{"ticker":"0x3ce1f599909ab4eac04c944f8d260079f48595087d6a88d8b7d4033c126ca106","venue":"polymarket","title":"Nothing Ever Happens: May","description":"This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- US x Iran permanent peace deal\n- Iran leadership change\n- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150\n- US military action against Cuba\n- US confirms that aliens exist \n- Russia invades a NATO country \n\n Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf","price":86,"bestBid":84,"bestAsk":87,"spread":3,"volume":179619.31709199984,"volume24h":17666.971826000005,"openInterest":12347.9629,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-31","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":2,"iyYes":2672.9016937095275,"iyNo":100000,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0349,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":2784,"askDepthUsd":5545,"volume24h":17666.971826000005},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T18:47:07.683Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":2,"volumeDelta":191.04193300000043,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T03:15:43.934Z","priceCents":76,"iy":29912.870945479648,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T03:45:27.188Z","priceCents":75,"iy":28493.364558938327,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T05:00:30.194Z","priceCents":73,"iy":26031.438983166754,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T05:15:40.787Z","priceCents":74,"iy":27475.433849408982,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T06:00:23.603Z","priceCents":73,"iy":26316.049382716046,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T06:15:46.396Z","priceCents":74,"iy":27784.064023700284,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T06:30:42.577Z","priceCents":76,"iy":30995.79869491374,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T06:45:32.195Z","priceCents":80,"iy":39268.42388380851,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T07:00:50.465Z","priceCents":77,"iy":32954.598752403734,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:16:11.021Z","priceCents":79,"iy":37567.58517360433,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T11:30:26.779Z","priceCents":80,"iy":41465.492757739295,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:00:27.900Z","priceCents":81,"iy":44458.64661654137,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:15:46.606Z","priceCents":79,"iy":39354.979595736266,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:45:44.018Z","priceCents":77,"iy":35235.193821774235,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:01:05.554Z","priceCents":78,"iy":38354.79872824271,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:45:57.623Z","priceCents":76,"iy":34574.733273506834,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:00:27.583Z","priceCents":79,"iy":41196.9768405412,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:30:49.342Z","priceCents":84,"iy":57857.789855072464,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:45:25.901Z","priceCents":81,"iy":47124.54971468649,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:00:50.068Z","priceCents":85,"iy":62848.17178162666,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:45:24.420Z","priceCents":84,"iy":58780.674846625756,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:01:58.984Z","priceCents":85,"iy":63660.61352210936,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:30:40.030Z","priceCents":87,"iy":75648.56945470137,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:45:28.442Z","priceCents":85,"iy":65103.34697303535,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:15:27.893Z","priceCents":84,"iy":60717.680608365,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:30:34.106Z","priceCents":85,"iy":65765.76576576577,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T22:00:40.197Z","priceCents":86,"iy":72726.00898938879,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:15:25.790Z","priceCents":87,"iy":81722.72692179015,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:30:42.022Z","priceCents":86,"iy":75264.94988730637,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:30:26.583Z","priceCents":88,"iy":95187.29255571362,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:00:27.131Z","priceCents":91,"iy":100000,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:45:27.547Z","priceCents":90,"iy":100000,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:00:40.604Z","priceCents":91,"iy":100000,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T08:15:45.166Z","priceCents":90,"iy":100000,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T08:30:25.028Z","priceCents":91,"iy":100000,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:30:41.642Z","priceCents":94,"iy":100000,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:45:23.942Z","priceCents":93,"iy":100000,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:45:28.993Z","priceCents":94,"iy":100000,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:50.997Z","priceCents":93,"iy":100000,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:30:44.762Z","priceCents":82,"iy":69427.04708884249,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:28.014Z","priceCents":86,"iy":94010.18268942797,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:00:47.624Z","priceCents":89,"iy":100000,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:30:51.149Z","priceCents":88,"iy":100000,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:26.097Z","priceCents":89,"iy":100000,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:45.972Z","priceCents":90,"iy":100000,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:27.811Z","priceCents":89,"iy":100000,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:26.864Z","priceCents":88,"iy":100000,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:48.789Z","priceCents":85,"iy":90280.80896260729,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:30:46.300Z","priceCents":86,"iy":98772.8130899937,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:32.478Z","priceCents":88,"iy":100000,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 2673%","tight LAS 0.035"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 77c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x3ce1f599909ab4eac04c944f8d260079f48595087d6a88d8b7d4033c126ca106","marketTitle":"Nothing Ever Happens: May","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":77},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Nothing%20Ever%20Happens%3A%20May","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}