{"ticker":"0x3d529e0abd4eb7c599ddc3ac54b5f0de9d5dd5455e8d83903cd0b5f967be20c0","venue":"polymarket","title":"Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":37,"bestBid":21,"bestAsk":42,"spread":21,"volume":1257.2489819999994,"volume24h":87.995853,"openInterest":967.6331,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-30","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":32,"iyYes":2201.632626203175,"iyNo":584.2716519492358,"cri":1.941,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4118,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":14},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:01:26.052Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xac594b2385387474e8ad819047a94549ac6fbd1c6ccdb8a2515a36a3427faac0","connectedTitle":"Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?: May 31","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:435295","groupLabel":"Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:30:42.022Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1660.1473665059582,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:45:28.559Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1968.238561298498,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:00:45.812Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1885.69235538105,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:15:26.712Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1732.7225807254945,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:30:42.140Z","priceCents":35,"iy":2058.0415425118954,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:45:26.960Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1595.176913897484,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:00:38.305Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1888.0984520794946,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:15:29.867Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1663.8303045037378,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:30:49.193Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1972.606441370691,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:00:48.343Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1811.541996074325,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:15:39.859Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1737.1513993958008,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:30:30.333Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1598.7213198971951,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:00:27.395Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1892.8714600751878,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:15:47.198Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1814.4120278760392,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:30:26.583Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1977.5962723664786,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:45:31.348Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1740.434839026388,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:30:27.015Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1896.4526150757877,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:45:40.539Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1671.245421245421,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:01:36.627Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1743.2515066030594,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:15:27.440Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1898.3062600766257,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:30:33.574Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1982.6114115582175,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:00:40.604Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1673.9024091965266,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:15:42.643Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1746.0239040200502,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:30:27.035Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1606.88929066303,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:46:28.093Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1985.8271786292353,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T08:00:27.623Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1747.6808788876383,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T08:45:32.320Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1677.6466983300138,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:30:41.642Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1826.543724050649,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:00:47.750Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1752.1328174122577,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:15:27.448Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3189.286076953777,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:30:43.379Z","priceCents":30,"iy":2615.523207010217,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:15:31.261Z","priceCents":31,"iy":2497.369754507115,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:30:39.884Z","priceCents":30,"iy":2618.90118901189,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:26.097Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2901.930645182662,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:45.972Z","priceCents":30,"iy":2634.047773688389,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:27.811Z","priceCents":24,"iy":3575.885076673989,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:30:55.177Z","priceCents":26,"iy":3215.047517473861,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:26.864Z","priceCents":25,"iy":3389.8829793820814,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:48.789Z","priceCents":31,"iy":2515.9312342098715,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:15:29.418Z","priceCents":29,"iy":2768.2559079804605,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:30:46.300Z","priceCents":34,"iy":2195.6287938168753,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:45:40.856Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2011.4348694633882,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:00:29.439Z","priceCents":31,"iy":2519.1297824456115,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:15:47.447Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2012.7450879025062,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:30:28.156Z","priceCents":31,"iy":2520.7712148645924,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:32.478Z","priceCents":36,"iy":2014.0570143673997,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:00:27.026Z","priceCents":35,"iy":2104.6235185579453,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:15:52.857Z","priceCents":31,"iy":2523.2765625328743,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:30:27.007Z","priceCents":34,"iy":2201.2906197057996,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:45:42.211Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1931.4618717919213,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2202%","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.41)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xac594b2385387474e8ad819047a94549ac6fbd1c6ccdb8a2515a36a3427faac0","reason":"Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?: May 31"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Ruben%20Rocha%20out%20as%20Governor%20of%20Sinaloa%20by%20June%2030%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":433}