{"ticker":"0x763a7f1e440693b54c56da02d338c2092053567dd865174387d06ee5612fdc9e","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":5,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":8,"spread":4,"volume":302596.207174,"volume24h":2999.943512,"openInterest":32547.296,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":253,"iyYes":2745.012666244458,"iyNo":7.603913202893238,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.4,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.04,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":80347,"askDepthUsd":6316598,"volume24h":2999.943512,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T08:45:27.477Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x74e5ba38a2cb8332c748ef8c74cadc36dc91f406a1a48870aca409c6449b03f5","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Lucy Powell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0de4c5e098c5101f7cce39d11dd3294873381b78c2794b6c6aea3142117f03a1","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Wes Streeting","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe955eda79ad9ac1e9c055edc23fb5134eb2ace68508645d261c4de8db921f8fa","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Angela Rayner","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7ca95f6c38e50e158279df39b2f30dbd005edc94ee64c6e4f50912e40bd16b5c","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Nigel Farage","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf187c96c1972bff33fb19e543ae44c80f0e158db9d6e6e7d48242b1b83b6d1ae","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Kemi Badenoch","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb3fbac28ca420448a4c4b18a1cb6ef4db17d099e5674f5461fe848397d669382","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Yvette Cooper","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc11e997578fa83b91b9a0838d90379960628d4834d887c6c5c427576834bc675","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Shabana Mahmood","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9e329c0e729c96b40014938bc0cb63c1637995c571c7ba39bab72028e92525da","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Ed Miliband","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8025fb16d3cd32c728c42d84999842b6fda4e68a8c838628c4652ad71546bcbf","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Boris Johnson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8e19827705b34f87e142d1112efbdbf8b66e07fcf523aef5deb08af99be057b1","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Ed Davey","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xbdee97fd2062a991a5c0e223519c56f0a13948fa5da6e23765d01b914db2aab9","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Bridget Phillipson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf365e4c2d0ed67ffb8263cac97570e02664099fd25d1a8bd201e53dc883d86f1","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Rupert Lowe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x3c9119a8f3be868a667b922c13f2370bb14cd61944a6b96388df41aa59238213","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Rachel Reeves","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x6b4b89bb3bfeadcacfd1c256e75dc01e41589c4427387c7114ae6508fbc0e02b","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Robert Jenrick","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xe8320226abf954b7f252d4de969ddacf933a694ade8988834a457e8ce5649e5a","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: David Lammy","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcead388a140c4356ff21d8571bc84ce0f940b3173e248a3d3aa25814aeb354b1","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: James Cleverly","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xa61700026c9208cdfaf356fce8de01f1108855d45b27b0d79c0516562d23ee77","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Darren Jones","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xb77f3959b1474d4a086199807c476947461ade64a1b19ce30646c91a78449891","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Al Carns","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x360229ef7e200995eeedfab6fd63514c8a43fcee803e8ac6dbe17065bd024d60","connectedTitle":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: No Next PM in 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199763","groupLabel":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:35:34.680Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1297.475353892821,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:20:31.754Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1658.0947414991783,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:55:28.707Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1915.7444906473063,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:00:30.817Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1658.2716049382718,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:10:36.452Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1458.037577554957,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:15:28.762Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1658.343671231145,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:55:28.973Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1458.2219307095438,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:05:49.287Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1658.5730147503348,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:30:29.789Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1916.2441276389632,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:40:29.328Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1658.7303155440516,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:55:29.882Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1916.3728642279884,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:00:34.368Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1658.822088120107,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:10:31.048Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1916.456173591578,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:31.265Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2260.0321450214738,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:50:29.683Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1916.660690923853,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:00:55.179Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1659.097466788406,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:15:32.193Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1916.7970600641581,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:30:31.775Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1659.2286316255495,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:05:30.130Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1917.0546991700949,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:46:34.727Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2260.8720864337133,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:50:29.561Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1917.2972463104238,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:55:30.624Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2260.9257209130687,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:20:29.266Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1917.4564512284255,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:25:51.989Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2261.1134616322456,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:30:32.269Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1917.509525410037,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:45:30.757Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2261.2386394342616,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T02:50:28.923Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1917.6080995427565,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:00:32.948Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2261.328060636019,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:05:34.267Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1917.6915163406295,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:20:34.573Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2261.4532622007087,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:45:32.031Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1917.9038827595439,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:50:30.517Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2261.6410905447447,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:55:52.831Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1917.9569817137249,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:00:29.966Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2261.7037069264425,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:05:30.748Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1918.0024974432279,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:10:32.304Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2261.7663267754638,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:25:28.576Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2743.1017024238968,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:40:42.863Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2261.9542071293417,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T04:45:32.140Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2743.2536134998927,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:05:31.319Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2262.106323612408,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:10:30.677Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2743.4489524653454,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:15:27.839Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2262.1689657582388,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:25:28.560Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2743.557486133858,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:30:30.867Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2262.2674104258153,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:40:36.306Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2743.6768830881097,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:00:21.597Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2263.198583637424,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:05:27.547Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2744.762786795058,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:25:19.820Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2263.3508675408702,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:35:25.713Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2744.990935790565,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:45:22.213Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2263.476293202974,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 2745%","19 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.40)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x74e5ba38a2cb8332c748ef8c74cadc36dc91f406a1a48870aca409c6449b03f5","reason":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Lucy Powell"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0de4c5e098c5101f7cce39d11dd3294873381b78c2794b6c6aea3142117f03a1","reason":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Wes Streeting"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xe955eda79ad9ac1e9c055edc23fb5134eb2ace68508645d261c4de8db921f8fa","reason":"Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?: Angela Rayner"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Andy%20Burnham%20be%20the%20next%20Prime%20Minister%20of%20the%20United%20K","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2546}