{"ticker":"0x3f099ddf210c1d32006f55fe2da00ee78ff10734b7786d8b34f281c4b9c426e0","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?","description":"The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.","price":35,"bestBid":34,"bestAsk":36,"spread":2,"volume":25870.046525,"volume24h":1633.84998,"openInterest":22003.5838,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-03","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":42,"iyYes":1614.9837820912087,"iyNo":468.2497356359125,"cri":1.857,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2571,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:46:44.891Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x8fe6708a0eb52edb74a042f9bfff14cdd8d14d5c2505bc625f060ec8d1f64f44","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Cho Kyoung-tae","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7159c9392022c0d7c2190a7a34f9f2c0bded82596f7c22f343c38929b764c252","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Park Seong-hoon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xdf9dc9b5a8ea00ced019940380820dfe012dfd95543cf7a175c3178dd9912a9a","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Choi In-ho","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3b4de08b20883207252db734b0a859edcea085c3b6063f2c4c5258384f3cecf7","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Lee Jae-sung","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9a108beb3347ff75d7deefc2b61a42897275cf436282027e3e019f1bd1ae902a","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Hong Soon-heon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc3b0c22c4402be0196dc2ed49dddd3adf3582c59ee518d5769e382de96e6e18f","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Kim Do-eup","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd47e8e70d2c25c8788eb0796a3a22c12b6cec77e7d8113c5fdaad84386cb7654","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Suh Byung-soo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe3b7f338805e6218cc48883337066d12600b37450ff67ecd867dd2380d75ce00","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Park Jae-ho","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3b7db2dbb3b47a6a532849ee3edd147d16fec311af4f40329f1ea8c45feb60b9","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Chun Jae-soo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x261f250248f0998ee2eae04d11d98e07d75b7146e308e20e3a4492b7e6291536","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Kim Young-choon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa559c916013489605fa7e661fadb08193750535a47b309ce6ee140ea2a4c85d2","connectedTitle":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Cho Kuk","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:79988","groupLabel":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:00:51.433Z","priceCents":22,"iy":2919.0239981298555,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:00:45.545Z","priceCents":21,"iy":3114.7953589711187,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:10:18.749Z","priceCents":22,"iy":2936.0443531420933,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T00:55:55.242Z","priceCents":23,"iy":2779.637682807785,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T07:05:37.027Z","priceCents":24,"iy":2644.6854597595952,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:40:51.199Z","priceCents":25,"iy":2509.2809019661763,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T11:40:30.950Z","priceCents":24,"iy":2656.2332429409694,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:25:35.558Z","priceCents":25,"iy":2518.2834276252242,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:11:26.707Z","priceCents":22,"iy":2984.0452627364334,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:40:31.450Z","priceCents":24,"iy":2669.0528422430057,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T16:45:32.869Z","priceCents":25,"iy":2528.7515588194537,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:10:32.351Z","priceCents":24,"iy":2678.0818214818078,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:10:31.760Z","priceCents":23,"iy":2842.2220401905665,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:50:33.413Z","priceCents":30,"iy":1991.8765738163736,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:55:48.529Z","priceCents":29,"iy":2090.1941142263054,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:00:32.886Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1814.3274853801163,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:06:04.807Z","priceCents":30,"iy":1992.3891514215754,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:10:48.351Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2195.8482759081685,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:15:47.526Z","priceCents":30,"iy":1992.7154745470575,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:35:47.205Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1815.3891164423637,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:46:01.877Z","priceCents":31,"iy":1901.8197360333104,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:00:47.859Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2197.6478143940913,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:05:58.620Z","priceCents":30,"iy":1994.34869489197,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:10:48.840Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2198.0080760905566,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:15:47.092Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2311.290844443056,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:20:47.119Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2198.36845592221,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:50:38.285Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2314.8148148148143,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:05:46.386Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2202.1337570010755,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:10:12.938Z","priceCents":30,"iy":2004.251680668973,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:50:28.127Z","priceCents":28,"iy":2210.223545440783,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:25:25.629Z","priceCents":29,"iy":2105.5599294436333,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:45:24.872Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1464.8372180132615,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:50:27.065Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1403.781712253904,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:55:26.584Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1345.8213953263457,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:00:55.591Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1290.7864956620142,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:05:26.527Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1346.0435147182136,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:30:28.935Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1404.675714193494,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:30.016Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1347.0280682776556,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:30:28.479Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1292.6760164329223,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:28.342Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1352.901644384653,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:55:31.863Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1473.7644924981896,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:00:33.825Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1412.3377028636191,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:45:29.198Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1474.988694639816,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:00:30.039Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1759.194317057818,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:15:28.125Z","priceCents":35,"iy":1609.5767271148381,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:20:27.522Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1540.901163327608,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:30.817Z","priceCents":35,"iy":1613.1773985177126,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:35:29.254Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1544.3484515526786,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:40:31.299Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1846.110820202789,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:45:32.794Z","priceCents":35,"iy":1613.5613969463054,"cri":1.857}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1615%","11 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.26)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x8fe6708a0eb52edb74a042f9bfff14cdd8d14d5c2505bc625f060ec8d1f64f44","reason":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Cho Kyoung-tae"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x7159c9392022c0d7c2190a7a34f9f2c0bded82596f7c22f343c38929b764c252","reason":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Park Seong-hoon"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xdf9dc9b5a8ea00ced019940380820dfe012dfd95543cf7a175c3178dd9912a9a","reason":"2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner: Choi In-ho"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Park%20Heong-joon%20win%20the%202026%20Busan%20Mayoral%20Election%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2556}