{"ticker":"0x86575cc9ae593201e788fbcd30a07be98c8d922a63994a0424ea0d620ae97e03","venue":"polymarket","title":"Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":14,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":17,"spread":7,"volume":7061.572677000004,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1253.5207,"status":"open","closeTime":"2027-01-01","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":947.0308365791037,"iyNo":25.097085447472196,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3571,"cvr":null,"overround":0.35,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":405,"askDepthUsd":332,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:57:17.353Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x035a884ce6f5336373bf691a94a8bf26ce9cb7442b944f611596f1f979dc80b5","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1.5B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x0042924c2b33e9e7a2ac2969ad7e1be3c790ef80be526350d7fe2b936e18d1de","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2774a88561f965120ffcb9e4027503e9a7aeca484be187f409fef00ce3033194","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x4f5fd359d70d8694ac8d366117d91023d0504e5f402b11c16bc6fea497fe2646","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $800M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x9f792d81fcffb9ee4b2ae766ac286512712327cd93925eed60d512f2c0805c6a","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1B","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"},{"connectedTicker":"0x2232353eadccd26a40d742e78710cbbe11b4a4edea3de0f1ec0ffaea09ded474","connectedTitle":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $100M","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:90395","groupLabel":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T04:55:44.890Z","priceCents":15,"iy":869.7968137821795,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T05:05:49.142Z","priceCents":14,"iy":942.9167397609875,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:20:57.744Z","priceCents":15,"iy":870.016334714423,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:31:40.221Z","priceCents":14,"iy":943.1547218429705,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T06:41:00.369Z","priceCents":15,"iy":870.0639121887472,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:21:53.434Z","priceCents":16,"iy":806.1869722709546,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T07:46:20.843Z","priceCents":14,"iy":943.3610701723594,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:11:58.278Z","priceCents":15,"iy":870.2982156432073,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T08:36:35.589Z","priceCents":16,"iy":806.3633800564718,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:07:17.410Z","priceCents":15,"iy":870.4373930365009,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:10:58.356Z","priceCents":16,"iy":806.444825075647,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:41:23.952Z","priceCents":15,"iy":870.525317485704,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T09:51:06.844Z","priceCents":16,"iy":806.5364703901679,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:06:07.558Z","priceCents":14,"iy":943.7462305771372,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:16:21.786Z","priceCents":15,"iy":870.6132596995158,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T10:21:42.879Z","priceCents":16,"iy":806.6111597521551,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:01:06.609Z","priceCents":14,"iy":943.8972039112646,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:26:01.152Z","priceCents":15,"iy":870.789197442504,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:30:55.411Z","priceCents":16,"iy":806.7741663859886,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:40:45.938Z","priceCents":15,"iy":870.8295265241622,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T11:50:34.404Z","priceCents":14,"iy":944.032326265271,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:16:04.027Z","priceCents":15,"iy":870.9175302154346,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T12:41:09.631Z","priceCents":16,"iy":806.9406369619869,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T13:11:01.064Z","priceCents":14,"iy":944.2549650845257,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:05:31.980Z","priceCents":15,"iy":871.3504738714221,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T15:16:01.572Z","priceCents":14,"iy":944.6010587716994,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:20:33.909Z","priceCents":15,"iy":871.6956693372443,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T17:55:59.058Z","priceCents":14,"iy":945.0429950908342,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:40:31.466Z","priceCents":15,"iy":871.8977722695759,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:00:42.340Z","priceCents":14,"iy":945.2222762903684,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:10:30.785Z","priceCents":15,"iy":871.9749635681694,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:41:12.526Z","priceCents":14,"iy":945.3338633707972,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:30:33.828Z","priceCents":15,"iy":872.1808738676057,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T20:50:40.123Z","priceCents":14,"iy":945.5292041710518,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T22:40:28.786Z","priceCents":15,"iy":872.512004949625,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:00:28.818Z","priceCents":14,"iy":945.8882037887356,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:35:32.321Z","priceCents":15,"iy":872.6518913551912,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:40:32.169Z","priceCents":14,"iy":945.995956839198,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:45:33.004Z","priceCents":15,"iy":872.6776647961408,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T23:50:32.739Z","priceCents":14,"iy":946.0238968228182,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:00:28.234Z","priceCents":15,"iy":872.7144866385373,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:10:32.153Z","priceCents":14,"iy":946.0797817415944,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:30:29.356Z","priceCents":15,"iy":872.7918226228203,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:35:32.225Z","priceCents":14,"iy":946.1516434825855,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:46:10.478Z","priceCents":15,"iy":872.832337418273,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T00:55:34.498Z","priceCents":14,"iy":946.2075434957047,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:00:31.015Z","priceCents":15,"iy":872.8691723146438,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:15:57.645Z","priceCents":14,"iy":946.2634501145221,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T01:41:12.215Z","priceCents":15,"iy":872.972326566215,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-09T02:10:56.245Z","priceCents":14,"iy":946.4152299587001,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 947%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 6.1","illiquid (LAS 0.36)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x035a884ce6f5336373bf691a94a8bf26ce9cb7442b944f611596f1f979dc80b5","reason":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $1.5B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x0042924c2b33e9e7a2ac2969ad7e1be3c790ef80be526350d7fe2b936e18d1de","reason":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $2B"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x2774a88561f965120ffcb9e4027503e9a7aeca484be187f409fef00ce3033194","reason":"Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?: $500M"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Ventuals%20FDV%20above%20%24300M%20one%20day%20after%20launch%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}