{"ticker":"0x39676b9161ea372b38115423a5de8f700f1888c35dd0fb2be07d96510ec28f7c","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","description":"This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","price":13,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":13,"spread":1,"volume":181384.38081599993,"volume24h":318.723075,"openInterest":82200.6364,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":965.5940782978054,"iyNo":21.559703954594944,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0769,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":317724,"askDepthUsd":2820268,"volume24h":318.723075,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:50:50.821Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x6b978bfe3f8b58edd400556fa8d1f582d4b4f60d12286245af249fa8a6446bca","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Microsoft","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x899f8c70dae5b6d09a19ebe324e248ce8bf48002f06216fa7d937b935f4c1734","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Saudi Aramco","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa226daf1b12a3c4f7ff6c71c4cf6cd1e51d31833ff49a67210ed81db5a813574","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: SpaceX","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x684e5b72d4e407695397a79ed75ef37273c2655ca2548791a4153233d3744696","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: NVIDIA","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x55a5a4b50b7947482e95af8f638fa0b8d9a46740c5cd04c6799443e83565176a","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Apple","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1f403ffb53e114cbc81c5f07a0f3971886c67b67af7c260f0117d3f63ba54af4","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Tesla","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa0bc0c7db051defd2425c4d79fbfa1a0252cec4a987572562038a090922d412e","connectedTitle":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Amazon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79041","groupLabel":"Largest Company end of December 2026?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T04:45:45.107Z","priceCents":13,"iy":933.0304228738922,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T08:00:45.302Z","priceCents":14,"iy":856.8720648241869,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T12:55:34.597Z","priceCents":15,"iy":791.0676289516728,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T13:10:33.788Z","priceCents":14,"iy":857.576699703905,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T18:15:33.896Z","priceCents":13,"iy":935.0412104212264,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:05:48.135Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1025.067561271084,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T13:55:51.936Z","priceCents":13,"iy":937.9818399862941,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:55:33.808Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1031.7888623339243,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:10:41.565Z","priceCents":13,"iy":942.2404106156415,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:50:46.353Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1034.7684786068382,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T08:00:44.656Z","priceCents":13,"iy":944.3422435466229,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 966%","7 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 12c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x39676b9161ea372b38115423a5de8f700f1888c35dd0fb2be07d96510ec28f7c","marketTitle":"Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":12},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x6b978bfe3f8b58edd400556fa8d1f582d4b4f60d12286245af249fa8a6446bca","reason":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Microsoft"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x899f8c70dae5b6d09a19ebe324e248ce8bf48002f06216fa7d937b935f4c1734","reason":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: Saudi Aramco"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xa226daf1b12a3c4f7ff6c71c4cf6cd1e51d31833ff49a67210ed81db5a813574","reason":"Largest Company end of December 2026?: SpaceX"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Alphabet%20be%20the%20largest%20company%20in%20the%20world%20by%20market%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":5873}