{"ticker":"0x384fd558c87baa2b1c1f7aea7402b7e3a86e83a3d51d5bca61e4e9cad4eee5be","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":75,"bestBid":75,"bestAsk":77,"spread":2,"volume":29785.502492999993,"volume24h":230.51999999999998,"openInterest":22641.7614,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-26","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":34,"iyYes":360.8894689486745,"iyNo":3248.0052205380707,"cri":3,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0267,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":111457,"askDepthUsd":37249,"volume24h":230.51999999999998,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T07:07:00.553Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xf2032addf9d61031133df80aa4a99813cadf35dac6c0c33ce96c642c446738b2","connectedTitle":"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner: Carlos Quintanilla","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:198684","groupLabel":"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6a5695fb003f6ceb9075445d9a8d2b16c142c148de52cd8826c8dad60ff7483f","connectedTitle":"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner: Julie Johnson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:198684","groupLabel":"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x45db1c9b9f87e60c48e1f712142fd4cfafd970968809d50658fbe30e2bb1691b","connectedTitle":"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner: Zeeshan Hafeez","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:198684","groupLabel":"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T03:07:37.458Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1866.765593597603,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T03:14:04.797Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1779.309864549601,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T03:37:42.993Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1867.5848808860633,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T04:07:35.893Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1780.6863483036434,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T05:07:44.692Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1870.0470632720303,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T06:08:06.608Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1783.8192582663091,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:23:46.072Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1875.3844483844118,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T09:22:44.034Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1788.8774531426127,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T16:52:46.278Z","priceCents":69,"iy":1754.7991335047832,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T03:25:54.090Z","priceCents":70,"iy":1857.2228158550856,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T03:30:54.785Z","priceCents":71,"iy":1948.839119063053,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:45:34.667Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2223.1546462916967,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T02:25:49.136Z","priceCents":73,"iy":2412.899708677111,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T04:35:31.395Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2299.912834353767,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:55:33.277Z","priceCents":73,"iy":2421.544062650238,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:05:34.696Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2303.468876874855,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:40:32.279Z","priceCents":73,"iy":2423.3874855160643,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:45:34.364Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2305.052872369538,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T07:10:36.102Z","priceCents":73,"iy":2424.637851285845,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T07:35:31.642Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2306.9792266528084,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T09:15:35.643Z","priceCents":73,"iy":2429.8317128375725,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T09:25:32.564Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2311.353777849702,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T11:00:32.388Z","priceCents":73,"iy":2434.2069802221254,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:00:34.822Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2319.866104531683,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T20:25:22.990Z","priceCents":73,"iy":2520.7587725148833,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:15:49.294Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2402.158652158652,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:10:18.522Z","priceCents":73,"iy":2710.3868493596588,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:50:22.108Z","priceCents":72,"iy":2579.768645405499,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:56:13.221Z","priceCents":75,"iy":3124.6433055587268,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:20:29.266Z","priceCents":76,"iy":3409.3367156313298,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:25:51.989Z","priceCents":75,"iy":3230.1837812324848,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:05:30.748Z","priceCents":76,"iy":3416.5927677603704,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:00:44.367Z","priceCents":75,"iy":3240.5078275280403,"cri":3}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 361%","tight LAS 0.027","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 68c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x384fd558c87baa2b1c1f7aea7402b7e3a86e83a3d51d5bca61e4e9cad4eee5be","marketTitle":"Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":68},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xf2032addf9d61031133df80aa4a99813cadf35dac6c0c33ce96c642c446738b2","reason":"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner: Carlos Quintanilla"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6a5695fb003f6ceb9075445d9a8d2b16c142c148de52cd8826c8dad60ff7483f","reason":"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner: Julie Johnson"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x45db1c9b9f87e60c48e1f712142fd4cfafd970968809d50658fbe30e2bb1691b","reason":"TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner: Zeeshan Hafeez"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Colin%20Allred%20be%20the%20Democratic%20nominee%20for%20TX-33%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2415}