{"ticker":"0x520d6225eddf85aaffd00c781968f26c37fbe160c18c36f6ec30f606609dc005","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Lions win?","description":"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9 2026\nIf Lions wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.","price":22,"bestBid":17,"bestAsk":27,"spread":10,"volume":17.272726,"volume24h":5,"openInterest":1147.343,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-16","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":7,"iyYes":19157.526411412422,"iyNo":1524.0372753326121,"cri":3.545,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4545,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":10,"bidDepthUsd":5143,"askDepthUsd":478,"volume24h":5},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:06:49.746Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xd8fa83f0fdbaf97e107765fa612dcbdc6a7c239f581acfc8dd04fe8499547e84","connectedTitle":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions: Leinster","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:370294","groupLabel":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5cf005c014419cb2fb884c7ba15f456104c3323ebbef1c1e088f93991dfcfd48","connectedTitle":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions: Draw","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:370294","groupLabel":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T05:40:44.595Z","priceCents":22,"iy":16669.9846591641,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:31:41.165Z","priceCents":39,"iy":7387.389180867442,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:36:05.283Z","priceCents":21,"iy":17774.695638773308,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:31:01.142Z","priceCents":39,"iy":7426.791152561934,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:36:05.231Z","priceCents":40,"iy":7126.12260835611,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:01:07.907Z","priceCents":39,"iy":7570.5799747703995,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:15:41.314Z","priceCents":27,"iy":13103.862061503807,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:20:42.459Z","priceCents":39,"iy":7584.661032249713,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:30:57.643Z","priceCents":40,"iy":7280.585106382978,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:35:50.427Z","priceCents":39,"iy":7594.75104293516,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:40:48.291Z","priceCents":27,"iy":13135.256912709327,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:50:35.502Z","priceCents":40,"iy":7293.193019848141,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:10:37.182Z","priceCents":39,"iy":7619.076950452902,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:16:05.200Z","priceCents":38,"iy":7952.0138308115065,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:21:23.576Z","priceCents":39,"iy":7627.220252470753,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:26:06.351Z","priceCents":38,"iy":7959.453565750783,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:36:19.080Z","priceCents":37,"iy":8314.200488113533,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:41:11.007Z","priceCents":36,"iy":8685.43553592409,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:55:36.898Z","priceCents":25,"iy":14676.316847607557,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:01:15.391Z","priceCents":35,"iy":9090.212456177323,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:11:02.355Z","priceCents":34,"iy":9509.185502143415,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:20:54.506Z","priceCents":33,"iy":9955.139791249407,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:30:55.754Z","priceCents":32,"iy":10429.272556138225,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:45:54.167Z","priceCents":30,"iy":11468.713529042105,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:51:13.687Z","priceCents":31,"iy":10944.622859203955,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:01:31.503Z","priceCents":30,"iy":11484.178353110392,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:10:55.965Z","priceCents":28,"iy":12667.990667720725,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:25:40.482Z","priceCents":26,"iy":14120.51316903838,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:50:51.003Z","priceCents":20,"iy":19891.008174386923,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:55:57.001Z","priceCents":26,"iy":14160.934485361962,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:16:13.395Z","priceCents":20,"iy":19939.907129199673,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:41:23.846Z","priceCents":19,"iy":21301.199610936997,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:36:08.133Z","priceCents":17,"iy":24522.620387084236,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:00:28.892Z","priceCents":20,"iy":20137.931034482757,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:15:59.941Z","priceCents":19,"iy":21495.408641786817,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:25:33.567Z","priceCents":18,"iy":22991.949360865296,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:55:47.389Z","priceCents":22,"iy":17946.067245748287,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:15:29.414Z","priceCents":24,"iy":16057.701213299992,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:15:33.182Z","priceCents":22,"iy":18083.99817063875,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:20:49.176Z","priceCents":23,"iy":17085.521836397238,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:50:40.123Z","priceCents":22,"iy":18147.39740696829,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T21:20:32.186Z","priceCents":21,"iy":19309.45349592516,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:20:33.400Z","priceCents":20,"iy":20653.557787522986,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:15:30.206Z","priceCents":23,"iy":17379.555137805866,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:20:34.323Z","priceCents":22,"iy":18524.06110923145,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:10:48.429Z","priceCents":21,"iy":19753.923724575434,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:25:41.871Z","priceCents":20,"iy":21162.487317002466,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:20:42.095Z","priceCents":19,"iy":22679.676892274416,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T04:10:48.791Z","priceCents":23,"iy":17901.50192996089,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:15:52.014Z","priceCents":22,"iy":19084.07180490944,"cri":3.545}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 19158%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.45)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xd8fa83f0fdbaf97e107765fa612dcbdc6a7c239f581acfc8dd04fe8499547e84","reason":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions: Leinster"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x5cf005c014419cb2fb884c7ba15f456104c3323ebbef1c1e088f93991dfcfd48","reason":"United Rugby Championship: Leinster vs Lions: Draw"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Lions%20win%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":65}