{"ticker":"0x533aab0d99851ea6dccf14861b8b7bb5026a40a15718769f8cc519d93380b391","venue":"polymarket","title":"U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with \"India\" before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","price":27,"bestBid":26,"bestAsk":27,"spread":1,"volume":49954.652138000056,"volume24h":31.873010000000004,"openInterest":24095.0829,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":206,"iyYes":479.5035406239107,"iyNo":65.59543650118802,"cri":2.704,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.037,"cvr":null,"overround":1.83,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":4199,"askDepthUsd":931,"volume24h":31.873010000000004,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T04:41:36.079Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Argentina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x42520d88b4fa9d58ea74d3579b14398e76873a88c09bbfc9e0e801694a547d5c","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Taiwan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5b2d1c35c4510f926d8d026b61ed29816485c1cef9051a251e4b8672026075da","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Russia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5cbca9adf861c7096259efa6ebaba8e69e90f00b8e5f77b272ed13070f9a2ee7","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x66cbd462cd4e08dacb506dcc0df32b8a7ccf29d1c2f039f85e36eb768026b729","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7531c660ca20317d50ca9dd3a3b1df7659509bb6a415ac1f026c63be5061afb3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Australia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x81e8f9fd1c08c597b716ea800a97c6d04d60c985a2c388bc6d77a0f85e643df8","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Canada","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x85ad30282d095dd426c2b8c61a0f12c5fd1e751d1dd30830351001ced5fda42e","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Pakistan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9121e50fc11b2041db7cfb1e966e964bbceeffc9360d66e6895341e31b61edf0","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Israel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc77d51450d7d97d1239b003889d0899410c68c383378d65aabf04b77666a4488","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: South Africa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcc9b5eb0fb5b7fa763bee8c0d37cb4559a8cc0336dce6dc34b54d072720c807d","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: South Korea","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd60f9b0c5ce8c507e463731b67017dec027eea02bf4bfd3c3dccb364fc2262b7","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Vietnam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xdabf29e1d9a73105559248dc8cae409e87f7affb1f15ad39660ec2a4c6e6fed7","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: United Kingdo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xdb3df04fc73bd716ab5619aebaaaa42a85c10b0faed27b654b5e5ec5714f500f","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: European Unio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfe61b06cd6643f489a4781a327cdf06bfd639e95151d938c801758a4bea41b73","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xffe86f7d81d3834d1a9f71c7d9700c62d53bc051f0fcd6efbadeb1c26c48837a","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Indonesia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T10:15:44.812Z","priceCents":27,"iy":464.24357481316997,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T11:15:52.049Z","priceCents":26,"iy":488.7974713553099,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T11:31:05.635Z","priceCents":27,"iy":464.35716725571785,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T12:00:49.386Z","priceCents":26,"iy":488.8710788503258,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T12:15:28.913Z","priceCents":27,"iy":464.42491227868345,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T13:15:29.401Z","priceCents":26,"iy":488.9884366273882,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T14:45:29.518Z","priceCents":27,"iy":464.652330367894,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T16:30:57.317Z","priceCents":26,"iy":489.3016663430016,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T16:45:28.942Z","priceCents":27,"iy":464.83398736321453,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T18:31:26.623Z","priceCents":26,"iy":489.4953323058945,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T19:01:30.154Z","priceCents":27,"iy":465.04208242510936,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T19:15:28.602Z","priceCents":25,"iy":516.0274837651627,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T19:31:19.206Z","priceCents":26,"iy":489.5899154265594,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T19:45:28.243Z","priceCents":28,"iy":442.3530489032405,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T20:15:28.252Z","priceCents":26,"iy":489.66145376334094,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T20:31:06.747Z","priceCents":27,"iy":465.17799234101756,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:01:02.973Z","priceCents":25,"iy":516.2075012728404,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:15:30.565Z","priceCents":26,"iy":489.75841002769914,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:31:00.973Z","priceCents":27,"iy":465.27010549207307,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T22:00:44.625Z","priceCents":26,"iy":489.82999761704315,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T22:31:06.509Z","priceCents":27,"iy":465.36006066709336,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T22:45:29.705Z","priceCents":26,"iy":489.9016061372464,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T23:01:02.289Z","priceCents":27,"iy":465.40614874097537,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T23:31:02.303Z","priceCents":25,"iy":516.4607112536553,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T00:01:14.967Z","priceCents":26,"iy":490.0240821164976,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T00:31:03.103Z","priceCents":27,"iy":465.5444677522439,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T00:45:29.351Z","priceCents":26,"iy":490.0957473987365,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T01:01:26.305Z","priceCents":27,"iy":465.5905923615883,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T02:15:28.917Z","priceCents":26,"iy":490.2391408672495,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T02:30:47.509Z","priceCents":25,"iy":516.7653790792609,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T03:00:31.457Z","priceCents":27,"iy":465.7707855347973,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T03:15:52.765Z","priceCents":24,"iy":545.5543807977444,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T09:00:28.889Z","priceCents":28,"iy":445.61254768969906,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T09:45:41.511Z","priceCents":31,"iy":385.7769986840539,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T10:45:38.727Z","priceCents":27,"iy":468.6974485409076,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T16:30:46.262Z","priceCents":28,"iy":446.27573727197137,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T18:45:26.946Z","priceCents":29,"iy":425.0923753699363,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T19:00:54.924Z","priceCents":28,"iy":446.49653132679464,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T02:00:27.617Z","priceCents":27,"iy":470.11750026289167,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T13:30:23.377Z","priceCents":26,"iy":496.01844652384904,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T18:45:23.981Z","priceCents":25,"iy":523.3775296580601,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T19:45:25.197Z","priceCents":24,"iy":552.5623435336263,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:45:24.798Z","priceCents":26,"iy":496.73471864879326,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:00:53.177Z","priceCents":27,"iy":471.8979418200932,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:45:24.331Z","priceCents":30,"iy":407.3147674320359,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T03:45:27.045Z","priceCents":32,"iy":371.391428010515,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T04:00:52.618Z","priceCents":31,"iy":389.028244979821,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T04:30:37.345Z","priceCents":30,"iy":407.8628942142534,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T03:01:33.914Z","priceCents":28,"iy":451.5097744650262,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T09:45:32.586Z","priceCents":27,"iy":477.6792301054981,"cri":2.704}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 480%","tight LAS 0.037","16 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 24c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x533aab0d99851ea6dccf14861b8b7bb5026a40a15718769f8cc519d93380b391","marketTitle":"U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with \"India\" before 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":24},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5","reason":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x42520d88b4fa9d58ea74d3579b14398e76873a88c09bbfc9e0e801694a547d5c","reason":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x5b2d1c35c4510f926d8d026b61ed29816485c1cef9051a251e4b8672026075da","reason":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=U.S.%20agrees%20to%20a%20new%20trade%20deal%20with%20%22India%22%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":112}