{"ticker":"0x5a9d912131826ecce7076d83cf6e5f674fa0e1cfafbe73ec9ae3b2a84a54c0b9","venue":"polymarket","title":"EU debt downgrade before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":27,"bestBid":20,"bestAsk":34,"spread":14,"volume":1343.5053590000005,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1654.9693,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":245,"iyYes":402.7555767174173,"iyNo":55.09641873278237,"cri":2.704,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.9259,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":14},"computedAt":"2026-04-29T23:25:14.965Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:35:20.587Z","priceCents":22,"iy":526.7298273761861,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:41:09.686Z","priceCents":21,"iy":558.8958149199113,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:50:20.513Z","priceCents":22,"iy":526.7534116858219,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:55:20.180Z","priceCents":20,"iy":594.2931574876868,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:01:27.648Z","priceCents":22,"iy":526.7684209825165,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:10:48.382Z","priceCents":21,"iy":558.9435917655118,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:20:48.908Z","priceCents":22,"iy":526.798442142099,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:26:00.478Z","priceCents":21,"iy":558.9663455154462,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:45:59.761Z","priceCents":20,"iy":594.3778370346246,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:55:50.565Z","priceCents":22,"iy":526.8499149489917,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:01:12.762Z","priceCents":21,"iy":559.0232379959768,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:06:30.632Z","priceCents":19,"iy":633.5203287920151,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:15:48.684Z","priceCents":21,"iy":559.045998231061,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:20:58.586Z","priceCents":20,"iy":594.4383372012541,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:25:52.181Z","priceCents":21,"iy":559.0619314983849,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:30:52.254Z","priceCents":22,"iy":526.9013978155523,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:40:54.653Z","priceCents":20,"iy":594.4698021555638,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:55:49.624Z","priceCents":19,"iy":633.6080361172654,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:01:00.756Z","priceCents":20,"iy":594.5036912164115,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:06:05.067Z","priceCents":19,"iy":633.6260965224826,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:10:50.689Z","priceCents":20,"iy":594.5206371958171,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:20:51.939Z","priceCents":22,"iy":527.7824535228877,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:25:53.455Z","priceCents":21,"iy":560.0127403626731,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:30:57.358Z","priceCents":22,"iy":527.7975215206798,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:36:37.194Z","priceCents":25,"iy":446.6051887773622,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:40:51.856Z","priceCents":26,"iy":423.7075429668626,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:45:50.610Z","priceCents":27,"iy":402.5058842598823,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:50:50.999Z","priceCents":20,"iy":595.4978729305429,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:56:14.174Z","priceCents":22,"iy":527.8362717516933,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:00:50.907Z","priceCents":21,"iy":560.0675616093741,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:05:52.746Z","priceCents":22,"iy":527.8491897598369,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:10:50.322Z","priceCents":21,"iy":560.0835531615149,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:20:11.869Z","priceCents":23,"iy":498.4464892288205,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:25:15.087Z","priceCents":25,"iy":446.6671289705444,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:30:13.280Z","priceCents":27,"iy":402.55678324421035,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:35:27.065Z","priceCents":21,"iy":560.1223935903429,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:40:13.209Z","priceCents":22,"iy":527.9008681160113,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:45:14.707Z","priceCents":23,"iy":498.4830896196505,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:55:22.163Z","priceCents":25,"iy":446.7053947325479,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:00:13.450Z","priceCents":26,"iy":423.80261248185775,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:05:14.019Z","priceCents":21,"iy":560.170380381623,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:15:22.731Z","priceCents":20,"iy":595.6412118442847,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:20:12.582Z","priceCents":27,"iy":402.6142653132058,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:40:13.058Z","priceCents":22,"iy":527.9913295923284,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T21:55:18.676Z","priceCents":21,"iy":560.2480907168631,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T22:00:36.075Z","priceCents":20,"iy":595.7165531677024,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T22:10:11.556Z","priceCents":23,"iy":498.60309525989106,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T22:15:35.266Z","priceCents":24,"iy":471.6281815350256,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T22:20:13.494Z","priceCents":21,"iy":560.2892402120376,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T22:25:12.710Z","priceCents":27,"iy":402.6881949564002,"cri":2.704}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 403%"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.93)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=EU%20debt%20downgrade%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2550}