{"ticker":"0x4bfb8b7fd515c8a4371ef6fc48289bae5b2736252aa6b710e6edaeeb26d96e3b","venue":"polymarket","title":"Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.  ","price":39,"bestBid":31,"bestAsk":47,"spread":16,"volume":4304.689004000001,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":9275.201,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":225.56378789932586,"iyNo":92.20169884301927,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2308,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":16,"bidDepthUsd":67218,"askDepthUsd":48172,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:49:34.110Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":2,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:56:11.745Z","priceCents":43,"iy":190.95470376367547,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:00:28.667Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.3171922634182,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:10:28.431Z","priceCents":40,"iy":216.08885099933693,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:30:28.479Z","priceCents":42,"iy":198.9499352872341,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:35:41.683Z","priceCents":37,"iy":245.30747443713693,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:40:27.734Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.3420943991584,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:45:27.814Z","priceCents":42,"iy":198.9585735732265,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:50:29.440Z","priceCents":37,"iy":245.31715737210328,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:05:29.904Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.07927043361371,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:25:27.704Z","priceCents":36,"iy":256.1578774688093,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:30:51.075Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.37322981044557,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:35:26.955Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.09875913981492,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:45:27.929Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.38212722261807,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:50:48.969Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.10896879938795,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:00:28.685Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.39191518744684,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:15:27.309Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.12474910848965,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:20:28.050Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.40437382685198,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:25:27.991Z","priceCents":37,"iy":245.38108391958372,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:30:44.278Z","priceCents":35,"iy":267.6420984945485,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:35:28.926Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.4132736982852,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:40:27.943Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.1405315360547,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:50:42.471Z","priceCents":40,"iy":216.1844141895947,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:55:32.707Z","priceCents":43,"iy":191.04895472208648,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:00:28.794Z","priceCents":44,"iy":183.43354572377282,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:05:29.539Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.15724465123776,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:10:30.605Z","priceCents":36,"iy":256.23171771337763,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:21:10.187Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.16745939126648,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:25:30.350Z","priceCents":37,"iy":245.42178179949076,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:40:47.368Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.17953250091762,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:45:29.069Z","priceCents":40,"iy":216.21685662156716,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:50:29.770Z","priceCents":42,"iy":199.05914698877206,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:00:41.002Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.19253569771638,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:10:28.677Z","priceCents":43,"iy":191.0881905293919,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:28.342Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.47470197135678,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:25:29.310Z","priceCents":40,"iy":216.23991374100973,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:40:45.482Z","priceCents":36,"iy":256.2954770870088,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:29.746Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.4934041786718,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:00:33.825Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.23155391698478,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:20:31.754Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.5156727568559,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:25:30.587Z","priceCents":40,"iy":216.27579014730452,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:30:47.689Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.25106788183598,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:35:29.786Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.52458141969166,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:45:29.780Z","priceCents":40,"iy":216.28775159499867,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:50:37.741Z","priceCents":37,"iy":245.51873587159525,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:10:35.672Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.27616202303813,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:20:27.522Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.55220274797853,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:25:28.529Z","priceCents":40,"iy":216.31167846009788,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:30:44.750Z","priceCents":39,"iy":225.55844075851664,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:40:30.559Z","priceCents":38,"iy":235.2956833899547,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:45:38.477Z","priceCents":40,"iy":216.32364387794206,"cri":1.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 226%"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.23)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Supreme%20Court%20vacancy%20in%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2905}