{"ticker":"0x89ab9d913d0a89d4c7cdd89398644e8dc3f5d215b61a2bd981a39fc4f98add90","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Esther Charlestin win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?","description":"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.","price":3,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"volume":7351.098945000001,"volume24h":251.028742,"openInterest":17054.1705,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-08-11","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":111,"iyYes":10634.718955661889,"iyNo":10.17243815505973,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.34,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":6323,"askDepthUsd":27167,"volume24h":251.028742},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:50:53.698Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"0x34c1cf28ad9c8bf47029851c867257248a30956ff463e504a36b270c68fa853c","connectedTitle":"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Charity Clark","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101822","groupLabel":"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner"},{"connectedTicker":"0x119f93111763f20417cebca08c591afa958fe343492f80f68a665eff1754c881","connectedTitle":"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Mike Pieciak","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:101822","groupLabel":"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T22:40:37.861Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15279.142283541923,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T22:55:27.608Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10083.016503623961,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T02:05:27.128Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15297.699999144663,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T07:05:49.431Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10112.478292660635,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T17:40:48.885Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15383.225961827924,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T18:45:25.534Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10154.766616760457,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:20:23.752Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15403.364022357913,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:40:24.373Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10165.350238737148,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T00:30:31.641Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15420.8951620552,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T00:41:15.978Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10176.39467338099,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T03:05:56.916Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15435.26853138404,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T03:35:56.510Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10187.02344986333,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T05:05:24.734Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15446.3329533285,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T06:10:29.822Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10196.440965472355,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T06:21:00.984Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15453.406488961855,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T07:10:53.509Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10200.142320867295,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T08:21:04.364Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15464.49693909314,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T12:55:16.461Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10221.256055383301,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:35:15.830Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15493.702028864978,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T17:15:17.558Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10237.304210291953,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T17:20:35.003Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15514.803473372831,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T18:25:18.606Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10241.65740997871,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:35:15.760Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15538.527032779908,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T22:35:16.378Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10257.0565246236,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T23:55:22.369Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15551.768214742226,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:00:16.851Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10262.31884057971,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T03:25:27.358Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15571.536780518383,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T03:45:18.281Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10276.25880905112,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T04:00:16.857Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15574.791218552158,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T08:11:00.447Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10292.839346816792,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T09:15:55.035Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15604.550927460868,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T10:10:56.018Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10300.295582553648,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T13:55:55.721Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15631.0085649362,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T18:35:54.455Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10331.947180272855,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:05:57.206Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15660.572309201081,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:16:11.527Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10341.997184102447,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:20:56.752Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15673.4729646832,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T01:20:40.397Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10357.427040183482,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T10:45:43.533Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15750.493166126531,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T19:25:26.991Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10426.329537389604,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T13:10:33.821Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15904.705160469894,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:45:33.877Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10512.797672070788,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:36:02.184Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15960.484748969282,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:50:32.149Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10532.688371650247,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:00:33.130Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15962.906436036808,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:05:34.340Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10533.628471292479,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:55:50.868Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15974.312483811325,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:30:32.487Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10543.13289320481,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:41:09.348Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15984.734734734733,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:45:33.039Z","priceCents":3,"iy":10548.03295049977,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 10635%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x34c1cf28ad9c8bf47029851c867257248a30956ff463e504a36b270c68fa853c","reason":"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Charity Clark"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x119f93111763f20417cebca08c591afa958fe343492f80f68a665eff1754c881","reason":"Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Mike Pieciak"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Esther%20Charlestin%20win%20the%202026%20Vermont%20Governor%20Democra","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":3311}