{"ticker":"0x759ceaf5eb99bed7eed8a42ad74593a25d6114c88b0475df5e2dba7ad155e4df","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.\n\nAn announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to \"Yes.\" Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":9,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":12,"spread":6,"volume":31596.55596,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":12558.8009,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":245,"iyYes":1339.9959208647767,"iyNo":16.543159516849094,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6,"cvr":null,"overround":0.69,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-29T20:28:24.413Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will recognize Palestine?: The Netherlands","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x0acc45f7c62722af4ad639a0e1b08dd324d83a1d728d20f3cdeefd39375aa7f3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: United States","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd904f952c9b101184dda166e40c76268e5bbb68286d6514999f661eb5dd6e2f5","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Italy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x528fbd8194e1aa1f094589a02f18477b0edd7c4fb413140774a781d847972869","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc29194f3f96257d0e230310dc9ecd4258da318223174499451f8f3c29cecf9b3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Germany","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd95a7d857f0c05108465c639a2e0643f94b52ed81c9bd08f1b6d20816a91d850","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Belgium","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xec00994dcf039406b7a19e344a47ccadfe523d92feb1ac1661b71c065e87866b","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Finland","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x21ce0ae1b82299b300f53d22a9971dfef63346a0b8962232a7248eadb48bd39c","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Austria","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xecf32b871ad1ab9ca961ce1a12d5758c59b07bdcb99f649a1dbe3f07e7cb4bde","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Greece","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x632131499208f242ade89e799edcf76965fea513e3c26c6f36e1b575f9007d68","connectedTitle":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: New Zealand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73107","groupLabel":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:55:22.772Z","priceCents":26,"iy":421.9315686669025,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:00:23.852Z","priceCents":28,"iy":381.2107764863158,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:05:19.674Z","priceCents":26,"iy":421.9435648529289,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:40:18.434Z","priceCents":23,"iy":496.36709795236425,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:45:19.235Z","priceCents":21,"iy":557.7674754730288,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:50:26.331Z","priceCents":20,"iy":593.0788510519025,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:55:21.786Z","priceCents":17,"iy":723.9138902097784,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:10:38.957Z","priceCents":13,"iy":992.3229732377476,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:25:20.222Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1087.4172418602825,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:40:19.127Z","priceCents":13,"iy":992.4036043423866,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T23:25:39.655Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1200.363305279899,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T05:05:31.877Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1336.517649356356,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:25:21.398Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1089.2625570404614,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:40:20.822Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1201.8385892113113,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:25:19.982Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1089.4443291234384,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T07:30:30.553Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1202.0098003483367,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:10:48.382Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1089.5862421758075,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:15:48.987Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1202.1614852402622,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T08:45:59.761Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1337.350133327905,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:25:51.468Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1202.4013233262156,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T09:50:54.693Z","priceCents":13,"iy":994.6220561473624,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:15:51.534Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1089.9722552516846,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T10:20:52.747Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1502.8588932461166,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T12:51:11.987Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1090.4518245716956,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:10:50.076Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.1655272057635,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:21:00.580Z","priceCents":13,"iy":995.2136975001661,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:25:52.377Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1090.5584528465886,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:45:52.380Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1503.7345495406178,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:10:51.803Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.3714404043121,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:20:52.377Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1503.8816128456804,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:36:29.539Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.6799026859176,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:41:10.179Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.4744234362797,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:45:50.537Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1090.8028879787546,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:50:49.317Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.5087550306741,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:55:55.543Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.750825257358,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:30:51.250Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1504.1758257683005,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:40:57.659Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1203.6755363553737,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:50:59.455Z","priceCents":13,"iy":995.6355701036551,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T15:56:11.708Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1338.9800110868362,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:10:58.082Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1091.2520452482295,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:31:00.478Z","priceCents":13,"iy":995.9197242599206,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T17:36:19.139Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1204.0730546353013,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:16:03.358Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1091.6392397405623,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:20:51.197Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1204.426624706077,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:36:36.711Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1339.8155663320865,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:45:50.063Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1204.5101368325,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T19:50:50.366Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1505.2862899077616,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:05:52.084Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1339.9248663134322,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:10:49.729Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1204.5985740608417,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T20:15:26.236Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1339.963125520077,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1340%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0","illiquid (LAS 0.60)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-DUT","reason":"Same market on kalshi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0acc45f7c62722af4ad639a0e1b08dd324d83a1d728d20f3cdeefd39375aa7f3","reason":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Unite"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xd904f952c9b101184dda166e40c76268e5bbb68286d6514999f661eb5dd6e2f5","reason":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Italy"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x528fbd8194e1aa1f094589a02f18477b0edd7c4fb413140774a781d847972869","reason":"Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?: Japan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20The%20Netherlands%20recognize%20Palestine%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2143}