{"ticker":"0x62cb89d0496aec7420d73fe2557cba3845b6abb7283e04a09bb5b8b81fdc3081","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will either Tate brother be arrested by March 31?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if either Andrew Tate or Tristan Tate is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":14,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":22,"spread":17,"volume":2019.972864,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1009.24909,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-30","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":67,"iyYes":3338.4596077230194,"iyNo":88.47188792775987,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.3571,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.35,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":17,"bidDepthUsd":3438,"askDepthUsd":16673,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-23T20:11:45.724Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x8fcf8870c958dd52d66aac2a6c6e2ae96128b1f46b503249eec97b234c382eb5","connectedTitle":"Either Tate brother arrested by...?: April 30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:283746","groupLabel":"Either Tate brother arrested by...?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5005adaac0211b84ff06ec99ab507f9b79fcb5305b7794ad1d512cf40364eaa6","connectedTitle":"Either Tate brother arrested by...?: June 30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:283746","groupLabel":"Either Tate brother arrested by...?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:30:14.214Z","priceCents":5,"iy":9981.43323882036,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:36:49.926Z","priceCents":4,"iy":12609.033595301838,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:45:28.780Z","priceCents":3,"iy":17029.33056285052,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:10:21.540Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1999.8765465492334,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T10:05:20.840Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1886.980036586336,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T10:10:32.340Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2002.2970690842835,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T10:25:22.130Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1887.365325512512,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T10:45:21.237Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2002.998071675864,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T11:10:41.415Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1888.246577014196,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T12:40:25.250Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2005.338296084879,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:10:23.748Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1890.5361632275774,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T13:21:06.169Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2006.1586670785432,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T14:55:22.812Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1892.5544898811154,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:00:25.554Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2008.1831635762167,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:20:24.167Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1893.025129958469,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:45:33.955Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2009.123448041845,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:05:27.846Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1893.8839588627382,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:35:22.318Z","priceCents":23,"iy":1788.8660670469928,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:55:20.579Z","priceCents":24,"iy":1692.4128169460919,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:11:25.487Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2010.8594079070326,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:45:22.714Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1895.826119383107,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:55:47.656Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2011.7727251479619,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:20:22.384Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1896.492920292674,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T21:00:24.828Z","priceCents":23,"iy":1793.697646589549,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T21:55:21.514Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1900.6431610893546,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T22:55:23.229Z","priceCents":23,"iy":1795.8064835610703,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:10:33.318Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1902.123804407956,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:15:24.795Z","priceCents":23,"iy":1796.176039951096,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:20:24.926Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1902.2915697814267,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:25:25.662Z","priceCents":23,"iy":1796.3608751898305,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:35:24.409Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1902.599216506034,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T00:30:45.936Z","priceCents":23,"iy":1797.5500106490686,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T00:35:23.089Z","priceCents":22,"iy":1903.7747835099804,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T05:40:22.683Z","priceCents":21,"iy":2026.2901217390333,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:00:31.641Z","priceCents":20,"iy":2156.3183080285935,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:40:30.434Z","priceCents":19,"iy":2299.1321388577826,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:50:31.714Z","priceCents":18,"iy":2461.6239974207647,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T11:45:36.141Z","priceCents":17,"iy":2639.6960798835894,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T11:55:35.804Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2838.7627216568153,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:10:33.028Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3064.5153324542302,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:20:32.472Z","priceCents":14,"iy":3322.3822083733767,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:30:34.647Z","priceCents":13,"iy":3619.9296191293697,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:45:32.805Z","priceCents":12,"iy":3967.3128989545658,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:15:36.549Z","priceCents":11,"iy":4378.457208785759,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:15:32.986Z","priceCents":10,"iy":4873.453401774323,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:31:17.899Z","priceCents":9,"iy":5476.0079465176295,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:00:32.589Z","priceCents":17,"iy":2644.985266834006,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:00:42.369Z","priceCents":16,"iy":2845.92993034619,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:16:16.743Z","priceCents":15,"iy":3074.2172017439557,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:00:52.184Z","priceCents":14,"iy":3334.0910008221044,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 3338%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 1.36)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x8fcf8870c958dd52d66aac2a6c6e2ae96128b1f46b503249eec97b234c382eb5","reason":"Either Tate brother arrested by...?: April 30"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x5005adaac0211b84ff06ec99ab507f9b79fcb5305b7794ad1d512cf40364eaa6","reason":"Either Tate brother arrested by...?: June 30"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20either%20Tate%20brother%20be%20arrested%20by%20March%2031%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1884}