{"ticker":"0x45514e0fcd922a740e67ab064a9042d3e964006712f9540947808ae82067ed23","venue":"polymarket","title":"Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":69,"bestBid":67,"bestAsk":70,"spread":3,"volume":195230.66090800002,"volume24h":177.14071299999998,"openInterest":23294.0873,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":245,"iyYes":67.06836557386427,"iyNo":332.27105983055947,"cri":2.226,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0435,"cvr":null,"overround":0.44,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-01T12:04:17.536Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x004230fb1f54a139d50ba2041e062a01461c931a6725ce482e3a9ab61b2925bb","connectedTitle":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $800M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91926","groupLabel":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc0f838d718bf25167ba687f574603cecac310eb7b33daa55b1ac0f9095ed5445","connectedTitle":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91926","groupLabel":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7fd2f50352ef2c9e7b462a46b893792d7a6bf510bf0bc2e1f07f85b1ea1e8ca8","connectedTitle":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91926","groupLabel":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd1d9c72da4ed36e09eb9019a0554451cb3a9e5681fc5d00ec94205f1d97a8ce5","connectedTitle":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91926","groupLabel":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0e7b7cc2649466ce6dfed9cf49611630fe986b31fba84ec01107e0a50f1534bb","connectedTitle":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $3B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91926","groupLabel":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcc59c2569d30b4b86993f3ff17bb900fffc56e7d98f1a5b02793fc9c133db99a","connectedTitle":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:91926","groupLabel":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:20:31.196Z","priceCents":59,"iy":212.6975761464236,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:00:31.362Z","priceCents":61,"iy":231.21119566874398,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:05:32.924Z","priceCents":60,"iy":221.7380210843495,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:10:32.629Z","priceCents":59,"iy":212.72772658713302,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:20:30.981Z","priceCents":58,"iy":204.1488602958336,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:30:44.126Z","priceCents":59,"iy":212.7397891569389,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:50:47.185Z","priceCents":58,"iy":204.1662254477335,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T02:55:30.848Z","priceCents":59,"iy":212.75443840237864,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:05:34.265Z","priceCents":62,"iy":241.22975796649814,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:10:50.385Z","priceCents":64,"iy":262.84958657450727,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:15:30.710Z","priceCents":67,"iy":300.1898235711186,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:20:30.286Z","priceCents":66,"iy":287.01553172218615,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T03:45:30.703Z","priceCents":67,"iy":300.2153620157777,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:00:31.289Z","priceCents":66,"iy":287.04808990884766,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:05:29.881Z","priceCents":67,"iy":300.23117370684525,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:15:29.893Z","priceCents":68,"iy":314.2434051931952,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:35:35.086Z","priceCents":70,"iy":346.0652851144521,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T07:40:56.263Z","priceCents":71,"iy":363.73359233766377,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T08:01:03.419Z","priceCents":70,"iy":346.67665312524593,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T08:10:53.735Z","priceCents":69,"iy":330.7101937395778,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T08:15:58.819Z","priceCents":71,"iy":363.7691282342675,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T10:21:06.149Z","priceCents":69,"iy":330.8313976270252,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T10:46:27.831Z","priceCents":70,"iy":346.8390137554588,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T12:00:52.102Z","priceCents":69,"iy":330.92572875600695,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T12:10:15.923Z","priceCents":70,"iy":346.9209576919369,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T12:40:47.805Z","priceCents":69,"iy":330.96212799777953,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T12:45:16.733Z","priceCents":70,"iy":346.9548768547827,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T12:55:16.272Z","priceCents":69,"iy":330.97561123054055,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:40:18.744Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.01000964293956,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T13:55:11.470Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.03225280690634,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:50:35.989Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.13730605146594,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T15:55:13.277Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.14424438169107,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T18:15:11.517Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.2802721698696,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:10:13.394Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.6660698828376,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:15:23.684Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.6928436511694,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:45:11.356Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.69856930379643,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T01:50:26.134Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.7283336667714,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:10:13.233Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.7784907945136,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:15:13.368Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.8121188360341,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:35:11.413Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.8015261684492,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T03:40:10.125Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.83626781895083,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:25:10.106Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.84896201175957,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T04:30:18.341Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.88599687379156,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:20:11.623Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.90047914384036,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:25:17.541Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.94000452117734,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:35:09.999Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.91539498327364,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T05:40:10.796Z","priceCents":70,"iy":347.9542198471452,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T06:40:40.491Z","priceCents":69,"iy":331.97642828953235,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T08:45:41.407Z","priceCents":68,"iy":317.0539783759479,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-01T09:25:40.304Z","priceCents":69,"iy":332.1325043186456,"cri":2.226}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["tight LAS 0.043","6 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 62c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x45514e0fcd922a740e67ab064a9042d3e964006712f9540947808ae82067ed23","marketTitle":"Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":62},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x004230fb1f54a139d50ba2041e062a01461c931a6725ce482e3a9ab61b2925bb","reason":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $800M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xc0f838d718bf25167ba687f574603cecac310eb7b33daa55b1ac0f9095ed5445","reason":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x7fd2f50352ef2c9e7b462a46b893792d7a6bf510bf0bc2e1f07f85b1ea1e8ca8","reason":"Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Extended%20FDV%20above%20%24150M%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1659}