46:06.354Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.69164399054267,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T03:05:45.594Z","priceCents":28,"iy":149.96244091377113,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T03:10:45.644Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.78101606970998,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T03:35:34.710Z","priceCents":28,"iy":149.96747280840913,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T04:10:33.566Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.79059829012738,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T04:45:34.161Z","priceCents":30,"iy":136.09203336944702,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:05:38.402Z","priceCents":29,"iy":142.79926902643908,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T07:10:36.102Z","priceCents":27,"iy":157.71939821925355,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:35:38.078Z","priceCents":28,"iy":150.01733076926237,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:40:32.697Z","priceCents":27,"iy":157.73502800366535,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:55:47.722Z","priceCents":28,"iy":150.02068778434284,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T10:30:36.407Z","priceCents":27,"iy":157.75444350070046,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T11:50:33.954Z","priceCents":28,"iy":150.04970824809772,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T14:55:25.453Z","priceCents":29,"iy":143.12174510555664,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T04:40:59.668Z","priceCents":28,"iy":150.45910638283254,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T07:20:31.816Z","priceCents":30,"iy":136.55200573785652,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T17:20:35.003Z","priceCents":31,"iy":130.34643582848548,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:40:27.131Z","priceCents":32,"iy":124.45404687254297,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:45:18.398Z","priceCents":31,"iy":130.35856654542135,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:35:16.488Z","priceCents":30,"iy":136.6637568786533,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T08:35:54.712Z","priceCents":29,"iy":143.52078556460575,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T17:45:56.988Z","priceCents":30,"iy":136.8666902366642,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T10:40:31.035Z","priceCents":28,"iy":151.00376130373476,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:25:26.155Z","priceCents":30,"iy":137.48955375357244,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:35:27.319Z","priceCents":31,"iy":131.15511173728106,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:35:29.254Z","priceCents":32,"iy":125.29946673516233,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T06:40:21.642Z","priceCents":31,"iy":131.30603968158715,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T07:10:23.664Z","priceCents":32,"iy":125.36346312677689,"cri":2.125}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 125%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 29c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x23ad896f6bc3f17aebe9bc04f7febbc0d5a2d6af4e33caf6af265f6369cf1ade","marketTitle":"Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":29},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe4565b7036d214d87f03d82ed44b6e0db1b05c972d358b22e78aa9b68da1850a","reason":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $50M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x9bdb3d58c76c0f3c1ef757407fac0ee75110d08958cce0c2c73e3d657e5b1ee4","reason":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $100M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x9c50945d1c32e7e8db53675b9703a5d7759e37708a21af39a1deff1a1df73d5e","reason":"Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $200M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Predict.fun%20FDV%20above%20%24500M%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2080}