{"ticker":"0x3be2b05f91f41cea6c5bd803b4c456ca5339a38a8c2bb19f71d38ef44636b0da","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q2 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.","price":14,"bestBid":11,"bestAsk":18,"spread":7,"volume":3986.0819880000026,"volume24h":107.04,"openInterest":1374.7778,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-30","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":52,"iyYes":4334.904891717141,"iyNo":114.87849631916708,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":0.17,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":1932,"askDepthUsd":500,"volume24h":107.04},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:44:52.194Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x7a2b0abaf8be4d359db7845c8b3c0358460f62bcecbf97f1093e97cf81ec9b4a","connectedTitle":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: <300k","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:340178","groupLabel":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x03775189234c3abdb3c6e746c29f70d74ab924fba407f79173a88252a2c24b60","connectedTitle":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: 300k–325k","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:340178","groupLabel":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x87f093341ab2438f8e1b7ea9e4a18e0aae873ebfb838cc55039e500b13109ad9","connectedTitle":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: 325k–350k","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:340178","groupLabel":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x178788be19cc27c495bb709cfbf582649e51b6bc11b3fa42ac221503f6b7e94b","connectedTitle":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: 350k–375k","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:340178","groupLabel":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x13150beedcc4b60c60580eec5f87bbb3092995cd893aadb709425e097af82df4","connectedTitle":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: 375k–400k","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:340178","groupLabel":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb98ca5f27a851fd490082e9d3f3058e9a8cf0266ec207854395693015acbd293","connectedTitle":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: 400k–425k","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:340178","groupLabel":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2925e32df6f1cc297aa7f060aea103815ae0405926cd12ba9f244bfdface818c","connectedTitle":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: 450k–475k","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:340178","groupLabel":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4926438a8bcd51e07989a94a7efafff86a0c66101a5f0f51dc0a252425c41b4b","connectedTitle":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: 475k+","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:340178","groupLabel":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:01:12.864Z","priceCents":24,"iy":2192.8992436315807,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:06:16.891Z","priceCents":22,"iy":2455.394104984269,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:11:31.452Z","priceCents":24,"iy":2193.2321315623026,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:26:30.024Z","priceCents":22,"iy":2456.0465156403666,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:31:01.142Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2606.1366904459132,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:36:05.231Z","priceCents":23,"iy":2319.4512873965614,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:41:32.022Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2953.782520081525,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:11:59.569Z","priceCents":18,"iy":3157.6926160845037,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:26:55.525Z","priceCents":16,"iy":3639.7394013067915,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:31:39.793Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4258.985387297666,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:36:36.603Z","priceCents":13,"iy":4640.284773640903,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:41:54.158Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4259.551763256311,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:46:39.852Z","priceCents":12,"iy":5085.432736760776,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:55:57.571Z","priceCents":13,"iy":4641.4310019235145,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:10:58.998Z","priceCents":12,"iy":5087.075786659571,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:35:55.663Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4262.629005975013,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:26:02.437Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2614.2244271099653,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:30:56.339Z","priceCents":23,"iy":2326.649889069174,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:35:50.427Z","priceCents":22,"iy":2464.137153856673,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:40:47.005Z","priceCents":18,"iy":3166.411703345416,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:45:32.921Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4269.934978371467,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:50:35.502Z","priceCents":22,"iy":2464.606450741633,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:55:36.711Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2963.740417840785,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:00:43.789Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4270.748299319727,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:11:01.064Z","priceCents":18,"iy":3170.1545781353607,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:15:59.101Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2966.9049356091814,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:20:54.506Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2618.2122608787245,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:36:17.056Z","priceCents":16,"iy":3654.6640474510327,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:41:21.419Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2618.9113829777575,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:56:14.980Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2785.2496232282188,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:01:30.181Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2968.659629843841,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:10:55.965Z","priceCents":16,"iy":3656.3376519300123,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:21:11.650Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4278.735271827139,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:16:02.901Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2788.1750821174855,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:20:56.615Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2622.4126014041985,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:30:35.438Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2788.707644115063,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:40:57.987Z","priceCents":16,"iy":3660.668233136569,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:50:51.003Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3951.725894790472,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:55:57.001Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2789.666768572302,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:00:48.857Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3405.229632410547,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:05:43.510Z","priceCents":16,"iy":3661.927420741845,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:10:47.319Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3952.7831925492746,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:16:13.395Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2624.3171860694124,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:20:53.222Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2974.163557367204,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:26:12.908Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2790.786581286438,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:31:18.505Z","priceCents":17,"iy":3406.5966193787494,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:51:51.931Z","priceCents":16,"iy":3664.1681167179763,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:00:59.421Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4287.81789819062,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:35:33.299Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3976.2641700469712,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:40:33.517Z","priceCents":14,"iy":4310.65262649067,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 4335%","8 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 0.50)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x7a2b0abaf8be4d359db7845c8b3c0358460f62bcecbf97f1093e97cf81ec9b4a","reason":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: <300k"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x03775189234c3abdb3c6e746c29f70d74ab924fba407f79173a88252a2c24b60","reason":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: 300k–325k"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x87f093341ab2438f8e1b7ea9e4a18e0aae873ebfb838cc55039e500b13109ad9","reason":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?: 325k–350k"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Tesla%20deliver%20between%20425000%20and%20450000%20vehicles%20in%20Q2%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":102}