{"ticker":"0x84cb5dcd5ec50412a9b9c102633371e19fac46ee7fc341b2588560dca694f496","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Oro (https://x.com/orogoldapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from Oro, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":17,"bestBid":13,"bestAsk":22,"spread":9,"volume":24793.95685499999,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":773.8828,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":754.5093376067534,"iyNo":27.37448843924729,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6875,"cvr":null,"overround":0.24,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":14001,"askDepthUsd":2247,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:45:22.965Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0xb8332bd4e639714343acc69c069a779fd99a21599e51a6b2ee2eb1e40971adbb","connectedTitle":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?: December 31, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:127102","groupLabel":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x07fa4131c9062da54b4ab80cbeeedc504ac0ab9173d442e70c58ecda831c66f6","connectedTitle":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?: September 30, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:127102","groupLabel":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:10:26.280Z","priceCents":18,"iy":653.476613484631,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:30:27.937Z","priceCents":19,"iy":611.5669621866896,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:00:55.591Z","priceCents":20,"iy":573.8632790390542,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:25:28.531Z","priceCents":21,"iy":539.7408158425301,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:35:44.611Z","priceCents":20,"iy":573.9174187867543,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:00:28.667Z","priceCents":21,"iy":539.7917397917399,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:25:27.823Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.3702630554693,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:30:28.479Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.6215052758798,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:35:41.683Z","priceCents":18,"iy":653.736102920298,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:45:27.814Z","priceCents":19,"iy":611.7929848979321,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:05:29.904Z","priceCents":15,"iy":813.2478800508526,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:10:41.911Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.4620919607119,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:20:27.242Z","priceCents":18,"iy":653.8157895311707,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:30:51.075Z","priceCents":19,"iy":611.8675609404776,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:40:27.918Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.1137610349778,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:50:48.969Z","priceCents":21,"iy":539.9551856857853,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:25:27.991Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.1837545325121,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:30:44.278Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.0146450997909,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:35:28.926Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.1995618778685,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:40:27.943Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.02738810655,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:55:32.707Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.2311791797933,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:05:30.174Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.0656207355231,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:10:30.605Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.2537650987441,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:40:47.368Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.1166059960342,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:45:29.069Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.3102376700313,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:50:29.770Z","priceCents":19,"iy":612.1010292779528,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:00:41.002Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.1463518438594,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:10:29.501Z","priceCents":22,"iy":509.08175384475635,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:15:28.342Z","priceCents":19,"iy":612.1419647593401,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:21:03.993Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.3644617890272,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:29.320Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.1909767593299,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:45:29.746Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.4028767355032,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:00:33.825Z","priceCents":19,"iy":612.2190346383652,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:10:38.056Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.1590474975947,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:15:32.391Z","priceCents":19,"iy":612.2431229555657,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:25:30.587Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.466159615029,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:40:30.224Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.2930042595738,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T20:50:37.741Z","priceCents":19,"iy":612.3009426514361,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:00:30.039Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.5204131824889,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:05:29.753Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.3312745090875,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:20:27.522Z","priceCents":18,"iy":654.3509638613748,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:35:27.917Z","priceCents":19,"iy":612.3780525694402,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:40:30.559Z","priceCents":20,"iy":574.5837219644466,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:45:38.477Z","priceCents":21,"iy":540.3908167856802,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:55:28.973Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.1737836795414,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:10:31.281Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.388097864187,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:10:31.048Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.3281607973737,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:31.265Z","priceCents":18,"iy":654.585378229186,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:35:29.254Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.5510078181427,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:30:31.111Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.4915130778529,"cri":5.25}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 755%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.3","illiquid (LAS 0.69)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xb8332bd4e639714343acc69c069a779fd99a21599e51a6b2ee2eb1e40971adbb","reason":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?: December 31, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x07fa4131c9062da54b4ab80cbeeedc504ac0ab9173d442e70c58ecda831c66f6","reason":"Will Oro launch a token by ___?: September 30, 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Oro%20launch%20a%20token%20by%20June%2030%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2172}