{"ticker":"0x5a60b4be0fe9dc72939aa24102bb320803cb6d1d43e4945eda48efd683a88572","venue":"polymarket","title":"Another US debt downgrade before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":23,"bestBid":19,"bestAsk":27,"spread":8,"volume":10063.801871999987,"volume24h":45.707141,"openInterest":3846.1343,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":231,"iyYes":528.4753340883607,"iyNo":47.15187244606896,"cri":3.348,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3478,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.364,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.2},"computedAt":"2026-05-13T18:41:30.779Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T11:25:40.944Z","priceCents":21,"iy":593.0682080886812,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T11:40:47.402Z","priceCents":22,"iy":558.9711632136895,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T11:51:55.372Z","priceCents":21,"iy":593.1143201883485,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T11:56:55.980Z","priceCents":23,"iy":527.8384297928875,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T12:00:40.072Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.0025525230709,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T12:05:44.641Z","priceCents":20,"iy":630.6804437225697,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T12:10:51.686Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.0218707734648,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T12:36:03.200Z","priceCents":20,"iy":630.7376606544983,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T12:40:42.273Z","priceCents":21,"iy":593.2014403881411,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T12:50:44.658Z","priceCents":23,"iy":527.9228054950556,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T12:55:49.741Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.09674160697,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:16:26.850Z","priceCents":21,"iy":593.2655156883598,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:25:41.554Z","priceCents":23,"iy":527.9775501052667,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:30:41.602Z","priceCents":21,"iy":593.2911496844663,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:36:11.098Z","priceCents":20,"iy":630.8521256692002,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:40:44.078Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.1716324983403,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:45:43.587Z","priceCents":23,"iy":528.0094897048012,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T13:51:42.098Z","priceCents":20,"iy":630.8821114673627,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:05:44.751Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.2127102154628,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:25:47.347Z","priceCents":20,"iy":630.9448182576416,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:31:58.663Z","priceCents":21,"iy":593.4014011146521,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:35:43.613Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.2634616109931,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:40:45.910Z","priceCents":20,"iy":630.9748128684288,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:45:42.669Z","priceCents":19,"iy":672.4950327717646,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T14:51:18.573Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.2900493518954,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:05:46.251Z","priceCents":20,"iy":631.0211737858244,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:11:51.775Z","priceCents":23,"iy":528.146417483535,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:31:30.240Z","priceCents":19,"iy":672.5880501134402,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:35:44.827Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.364992042753,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:40:43.795Z","priceCents":23,"iy":528.1920758596957,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:45:39.323Z","priceCents":21,"iy":593.5322175709827,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:52:19.257Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.3915894384039,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T15:56:48.545Z","priceCents":23,"iy":528.2171913317125,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T16:00:43.148Z","priceCents":20,"iy":631.1248287101279,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T16:10:39.471Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.4230259853666,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T16:20:42.491Z","priceCents":20,"iy":631.1630259511757,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T16:25:39.873Z","priceCents":21,"iy":593.6014966951003,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T16:30:39.824Z","priceCents":23,"iy":528.27199701664,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T16:45:41.874Z","priceCents":24,"iy":499.7074531708907,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T16:56:36.299Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.50042331012,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:05:47.191Z","priceCents":24,"iy":499.7377007598031,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:16:11.731Z","priceCents":23,"iy":528.3450889567322,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:20:45.035Z","priceCents":24,"iy":499.76146929151344,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:30:42.004Z","priceCents":20,"iy":631.2967527132788,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:36:26.218Z","priceCents":24,"iy":499.78524008428974,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:45:43.080Z","priceCents":22,"iy":559.5826814368717,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:50:45.922Z","priceCents":24,"iy":499.80685185825814,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T17:55:44.661Z","priceCents":23,"iy":528.4067760155026,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T18:30:43.642Z","priceCents":24,"iy":499.8652129851071,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T18:35:46.170Z","priceCents":23,"iy":528.4707629967047,"cri":3.348}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 528%"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.35)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Another%20US%20debt%20downgrade%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":68}