{"ticker":"0x81f132356dec87d798a84d37bacad685cb5c0dd4cf2e19b9159131a4a1474987","venue":"polymarket","title":"Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":1,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":1,"spread":0,"volume":93402.42333700003,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":13251.16757,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":0,"bidDepthUsd":10929,"askDepthUsd":2114,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T10:40:34.793Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xbd549c211a4b156b03a37401348ffaf6b8fcce0182e3bb48f58179ccd1fc4094","connectedTitle":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $800M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:103469","groupLabel":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x90452ee2a372f901764dabc1812cd0d450c1239e10a44722627647ec060f32a1","connectedTitle":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:103469","groupLabel":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x88b2827dd9bb9b3ebd4f229561a7606bd2bbdedbf3dfbb9c563e1e7dd2673747","connectedTitle":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:103469","groupLabel":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x99bee2c9dd32672867497f42c3193360bf625e43842e83827c747070b65f364d","connectedTitle":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $3B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:103469","groupLabel":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xf5082588e782e5437ac1bcfe4bd6d8fe7ced8c2519118f3ad25c2956da63bbd0","connectedTitle":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $5B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:103469","groupLabel":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x76e7f72aef4e8533e5f3e6672f223899682d52849e022cac8592a7a4f56cb1a7","connectedTitle":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:103469","groupLabel":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x1aabd7e8fe19085c7ba902d5002d1fbb9116473fb89bdfcd3be5478017916013","connectedTitle":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $300M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:103469","groupLabel":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x195b7365dc4011dc6f7e1acb52cb42c6a54ebea9b8ef00b84a0cadb985412ca6","connectedTitle":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $200M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:103469","groupLabel":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcb0435359047119a7c21536b540a98362a079cabb684746939faf9df9ab4774f","connectedTitle":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $100M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:103469","groupLabel":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:01:05.029Z","priceCents":51,"iy":62.0284099781003,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:05:59.815Z","priceCents":50,"iy":59.596312539390716,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:11:00.459Z","priceCents":49,"iy":62.02911893093055,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:16:04.885Z","priceCents":50,"iy":59.59699369904661,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:26:01.139Z","priceCents":17,"iy":290.9768832096877,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:41:04.823Z","priceCents":16,"iy":312.8929020459482,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:45:59.047Z","priceCents":15,"iy":337.7278778715034,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T13:50:59.396Z","priceCents":14,"iy":366.1101652196043,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:11:02.414Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2920.433893035537,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:25:58.539Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.1204993258757,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:30:47.295Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2920.5006572555294,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:40:20.122Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.1519682206356,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:45:18.342Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2920.548347853066,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:50:18.397Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.173997058481,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T14:55:41.503Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2920.5817321980867,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T15:00:25.508Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.1960263999456,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T15:10:19.439Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2920.629425443524,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T15:15:33.633Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.2306449540906,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T15:25:20.023Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2920.681889812642,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T15:30:19.964Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.2621174462265,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T16:00:42.973Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2920.7963640698767,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T16:10:19.122Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.350245892983,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T18:55:23.636Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2921.373641810353,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:00:23.852Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.7217329186599,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:05:19.674Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2921.4070450257673,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:10:34.314Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.7437747842075,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:15:21.490Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2921.4404490050606,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T19:20:17.592Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.7658171538221,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:15:19.018Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2921.6408889237387,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T20:20:20.195Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1927.8949325849367,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:35:35.716Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2922.1039148186696,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:40:32.624Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1928.20362004504,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-28T22:45:44.032Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2922.137334736264,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T00:25:38.556Z","priceCents":1,"iy":5904.585428983206,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T00:30:33.481Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2922.4859022940327,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:05:31.727Z","priceCents":1,"iy":5904.845944554747,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:10:31.812Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2922.6196215056434,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:20:31.196Z","priceCents":1,"iy":5904.9520871190825,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T01:50:29.576Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2922.753352954538,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:10:39.565Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1928.9253262637853,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T04:25:31.309Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2923.2645108987012,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T05:25:33.320Z","priceCents":1,"iy":5906.592957530068,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T05:30:33.595Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2923.484316001112,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:05:35.334Z","priceCents":1,"iy":5906.863306012626,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T06:15:19.936Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2923.632464171811,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:50:49.127Z","priceCents":1,"iy":5909.181594293434,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:55:50.171Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2924.7607943051785,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-04T07:15:50.350Z","priceCents":1,"iy":5956.020880274667,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T07:06:03.100Z","priceCents":0,"iy":null,"cri":null},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-05T16:20:43.782Z","priceCents":1,"iy":5969.579676170746,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xbd549c211a4b156b03a37401348ffaf6b8fcce0182e3bb48f58179ccd1fc4094","reason":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $800M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x90452ee2a372f901764dabc1812cd0d450c1239e10a44722627647ec060f32a1","reason":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x88b2827dd9bb9b3ebd4f229561a7606bd2bbdedbf3dfbb9c563e1e7dd2673747","reason":"Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Variational%20FDV%20above%20%244B%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":82}