{"ticker":"0x3ddd971b3a8e67051ee345a3a87a3c0fe9d15be30812725cff89521c40fa8a0d","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":72,"bestBid":69,"bestAsk":74,"spread":5,"volume":7153.635666000004,"volume24h":161.81,"openInterest":2753.4466,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-19","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":27,"iyYes":526.2464110200737,"iyNo":3479.670146336813,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1944,"cvr":null,"overround":0.02,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":41155,"askDepthUsd":304,"volume24h":161.81,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:49:23.605Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x87a3e85253e6582039dd81b3ea6a0fd0539143f8c732ba4aed24e68036480b28","connectedTitle":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner: Gavin Solomon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:108773","groupLabel":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd5e2394a45ef085fc74b1fe63f4f66ecfd90f4be11c17b463066c83381e359b5","connectedTitle":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner: Ryan Dotson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:108773","groupLabel":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x46b782a18426ab82d96e9c852a2b6bff770d8f243c2424b5ed03de769e13f9fb","connectedTitle":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner: Greg Plucinski","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:108773","groupLabel":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x822f37728057e11d2bbe8427a0ef03be63722028a7520955cc6136a065c6da0d","connectedTitle":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner: Adam Perez Arquette","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:108773","groupLabel":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:30.016Z","priceCents":69,"iy":2966.983254834232,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:05:28.625Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3111.5657691230376,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:10:28.431Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2834.0580239696,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:15:37.225Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2176.31309673101,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:20:28.289Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2086.537172974072,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:30:28.479Z","priceCents":71,"iy":3266.87391114708,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:10:41.911Z","priceCents":73,"iy":3611.4025172065126,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:15:27.786Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3435.0965434667805,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:30:44.278Z","priceCents":65,"iy":2485.724762952486,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:40:27.943Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3123.777386541471,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:50:42.471Z","priceCents":73,"iy":3620.6774723064705,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:55:32.707Z","priceCents":71,"iy":3278.980991652927,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:05:30.174Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3444.804479818794,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:10:30.605Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2847.0616305105905,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:21:10.187Z","priceCents":69,"iy":2982.9974475443714,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:25:30.350Z","priceCents":74,"iy":3814.7993311036785,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:30:30.424Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2848.5254691689015,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:35:29.553Z","priceCents":67,"iy":2721.985697192309,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:40:47.368Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3128.5969681385145,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:45:29.069Z","priceCents":71,"iy":3283.1974783421715,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:50:29.770Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3129.401677996203,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:05:30.149Z","priceCents":71,"iy":3284.766365209235,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:10:29.501Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3131.0123402325894,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:28.342Z","priceCents":64,"iy":2385.796341234241,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:29.320Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2852.9260308235557,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:35:34.680Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3132.970374730233,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:40:45.482Z","priceCents":65,"iy":2493.9556396510043,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:15:32.391Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2856.1827956989255,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:20:31.754Z","priceCents":65,"iy":2496.5274854785757,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:25:30.587Z","priceCents":64,"iy":2390.102356951965,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:30:47.689Z","priceCents":66,"iy":2610.165451334338,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:35:29.786Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2857.656031243093,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:40:30.224Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3138.16524804402,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:00:30.039Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2104.691007916814,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:05:29.753Z","priceCents":63,"iy":2291.5323420467034,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:10:35.672Z","priceCents":61,"iy":2105.234294186282,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:30:44.750Z","priceCents":64,"iy":2394.070575888758,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:35:27.917Z","priceCents":68,"iy":2862.084870848709,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:40:30.559Z","priceCents":69,"iy":2998.189300803445,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:45:38.477Z","priceCents":62,"iy":2198.08185062368,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:00:34.116Z","priceCents":64,"iy":2395.9269242288115,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:10:31.281Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3466.4331089209204,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:20:30.614Z","priceCents":67,"iy":2737.6726368192626,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:25:32.402Z","priceCents":69,"iy":3001.6232721447923,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:30:29.027Z","priceCents":67,"iy":2738.3807776979015,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:15:31.551Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3472.203871745139,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:10:31.474Z","priceCents":65,"iy":2511.2330710078277,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:15:32.193Z","priceCents":70,"iy":3155.6066051601265,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:22:01.254Z","priceCents":65,"iy":2511.977553667382,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:30:31.111Z","priceCents":72,"iy":3478.8962844116854,"cri":2.571}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 526%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.19)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 65c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x3ddd971b3a8e67051ee345a3a87a3c0fe9d15be30812725cff89521c40fa8a0d","marketTitle":"Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":65},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x87a3e85253e6582039dd81b3ea6a0fd0539143f8c732ba4aed24e68036480b28","reason":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner: Gavin Solomon"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xd5e2394a45ef085fc74b1fe63f4f66ecfd90f4be11c17b463066c83381e359b5","reason":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner: Ryan Dotson"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x46b782a18426ab82d96e9c852a2b6bff770d8f243c2424b5ed03de769e13f9fb","reason":"KY-06 Republican Primary Winner: Greg Plucinski"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Ralph%20Alvarado%20be%20the%20Republican%20Nominee%20for%20KY-06%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4129}