{"ticker":"0x3285179b99df57b0390e480f8e69d340e5fa38496b263225df90ef389e2958f4","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nTo qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.\n\nThe resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.","price":5,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"volume":607856.0492809986,"volume24h":4036.8916649999996,"openInterest":67986.2406,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"The Hormuz Strait is America's final battle — not because it will lose militaril","thesisSlug":"hormuz-sarhu","thesisPrice":22,"edge":16,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-03-21T12:43:20.260Z","firstDetectedPrice":8.5}],"indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":46600,"askDepthUsd":22292,"volume24h":4036.8916649999996,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3,"sfEdgeCents":16,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-06-19T14:28:34.400Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":null,"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T15:45:31.248Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2692.970021772949,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:15:30.565Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2286.1695664999543,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T02:00:27.617Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2724.1055152219615,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T13:30:23.377Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2315.391126823681,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T15:45:43.752Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2731.5617590907427,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"consider_long","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"16c edge in neutral regime","positives":["+16c executable edge (yes)"],"warnings":["price shifted 41% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":"small"},"nextActions":{"execute":{"description":"Buy 10 YES contracts at market","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x3285179b99df57b0390e480f8e69d340e5fa38496b263225df90ef389e2958f4","marketTitle":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"immediate"},"auth":"required"},"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 5c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x3285179b99df57b0390e480f8e69d340e5fa38496b263225df90ef389e2958f4","marketTitle":"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":10,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":5},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20US%20officially%20declare%20war%20on%20Iran%20by%20December%2031%2C%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":60}