{"ticker":"0x74d26fda5f74ce870cba8688df741d844a31e163ccf5bde2cd4131d37bf0e6ad","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?","description":"This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.","price":0,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":1,"spread":1,"volume":5609.779051999999,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":6662.56822,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-23","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":12814,"askDepthUsd":2106,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:16:24.431Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xd42612a6ea2c06736853604ee6287f64f94aca371144b1254a6a19fcb27b01ae","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Jack Schlossberg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1af009052969324fe877b8339e173ae39c8c8c6b7db75a41cd091bfe4ec04265","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Alex Bores","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x19aabab6291e74f8a7772d6af05ec36eb9f761a424e63db89ee9df20e2552006","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Erik Bottcher","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1a42c8f234fc67eeb2ef2956ae76626bb0c237ba3eb528eafc57ecee4da7dc6e","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Carolyn Maloney","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc860655f306be6583fdc133e1100ca0299a0288c992f622fd2cb9a3ad8d5b0eb","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Andrew Cuomo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd9f75a28eb0c3fc244e6705515389405c1fb571279ab4e868b3dba481a93ff51","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Brad Hoylman-Sigal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc38a6c93900b044c012101b94beb87b5f91e7b663d2ad649fc1c1705ecbbb93a","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Keith Powers","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xaeee4ad841c77e47cd28a142431e7dbb83eb96e7de7fd3b870e5c2de77a5c3ad","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Gale Brewer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x259afdf3f12a61c6ac368b2648242a2e94b6caf59f936453320f99f464987b7d","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Brad Lander","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3ff129c6f6737846a0b7912778da9c68f3766fbe4c8056224bd12de7e3ecfc10","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Micah Lasher","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x06008a6094638fc298e8584f0480e91912484e1495c453fb633703b1123a0319","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Lina Khan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc8aeb76f86dca7a268761a448886c92e8cdb5ae8e4f3b0cbd27a4d6543e719c5","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Julie Menin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x148c4361843c17eb67e73a1959636a3abe00a1b7bce74373f455416cf08be343","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Chelsea Clinton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x34b4e1972eab434a3bc0a04a61ce5583a9ac1eafe4ccca737dba874b3e03d201","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Liam Elkind","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd141449a066191a2d5da1bf3592b03166f44b117040d1bf654af9aa786d47a65","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Scott Stringer","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd8463b0f21f0409ca387a5b27af12aa564021022a28752ddd45f13044d7cff4f","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Liz Krueger","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x526d399a11c39303f7ad9d98dc5746ae1a085e48ab201677ec4411fd5d89c201","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Cynthia Nixon","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd1dcc98673debc97919f9dd8584bfa16ee8f37996d78c24679f0cf4045a99b45","connectedTitle":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: George Conway","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:86929","groupLabel":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:50:52.125Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:55:53.333Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49554.306088864505,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:10:54.086Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:15:49.814Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49592.39130434782,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T04:35:39.717Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T04:40:39.115Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49632.58017993269,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T05:20:46.768Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T05:25:40.525Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49653.722483304475,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T06:05:40.486Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T06:10:41.195Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49674.88280659307,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T06:40:45.764Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T06:45:38.999Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49691.96072499244,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T07:25:39.546Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T07:30:45.092Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49713.153658838586,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T08:10:58.714Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T08:15:38.988Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49734.36467738383,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T09:35:38.817Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T09:40:38.903Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49774.78408198686,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T10:35:40.114Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T11:25:45.119Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49824.88555512657,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T11:50:39.027Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:05:40.279Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49844.12933127345,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:10:39.784Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:25:42.161Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49853.75679479043,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:40:45.830Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:45:41.122Z","priceCents":1,"iy":49863.38797814208,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T12:55:39.675Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T18:25:42.820Z","priceCents":1,"iy":50026.304131133016,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T18:45:41.405Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T06:50:36.528Z","priceCents":1,"iy":50386.94833716796,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T21:00:38.065Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T22:10:35.169Z","priceCents":1,"iy":51565.44323306125,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T07:55:33.889Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T11:41:20.883Z","priceCents":1,"iy":51983.082301152295,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T13:11:20.051Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T13:31:36.944Z","priceCents":1,"iy":52040.72815254335,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T13:35:51.173Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:26:11.293Z","priceCents":1,"iy":52163.18045991945,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T17:30:53.592Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:05:56.781Z","priceCents":1,"iy":52277.889498126475,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:10:49.082Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:26:18.889Z","priceCents":1,"iy":52288.480182904765,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T21:35:25.327Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:40:34.472Z","priceCents":1,"iy":52966.78490809417,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T18:55:36.823Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:15:35.551Z","priceCents":1,"iy":52985.424792515914,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T19:30:44.140Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T11:45:50.626Z","priceCents":50,"iy":657.539182129346,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T12:45:58.980Z","priceCents":1,"iy":65145.66957525059,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:26:01.139Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["18 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xd42612a6ea2c06736853604ee6287f64f94aca371144b1254a6a19fcb27b01ae","reason":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Jack Schlossberg"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x1af009052969324fe877b8339e173ae39c8c8c6b7db75a41cd091bfe4ec04265","reason":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Alex Bores"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x19aabab6291e74f8a7772d6af05ec36eb9f761a424e63db89ee9df20e2552006","reason":"NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner: Erik Bottcher"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Cameron%20Kasky%20be%20the%20democratic%20nominee%20for%20NY-12%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":315}