{"ticker":"0x85ad30282d095dd426c2b8c61a0f12c5fd1e751d1dd30830351001ced5fda42e","venue":"polymarket","title":"U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with \"Pakistan\" before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","price":10,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":10,"spread":1,"volume":103768.34702200002,"volume24h":2.607688,"openInterest":11170.8748,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":206,"iyYes":1595.9927706628837,"iyNo":19.703614452628194,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1,"cvr":null,"overround":1.82,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T04:05:12.866Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Argentina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x42520d88b4fa9d58ea74d3579b14398e76873a88c09bbfc9e0e801694a547d5c","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Taiwan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x533aab0d99851ea6dccf14861b8b7bb5026a40a15718769f8cc519d93380b391","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: India","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5b2d1c35c4510f926d8d026b61ed29816485c1cef9051a251e4b8672026075da","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Russia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x5cbca9adf861c7096259efa6ebaba8e69e90f00b8e5f77b272ed13070f9a2ee7","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Mexico","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x66cbd462cd4e08dacb506dcc0df32b8a7ccf29d1c2f039f85e36eb768026b729","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Brazil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x7531c660ca20317d50ca9dd3a3b1df7659509bb6a415ac1f026c63be5061afb3","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Australia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x81e8f9fd1c08c597b716ea800a97c6d04d60c985a2c388bc6d77a0f85e643df8","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Canada","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9121e50fc11b2041db7cfb1e966e964bbceeffc9360d66e6895341e31b61edf0","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Israel","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xc77d51450d7d97d1239b003889d0899410c68c383378d65aabf04b77666a4488","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: South Africa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xcc9b5eb0fb5b7fa763bee8c0d37cb4559a8cc0336dce6dc34b54d072720c807d","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: South Korea","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xd60f9b0c5ce8c507e463731b67017dec027eea02bf4bfd3c3dccb364fc2262b7","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Vietnam","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xdabf29e1d9a73105559248dc8cae409e87f7affb1f15ad39660ec2a4c6e6fed7","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: United Kingdo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xdb3df04fc73bd716ab5619aebaaaa42a85c10b0faed27b654b5e5ec5714f500f","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: European Unio","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xfe61b06cd6643f489a4781a327cdf06bfd639e95151d938c801758a4bea41b73","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Japan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"},{"connectedTicker":"0xffe86f7d81d3834d1a9f71c7d9700c62d53bc051f0fcd6efbadeb1c26c48837a","connectedTitle":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?: Indonesia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:73951","groupLabel":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T05:31:07.565Z","priceCents":15,"iy":963.0457388524159,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T05:45:30.120Z","priceCents":17,"iy":829.7908472385043,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T06:00:55.619Z","priceCents":16,"iy":892.3208024251569,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T07:00:53.801Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1137.6810867281645,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T07:15:24.429Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1044.3240538537186,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T14:30:40.021Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1248.474389172633,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T15:30:32.735Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1046.0000079974513,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T18:45:25.519Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1140.2834064795243,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T19:45:29.832Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1046.8644425605255,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T21:30:25.052Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1140.890552111267,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T22:00:25.408Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1047.3241019337627,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T22:30:25.796Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1250.4165459851197,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T22:45:33.189Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1141.167710506002,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T23:00:44.674Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1047.529612150409,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T12:30:34.165Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1253.831368268854,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T12:45:27.775Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1050.3414362540789,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T14:00:50.852Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1254.2014969199438,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T14:45:32.214Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1144.7347787765343,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T15:15:33.594Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1050.8534041088735,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T16:15:32.124Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1145.0674834369981,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T16:45:28.811Z","priceCents":14,"iy":1051.1588532422843,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T17:45:33.275Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1145.4057524581767,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T18:15:30.025Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1255.242552566213,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T19:15:32.414Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1145.7388473120327,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T20:15:35.956Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1255.7313266652907,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T21:01:24.561Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1146.136665834119,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T21:46:32.229Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1256.1025780605967,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T22:00:37.206Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1146.3571977550098,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T22:46:58.716Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1256.3502009690953,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T23:00:33.034Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1146.5831965172467,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T23:16:51.917Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1256.4740490384766,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T00:45:30.647Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1386.6786644856593,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T01:46:18.583Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1257.0877519263347,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T02:46:02.720Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1147.4234012224006,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T03:01:55.155Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1257.3948282395534,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T03:15:29.668Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1387.3561608265459,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T04:15:50.971Z","priceCents":13,"iy":1147.7630638243731,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T04:45:54.233Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1387.7668893387806,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T05:00:31.102Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1257.8852802358497,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T06:45:28.591Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1388.3083792541386,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T08:45:28.260Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1258.8081297371866,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T09:15:31.447Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1388.9874693960974,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T09:45:53.606Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1735.972282979946,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T10:30:25.835Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1545.431450588534,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T10:45:33.513Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1736.3071415726768,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T11:15:52.049Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1975.0059991248336,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T11:31:05.635Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1545.736871823828,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T12:30:42.214Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1975.4893424761974,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T12:45:33.806Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1736.9935969442722,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T13:01:21.862Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1546.195230093619,"cri":9}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1596%","16 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 9.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 9c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"polymarket","marketId":"0x85ad30282d095dd426c2b8c61a0f12c5fd1e751d1dd30830351001ced5fda42e","marketTitle":"U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with \"Pakistan\" before 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":9},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5","reason":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x42520d88b4fa9d58ea74d3579b14398e76873a88c09bbfc9e0e801694a547d5c","reason":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x533aab0d99851ea6dccf14861b8b7bb5026a40a15718769f8cc519d93380b391","reason":"Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=U.S.%20agrees%20to%20a%20new%20trade%20deal%20with%20%22Pakistan%22%20before%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":113}