{"ticker":"0x7708b39b2be7d54a3b36e331a4b4198f2713956436fbd175aea0a764aa01f8cc","venue":"polymarket","title":"MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":49,"bestBid":34,"bestAsk":64,"spread":30,"volume":629.1739510000001,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":4527.8605,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":160.53835327234344,"iyNo":148.19399700380492,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.5102,"cvr":null,"overround":4.02,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":30,"bidDepthUsd":21904,"askDepthUsd":2183,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:53:13.247Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xeece930c79ba2482bf556ec962d3dfab4ea6e0ff096066adadea3a35777ff50e","connectedTitle":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $10M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199445","groupLabel":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x52a2462abb6b679a4b7fb438bfb65236c16171c60067e84d64679def013c65c8","connectedTitle":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $100M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199445","groupLabel":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x558dcbab0a17d413bdcb0ec41412aceff53527d7b99cd85abc7c8a0dcbbbea5b","connectedTitle":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199445","groupLabel":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x8ebc34636c7d3c3b4799c19ce18c25c664a85558512c0ddb15ab4b93dcde2e4d","connectedTitle":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $20M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199445","groupLabel":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd8430f25b6a3e9d9afc2fb011c577779e646385849ab4251c5ac5f8ae1ef88b9","connectedTitle":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $40M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199445","groupLabel":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4f622fe67a1a2c9bbda12d979b49a95544dd7edf940038aafe1e69cc1b608518","connectedTitle":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $60M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:199445","groupLabel":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:20:31.859Z","priceCents":47,"iy":173.64930775010913,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:25:31.199Z","priceCents":48,"iy":166.82558165699115,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:35:33.299Z","priceCents":47,"iy":173.65663419959375,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:40:32.169Z","priceCents":48,"iy":166.83262029528495,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:55:29.246Z","priceCents":50,"iy":154.00648936933288,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:05:38.296Z","priceCents":51,"iy":160.2972029838788,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:10:33.149Z","priceCents":52,"iy":166.8474033691572,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:20:33.001Z","priceCents":55,"iy":188.24365621222825,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:35:32.225Z","priceCents":49,"iy":160.3114080319331,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:55:35.188Z","priceCents":51,"iy":160.3208794627274,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:00:31.015Z","priceCents":52,"iy":166.8720476483878,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:05:49.205Z","priceCents":47,"iy":173.70280505112854,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:10:44.091Z","priceCents":49,"iy":160.32764545567375,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:25:18.154Z","priceCents":47,"iy":173.71233542563388,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:30:18.597Z","priceCents":48,"iy":166.8868377107276,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:41:12.215Z","priceCents":49,"iy":160.34185589991705,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:50:54.205Z","priceCents":51,"iy":160.3465932744704,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:55:43.243Z","priceCents":52,"iy":166.898812538691,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:00:38.487Z","priceCents":48,"iy":166.90163039502048,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:10:56.245Z","priceCents":49,"iy":160.35606886343427,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:40:41.362Z","priceCents":51,"iy":160.37028434689535,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T03:00:39.868Z","priceCents":48,"iy":166.93051890941075,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:10:53.976Z","priceCents":49,"iy":160.4407220013487,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:15:52.014Z","priceCents":50,"iy":154.15088203867708,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:25:44.306Z","priceCents":48,"iy":167.001725977796,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:30:41.350Z","priceCents":52,"iy":167.00454731032931,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:40:55.124Z","priceCents":53,"iy":173.84293351615378,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:45:44.781Z","priceCents":54,"iy":180.9757817492673,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T05:55:55.568Z","priceCents":48,"iy":167.01653903716817,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:05:29.320Z","priceCents":50,"iy":154.17367136086776,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:15:18.047Z","priceCents":51,"iy":160.47121901489552,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:20:16.538Z","priceCents":48,"iy":167.0285324862576,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:35:21.948Z","priceCents":50,"iy":154.18734818882672,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T06:50:24.887Z","priceCents":52,"iy":167.04335030169898,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:00:16.269Z","priceCents":48,"iy":167.04829015777528,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:10:22.656Z","priceCents":49,"iy":160.49698107894497,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:15:17.932Z","priceCents":50,"iy":154.20493624787704,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:20:19.192Z","priceCents":51,"iy":160.50172762455895,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:25:20.039Z","priceCents":52,"iy":167.06028816755463,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:35:19.231Z","priceCents":48,"iy":167.06522902547988,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:40:20.697Z","priceCents":49,"iy":160.51122155808412,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:45:19.384Z","priceCents":50,"iy":154.2186186236939,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T07:50:31.370Z","priceCents":52,"iy":167.07299382129213,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:05:28.994Z","priceCents":48,"iy":167.08005335293927,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:10:21.902Z","priceCents":49,"iy":160.52546456448877,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:30:20.311Z","priceCents":48,"iy":167.09205592601046,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:35:18.329Z","priceCents":49,"iy":160.53699646878977,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:40:23.725Z","priceCents":50,"iy":154.24338338143755,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:45:16.811Z","priceCents":51,"iy":160.54174538156803,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T08:50:19.574Z","priceCents":52,"iy":167.10194169286768,"cri":1.083}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 161%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.51)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xeece930c79ba2482bf556ec962d3dfab4ea6e0ff096066adadea3a35777ff50e","reason":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $10M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x52a2462abb6b679a4b7fb438bfb65236c16171c60067e84d64679def013c65c8","reason":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $100M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x558dcbab0a17d413bdcb0ec41412aceff53527d7b99cd85abc7c8a0dcbbbea5b","reason":"MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=MagicBlock%20FDV%20above%20%24200M%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":59}