{"ticker":"0x6912f57515190db649735f6d70f004291335136da50ea181632f6d5e6f89a0d4","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","price":53,"bestBid":51,"bestAsk":54,"spread":3,"volume":12096.400931,"volume24h":2585.873796,"openInterest":26136.6988,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-02","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":41,"iyYes":787.5790677965323,"iyNo":1001.4982351473336,"cri":1.128,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0377,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.03,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":130647,"askDepthUsd":125591,"volume24h":2585.873796},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:52:59.021Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXGOVSDNOMR-26-DJOH","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Dusty Johnson be the Republican nominee for Governor in South Dakota?: Dusty Johnson","confidenceScore":0.88,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xe53a3545d1b55e0075b3f4863d538e959dc722c066293a0f41ce5a429ee9fcd0","connectedTitle":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner: Toby Doeden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101773","groupLabel":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x088f9a8ae719157e1fd4fb8d91836e91a958c7be80a003d2c9d20b4663c7fd43","connectedTitle":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner: Jon Hansen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101773","groupLabel":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbd0c2d5f58650e031aba69b54529cf1e85f1f73622530b53b0d261063627c64d","connectedTitle":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner: Larry Rhoden","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101773","groupLabel":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:30:33.247Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1022.7431933871948,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:35:32.622Z","priceCents":53,"iy":982.5163388734152,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:41:09.348Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1065.009337068161,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:00:32.791Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1109.3622795115334,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:15:33.170Z","priceCents":59,"iy":1254.6433748304614,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:15:34.001Z","priceCents":52,"iy":945.4526616136258,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:20:31.677Z","priceCents":53,"iy":984.231437100005,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:25:32.882Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1066.843100992709,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:30:44.509Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1024.7734164105168,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:00:33.494Z","priceCents":52,"iy":946.176608998748,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:05:35.366Z","priceCents":50,"iy":873.4564946874702,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:10:32.219Z","priceCents":49,"iy":909.1948094573844,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:15:38.162Z","priceCents":50,"iy":873.6028338239871,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T05:20:32.916Z","priceCents":51,"iy":909.3471507855362,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:00:32.886Z","priceCents":53,"iy":985.858071091859,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:06:04.807Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1026.393572724489,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:10:48.932Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1112.8703124965973,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:20:47.116Z","priceCents":53,"iy":986.1887691222234,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:25:56.382Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1207.820423290566,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:40:47.413Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1159.6692615462478,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T06:46:01.877Z","priceCents":58,"iy":1208.2257515883284,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:15:47.092Z","priceCents":57,"iy":1160.3645569281375,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:25:53.443Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1070.0674289064796,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:35:46.533Z","priceCents":50,"iy":875.6567425569177,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:40:47.222Z","priceCents":51,"iy":911.463433742019,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:35:37.691Z","priceCents":50,"iy":877.4038461538462,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T09:40:38.223Z","priceCents":51,"iy":913.282109728282,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:20:37.193Z","priceCents":52,"iy":951.2296823754882,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:45:57.934Z","priceCents":51,"iy":914.2931799082415,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:41:12.632Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1033.199732028563,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:05:28.076Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1076.1334244629388,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:30:27.937Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1034.0474958842708,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:10:45.627Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1077.3288683887831,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:45:28.587Z","priceCents":56,"iy":1122.4971717903943,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:50:30.016Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1035.4218280159619,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:25:27.823Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1078.683442007668,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:55:59.462Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1036.5740779697244,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:40:27.918Z","priceCents":55,"iy":1080.0414262464865,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:11:05.884Z","priceCents":53,"iy":996.9861076466698,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:20:28.050Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1038.0557232104206,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:35:28.926Z","priceCents":53,"iy":997.3968175075752,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:00:28.794Z","priceCents":52,"iy":958.5858585858587,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:30:29.759Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1039.264257851428,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:40:47.368Z","priceCents":50,"iy":885.4495172480714,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:28.342Z","priceCents":51,"iy":922.1271886588511,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:21:03.993Z","priceCents":53,"iy":999.1643071341728,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:40:45.482Z","priceCents":52,"iy":960.2153148777724,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:50:50.602Z","priceCents":53,"iy":999.673923884223,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:15:32.391Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1041.10764133921,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:20:31.754Z","priceCents":53,"iy":1000.1840607524571,"cri":1.128}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 788%","tight LAS 0.038","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 48c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x6912f57515190db649735f6d70f004291335136da50ea181632f6d5e6f89a0d4","marketTitle":"Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":48},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVSDNOMR-26-DJOH","reason":"Same market on kalshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe53a3545d1b55e0075b3f4863d538e959dc722c066293a0f41ce5a429ee9fcd0","reason":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner: Toby Doeden"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x088f9a8ae719157e1fd4fb8d91836e91a958c7be80a003d2c9d20b4663c7fd43","reason":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner: Jon Hansen"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xbd0c2d5f58650e031aba69b54529cf1e85f1f73622530b53b0d261063627c64d","reason":"South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner: Larry Rhode"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Dusty%20Johnson%20win%20the%202026%20South%20Dakota%20Governor%20Republ","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2437}