{"ticker":"0x3416aba5dafcf7755acb879cbf776188ff595d49fbb525805f93072679836480","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?","description":"This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in 3rd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed club finishes 3rd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 3rd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":14,"bestBid":14,"bestAsk":16,"spread":2,"volume":11949.207592,"volume24h":764.6679740000001,"openInterest":1511.53369,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-27","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":33,"iyYes":6858.383877226407,"iyNo":181.75273660578367,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1429,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.02,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":11009,"askDepthUsd":209,"volume24h":764.6679740000001,"observability":"low","eventType":"sports","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T07:33:06.900Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xbb0ba3f1ef411f87982ad268a046469b653a5cb7600f93cccd530aba2b93416a","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Chelsea","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0xf9327a9bb13c08222b5f973af24e22a7a6afe66060858d74b2e56a028a6cd4c5","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Brighton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0xad5f8afc7b6b6dfd331fa1d9209b392f117be855044df3e65f0c9ed6712c33f6","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Liverpool","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0x07edfd243789d912ada9e7cc8def6215b73596201fd24fb87d212d41474c7943","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Arsenal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0xfc0785605c0ef1429cb98e3a9166bf86f4c315ee872722ea2af3da17946f0aec","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Man City","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0x8fb5eeaca92f58e06aca46463213069e1716748e69b94589ebe954ac4f15c061","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Man United ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0x7f9eb9327201f36247365c258c28807731aac9cb9f9bf12efe535aca34944296","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Bournemouth","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0x4d82d265eff4c3e5175660e795dc96919eda012163a4a29184caddbb48877531","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Everton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0x34f45de49e878fbaeb4fd6c9185dd8497d93ccc93b1913dcfa5e597dfb6a2860","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Crystal Palace","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0xabec0ddd9583e241468a90758b3fcc3960eefb80c47ce65b3a97857851fd145b","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Fulham","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0xf50019861496ba6722d9adc7bff0066870398a02f7cc4f1353d1f0fe45510326","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Brentford","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "},{"connectedTicker":"0xf9b65db702055ddfad4255453c952a3ddebf6f1646a1c845b0c41afe34cb0f7c","connectedTitle":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Sunderland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:35919","groupLabel":"English Premier League – 3rd Place "}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:50:33.492Z","priceCents":11,"iy":8145.135610176845,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:10:33.267Z","priceCents":7,"iy":13379.923610864756,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:20:55.360Z","priceCents":9,"iy":10185.057418395354,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:45:32.959Z","priceCents":10,"iy":9070.075652990226,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:20:32.191Z","priceCents":11,"iy":8159.313196059618,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:30:32.139Z","priceCents":13,"iy":6750.192908205455,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T19:45:34.785Z","priceCents":14,"iy":6197.702565560596,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:40:32.761Z","priceCents":15,"iy":5723.2721805620895,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:45:32.280Z","priceCents":14,"iy":6204.906204906205,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:50:32.334Z","priceCents":15,"iy":5724.380973467657,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:20:34.196Z","priceCents":13,"iy":6764.3995117618115,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:20:34.668Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5312.733926640605,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:25:32.330Z","priceCents":14,"iy":6224.0252530059315,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:30:33.187Z","priceCents":15,"iy":5742.1802702202485,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:40:52.073Z","priceCents":14,"iy":6240.308536439903,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:20:47.116Z","priceCents":12,"iy":7490.112678158347,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:50:27.065Z","priceCents":13,"iy":6895.780446863076,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:30.016Z","priceCents":12,"iy":7565.051909633901,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:56:11.745Z","priceCents":13,"iy":6904.551720539057,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:40:27.918Z","priceCents":12,"iy":7581.551243922015,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:00:28.325Z","priceCents":13,"iy":6921.572944071598,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:15:27.309Z","priceCents":12,"iy":7586.708615591017,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:25:27.991Z","priceCents":13,"iy":6924.90873644131,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:10:35.672Z","priceCents":12,"iy":7621.9222810714355,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:50:30.000Z","priceCents":13,"iy":6969.5626218109655,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:20:23.493Z","priceCents":14,"iy":6525.2549609815105,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:26:24.700Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6020.122051789544,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:30:22.853Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5598.323059394081,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:45:20.318Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6044.400284442368,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T19:30:21.450Z","priceCents":14,"iy":6558.466250746942,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T21:25:23.698Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6064.248785684268,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:35:23.675Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5633.212805362024,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T01:10:22.987Z","priceCents":17,"iy":5248.914092455043,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:10:23.622Z","priceCents":14,"iy":6612.235268344266,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T03:50:24.634Z","priceCents":18,"iy":4913.645915418965,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:05:32.632Z","priceCents":19,"iy":4616.681891645,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:05:41.037Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5706.691682301439,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:20:29.875Z","priceCents":18,"iy":4953.313407542011,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:25:33.351Z","priceCents":17,"iy":5309.118821216145,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:30:30.924Z","priceCents":19,"iy":4636.352516473832,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:25:31.607Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5730.241320534673,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:35:32.764Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6186.317321688501,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:40:29.925Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5732.126832186659,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:45:32.555Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6187.612808009493,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:00:38.507Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5734.528369643285,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:05:33.420Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6190.205409072319,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:10:34.139Z","priceCents":16,"iy":5764.371446620341,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T19:15:41.837Z","priceCents":15,"iy":6230.482674137221,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T00:45:30.453Z","priceCents":17,"iy":5405.419872389624,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T00:50:33.616Z","priceCents":14,"iy":6801.586097809362,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 6858%","12 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 13c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x3416aba5dafcf7755acb879cbf776188ff595d49fbb525805f93072679836480","marketTitle":"Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":13},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xbb0ba3f1ef411f87982ad268a046469b653a5cb7600f93cccd530aba2b93416a","reason":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Chelsea"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xf9327a9bb13c08222b5f973af24e22a7a6afe66060858d74b2e56a028a6cd4c5","reason":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Brighton"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xad5f8afc7b6b6dfd331fa1d9209b392f117be855044df3e65f0c9ed6712c33f6","reason":"English Premier League – 3rd Place : Liverpool"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Aston%20Villa%20finish%20in%203rd%20place%20in%20the%202025-26%20English%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1483}