{"ticker":"0x2da7414d0f3893a38d816d89bd72eef2309fdcc4a9f016acea15d159617e11b9","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Phantom officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":16,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":21,"spread":9,"volume":5989.102565,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2066.5784,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":754.1381671638502,"iyNo":27.361021937917467,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.625,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.56,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":15574,"askDepthUsd":4385,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:51:59.701Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x5e57757afab43a721c8013dfcd36ec4e89227e9f9e0f4da5a50c23646402aaaa","connectedTitle":"Will Phantom launch a token by ___?: June 30, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:133760","groupLabel":"Will Phantom launch a token by ___?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x82f89562b5f27b616b3154db50e56b81e949ead512ce2929607dfe7a7d833638","connectedTitle":"Will Phantom launch a token by ___?: December 31, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:133760","groupLabel":"Will Phantom launch a token by ___?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:45:57.934Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.7960997992544,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:00:39.187Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.1067896839455,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:05:27.387Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.8345472974565,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:10:26.166Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.1260434870828,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:50:50.657Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.9292040266241,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:56:21.851Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.2113230607937,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:20:13.055Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.9883765708134,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:25:12.207Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.266353166778,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:41:12.632Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.0327620829092,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:50:28.127Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.3158876581894,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:55:26.740Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.0593959019421,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:05:28.076Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.3434098482685,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:20:50.894Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.1126691924353,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:30:27.937Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.3929552421273,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:05:26.905Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.2044353079441,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:16:06.386Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.4810532534391,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:35:44.611Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.266612157615,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:45:28.587Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.536125765832,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:10:28.431Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.3376839854069,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:25:27.823Z","priceCents":18,"iy":653.718111857656,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:35:41.683Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.6325235028156,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:05:29.904Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.4502418118192,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:15:27.786Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.7069056001271,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:25:27.704Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.4917189638088,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:30:51.075Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.7372139456304,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:35:26.955Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.5124592523268,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:40:27.918Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.7565024397521,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:45:27.929Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.5332006826529,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:50:48.969Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.7757919957733,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:00:28.685Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.5657966660244,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:05:28.778Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.8033503466195,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:15:27.309Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.5954318254215,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:20:28.050Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.8336670361109,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:25:29.310Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.8622531875636,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:35:34.680Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.0900857368724,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:40:46.341Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.8948776457628,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:29.746Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.1093936624524,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:50:50.602Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.9156401348688,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:00:33.825Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.1397368371111,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:20:31.754Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.9779344644151,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:25:30.587Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.186636000697,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:30:47.689Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.9987015286549,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:40:30.224Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.2142266749345,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:45:29.780Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.0283707478309,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:00:30.039Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.2528572668614,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:05:29.753Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.0699115775557,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:20:27.522Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.2914921154187,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:35:27.917Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.1322314049587,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:40:30.559Z","priceCents":18,"iy":654.387016681731,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:45:38.477Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.153006969889,"cri":5.25}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 754%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.3","illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x5e57757afab43a721c8013dfcd36ec4e89227e9f9e0f4da5a50c23646402aaaa","reason":"Will Phantom launch a token by ___?: June 30, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x82f89562b5f27b616b3154db50e56b81e949ead512ce2929607dfe7a7d833638","reason":"Will Phantom launch a token by ___?: December 31, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Phantom%20launch%20a%20token%20by%20September%2030%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2456}