{"ticker":"0x5ffc4b0998e7e63eecf817ac89a9ee4b4c1276452b5e7d4a628ad6b9d0f026b9","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":40,"bestBid":32,"bestAsk":47,"spread":15,"volume":651.036085,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":590.7568,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-08-11","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":94,"iyYes":584.623598505072,"iyNo":259.8327104466987,"cri":1.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.425,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.05,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":15,"bidDepthUsd":580,"askDepthUsd":451,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:25:38.022Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x556ccfabc145d9e46e2efd9d7bdb48a9209e8d942ab3841eca47dde7352a6b0e","connectedTitle":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner: Mark Stewart Greenstein","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:232585","groupLabel":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x208c15b7465c469f7a50bd9a9525192408406c088f5bafb1ff18abca8cb5d375","connectedTitle":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner: Jillian Gilchrest","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:232585","groupLabel":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa8e0b798fe68798527a0fb4ad42fb47b367b4c7e80e3f1df26dc9551bc8a86aa","connectedTitle":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner: Ruth Fortune","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:232585","groupLabel":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x14710adfa9ca2f0450c1710d0080b67d73d6779c0d62df497c6d40f2eba870dd","connectedTitle":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner: Luke Bronin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:232585","groupLabel":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:11:01.064Z","priceCents":55,"iy":472.32015660089496,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:20:54.506Z","priceCents":45,"iy":472.3551640243013,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:25:53.427Z","priceCents":42,"iy":533.7225953490249,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:41:20.104Z","priceCents":40,"iy":579.7945568145715,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:45:53.036Z","priceCents":39,"iy":604.5977123858216,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:51:12.514Z","priceCents":44,"iy":491.9833669184993,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:56:13.702Z","priceCents":41,"iy":556.2904737807269,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:10:54.517Z","priceCents":44,"iy":492.05632359780805,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:16:02.756Z","priceCents":42,"iy":533.9148137275375,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:40:29.678Z","priceCents":46,"iy":453.94935942701517,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T14:46:08.566Z","priceCents":42,"iy":534.0336060259777,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:40:56.682Z","priceCents":38,"iy":631.2085342294654,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:45:49.417Z","priceCents":40,"iy":580.329224213773,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:55:55.725Z","priceCents":46,"iy":454.20439797062124,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:00:47.653Z","priceCents":43,"iy":512.9034476824925,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:05:43.510Z","priceCents":42,"iy":534.3506440729989,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:10:45.991Z","priceCents":41,"iy":556.8389441288982,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:16:12.090Z","priceCents":40,"iy":580.4584296346557,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:20:53.222Z","priceCents":41,"iy":556.8802706125219,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:45:31.024Z","priceCents":40,"iy":582.1247820354697,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:10:34.721Z","priceCents":41,"iy":558.5680737169795,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:40:32.169Z","priceCents":40,"iy":582.3600740315272,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:45:33.792Z","priceCents":39,"iy":607.2730942425655,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:50:33.683Z","priceCents":41,"iy":558.7285015360819,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:25:37.690Z","priceCents":40,"iy":582.5583622395777,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:40:31.886Z","priceCents":39,"iy":607.518660768565,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:46:11.357Z","priceCents":40,"iy":582.6451557977182,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:50:31.464Z","priceCents":39,"iy":607.5639183711337,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:55:35.188Z","priceCents":41,"iy":559.0020353540559,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:05:49.205Z","priceCents":40,"iy":582.7319752219171,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:10:44.091Z","priceCents":38,"iy":633.8690549216866,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:15:58.624Z","priceCents":41,"iy":559.0853379448248,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:35:58.365Z","priceCents":40,"iy":582.8622528823735,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:50:54.205Z","priceCents":41,"iy":559.2282001629255,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:40:41.362Z","priceCents":40,"iy":583.1416155419222,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:55:41.063Z","priceCents":41,"iy":559.4962637029172,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:05:45.586Z","priceCents":40,"iy":583.7633812428028,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:40:55.124Z","priceCents":39,"iy":608.8728345908684,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:45:44.781Z","priceCents":40,"iy":583.9377133105801,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:55:55.568Z","priceCents":41,"iy":560.242234850111,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:15:18.047Z","priceCents":40,"iy":584.0685307076029,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:35:21.948Z","priceCents":39,"iy":609.119696876432,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:40:18.505Z","priceCents":41,"iy":560.4275436279897,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:45:18.687Z","priceCents":40,"iy":584.1931732092744,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:05:18.451Z","priceCents":41,"iy":560.5292166256064,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:10:22.656Z","priceCents":40,"iy":584.3053969541413,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:15:17.932Z","priceCents":41,"iy":560.5710927010444,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:45:19.384Z","priceCents":40,"iy":584.4550957011858,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:55:19.384Z","priceCents":41,"iy":560.7386595911439,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:10:21.902Z","priceCents":40,"iy":584.5674201091191,"cri":1.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 585%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.42)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x556ccfabc145d9e46e2efd9d7bdb48a9209e8d942ab3841eca47dde7352a6b0e","reason":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner: Mark Stewart Greenstein"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x208c15b7465c469f7a50bd9a9525192408406c088f5bafb1ff18abca8cb5d375","reason":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner: Jillian Gilchrest"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xa8e0b798fe68798527a0fb4ad42fb47b367b4c7e80e3f1df26dc9551bc8a86aa","reason":"CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner: Ruth Fortune"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20John%20Larson%20be%20the%20Democratic%20nominee%20for%20CT-01%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":315}